StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jenson Brooksby v Ignacio Buse

Matchstart: 2026-07-01 10:14 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

65 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jenson Brooksby (Hemma)

Prognos 58.49%1.71rättvist odds
EV +1.77%
Fördel +1.02%
Kelly +2.39%
Tillväxt +0.042%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.74

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
54.09%58.42%58.44%60.73%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.561.621.611.7464.10%61.88%62.11%57.47%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Ignacio Buse (Borta)

Prognos 41.51%2.41rättvist odds
EV +3.36%
Fördel +1.35%
Kelly +2.26%
Tillväxt +0.076%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.49

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
39.27%41.58%41.56%45.91%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.052.272.262.4948.78%44.07%44.25%40.16%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Jenson Brooksby (Hemma): 58.49%; Ignacio Buse (Borta): 41.51%. För Ignacio Buse (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.41. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.49, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +3.36%.

Spelbolagsodds (65 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV +3.36%E +1.35%K +2.26%G +0.076%2.3%2026-07-01 10:10
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -7.00%E -4.40%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -0.373%E -0.155%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 09:09
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -1.20%E -0.506%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-01 10:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.17%E -5.21%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.45%E -1.04%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 09:09
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 10:10
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 10:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.28%E -1.41%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 09:09
ReBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.28%E -1.41%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 09:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -4.11%E -1.78%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 10:00
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.11%E -1.78%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -4.11%E -1.78%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 09:59
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.49%E -2.12%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 06:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.49%E -2.12%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 10:10
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.49%E -2.12%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 09:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 10:00
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 09:09
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 09:10
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 06:49
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 09:10
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 08:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 10:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:07
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:06
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.66%E -2.86%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 08:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.40%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV -6.18%E -2.74%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 09:10
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.49%E -2.12%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 09:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.66%E -2.86%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 09:09
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 08:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 09:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 08:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 09:09
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 08:59
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-01 10:10
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 10:09
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 10:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 10:10
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 10:10
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 10:10
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 10:10
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 10:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 10:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 10:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.59%E -4.80%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-01 09:19
DraftKings🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -4.66%E -2.86%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -7.01%E -3.13%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -7.59%E -4.80%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.47%EV -7.43%E -3.33%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-01 10:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -7.59%E -4.80%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.47%EV -7.43%E -3.33%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-01 10:10
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.17%E -5.21%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -7.43%E -3.33%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-01 10:09
GTbets🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -1.74%E -1.04%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -8.26%E -3.74%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.32%E -1.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.68%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 06:39
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.32%E -1.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.68%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 06:39
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.17%E -5.21%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.68%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-01 10:10
LeoVegas🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -8.76%E -5.61%K -15.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.68%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-01 10:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -8.76%E -5.61%K -15.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.68%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-01 10:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -10.75%E -5.00%K -9.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-01 10:10
NordicBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.64%EV -1.15%E -0.683%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.36%EV -12.00%E -5.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 09:50
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV +1.77%E +1.02%K +2.39%G +0.042%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -14.90%E -7.27%K -14.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 10:09
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
ProphetX1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-07-01 10:10
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%0.3%2026-07-01 10:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-07-01 10:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-07-01 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-07-01 10:10
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 59.07%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.93%1.4%2026-07-01 10:10
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%2.1%2026-07-01 10:10