La scuola delle quote

Jenson Brooksby v Ignacio Buse

Inizio: 2026-07-01 10:14 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

65 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Jenson Brooksby (Casa)

Previsione 58.49%1.71quota equa
EV +1.77%
Vantaggio +1.02%
Kelly +2.39%
Crescita +0.042%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.74

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.09%58.42%58.44%60.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.561.621.611.7464.10%61.88%62.11%57.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Ignacio Buse (Trasferta)

Previsione 41.51%2.41quota equa
EV +3.36%
Vantaggio +1.35%
Kelly +2.26%
Crescita +0.076%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.49

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.27%41.58%41.56%45.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.272.262.4948.78%44.07%44.25%40.16%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (65 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV +3.36%E +1.35%K +2.26%G +0.076%2.3%2026-07-01 10:10
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -7.00%E -4.40%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -0.373%E -0.155%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 09:09
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -1.20%E -0.506%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-01 10:10
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.17%E -5.21%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.45%E -1.04%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 09:09
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 10:10
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 10:10
Codere (IT)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.28%E -1.41%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 09:09
ReBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.28%E -1.41%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 09:10
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -4.11%E -1.78%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 10:00
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.11%E -1.78%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:50
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -4.11%E -1.78%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 09:59
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.49%E -2.12%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 06:29
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.49%E -2.12%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 10:10
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.49%E -2.12%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 09:10
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 10:00
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 09:09
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 09:10
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 06:49
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 09:10
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 08:49
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 10:10
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:07
PointsBet (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:06
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.66%E -2.86%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 08:39
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 58.40%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV -6.18%E -2.74%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 09:10
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.49%E -2.12%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 09:09
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.66%E -2.86%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 09:09
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 08:39
Dabble (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 09:09
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 08:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 09:09
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 08:59
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-01 10:10
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 10:09
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 10:10
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 10:10
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 10:10
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 10:10
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 10:10
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 10:10
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 10:10
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 10:10
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.59%E -4.80%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-01 09:19
DraftKings1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -4.66%E -2.86%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -7.01%E -3.13%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:09
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -7.59%E -4.80%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.47%EV -7.43%E -3.33%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-01 10:10
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -7.59%E -4.80%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.47%EV -7.43%E -3.33%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-01 10:10
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.17%E -5.21%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -7.43%E -3.33%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-01 10:09
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -1.74%E -1.04%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -8.26%E -3.74%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.32%E -1.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.68%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 06:39
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.32%E -1.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.68%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 06:39
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.17%E -5.21%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.68%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-01 10:10
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -8.76%E -5.61%K -15.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.68%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-01 10:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -8.76%E -5.61%K -15.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.68%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-01 10:10
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -10.75%E -5.00%K -9.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-01 10:10
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.64%EV -1.15%E -0.683%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.36%EV -12.00%E -5.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 09:50
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV +1.77%E +1.02%K +2.39%G +0.042%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -14.90%E -7.27%K -14.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 10:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-07-01 10:10
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%0.3%2026-07-01 10:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-07-01 10:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-07-01 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-07-01 10:10
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 59.07%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.93%1.4%2026-07-01 10:10
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%2.1%2026-07-01 10:10