La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Jenson Brooksby v Ignacio Buse
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jenson Brooksby (Local)
Predicción 58.49%1.71momio equitativo
EV +1.77%
Ventaja +1.02%
Kelly +2.39%
Crecimiento +0.042%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.09%58.42%58.44%60.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.561.621.611.7464.10%61.88%62.11%57.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Ignacio Buse (Visitante)
Predicción 41.51%2.41momio equitativo
EV +3.36%
Ventaja +1.35%
Kelly +2.26%
Crecimiento +0.076%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.49
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.27%41.58%41.56%45.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.272.262.4948.78%44.07%44.25%40.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV +3.36%E +1.35%K +2.26%G +0.076% | 2.3% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Bovada | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -7.00%E -4.40%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -0.373%E -0.155%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-01 09:09 |
| Sky Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -1.20%E -0.506%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.17%E -5.21%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.45%E -1.04%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 09:09 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.28%E -1.41%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-01 09:09 |
| ReBet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.28%E -1.41%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-01 09:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -4.11%E -1.78%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.11%E -1.78%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-01 09:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -4.11%E -1.78%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 09:59 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.49%E -2.12%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-01 06:29 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.49%E -2.12%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.49%E -2.12%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-01 09:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 09:09 |
| theScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 09:10 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 06:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 09:10 |
| BetUS | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 08:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 10:07 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 10:06 |
| PlayUp | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.66%E -2.86%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 08:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Unibet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Casumo | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| betPARX | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Betsson | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.40%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV -6.18%E -2.74%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 09:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.49%E -2.12%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 09:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.66%E -2.86%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 09:09 |
| betfred_uk | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 08:39 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 09:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 08:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 09:09 |
| Everygame | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 08:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-01 10:09 |
| 888sport | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| TAB | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.59%E -4.80%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 09:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -4.66%E -2.86%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -7.01%E -3.13%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 10:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -7.59%E -4.80%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.47%EV -7.43%E -3.33%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -7.59%E -4.80%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.47%EV -7.43%E -3.33%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.17%E -5.21%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -7.43%E -3.33%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-01 10:09 |
| GTbets | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -1.74%E -1.04%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -8.26%E -3.74%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.32%E -1.39%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.68%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 06:39 |
| Neds | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.32%E -1.39%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.68%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 06:39 |
| Fliff | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.17%E -5.21%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.68%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -8.76%E -5.61%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.68%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -8.76%E -5.61%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.68%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -10.75%E -5.00%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.64%EV -1.15%E -0.683%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.36%EV -12.00%E -5.66%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 09:50 |
| Caesars | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV +1.77%E +1.02%K +2.39%G +0.042% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -14.90%E -7.27%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 10:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 0.2% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57% | 0.3% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Novig | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.07% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.93% | 1.4% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51% | 2.1% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |