مدرسة الاحتمالات

Jenson Brooksby v Ignacio Buse

البداية: 2026-07-01 10:14 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

65 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Jenson Brooksby (المضيف)

التنبؤ 58.49%1.71السعر العادل
EV +1.77%
الأفضلية +1.02%
Kelly +2.39%
النمو +0.042%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.74

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.09%58.42%58.44%60.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.561.621.611.7464.10%61.88%62.11%57.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Ignacio Buse (الضيف)

التنبؤ 41.51%2.41السعر العادل
EV +3.36%
الأفضلية +1.35%
Kelly +2.26%
النمو +0.076%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.49

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.27%41.58%41.56%45.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.052.272.262.4948.78%44.07%44.25%40.16%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (65 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV +3.36%E +1.35%K +2.26%G +0.076%2.3%2026-07-01 10:10
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -7.00%E -4.40%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -0.373%E -0.155%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 09:09
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -1.20%E -0.506%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-01 10:10
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.17%E -5.21%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.45%E -1.04%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 09:09
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 10:10
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 10:10
Codere (IT)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.28%E -1.41%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 09:09
ReBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.28%E -1.41%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 09:10
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -4.11%E -1.78%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 10:00
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.11%E -1.78%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:50
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -4.11%E -1.78%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 09:59
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.49%E -2.12%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 06:29
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.49%E -2.12%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 10:10
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.49%E -2.12%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 09:10
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 10:00
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 09:09
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 09:10
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 06:49
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 09:10
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 08:49
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 10:10
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:07
PointsBet (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:06
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.66%E -2.86%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 08:39
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 58.40%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV -6.18%E -2.74%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 09:10
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.49%E -2.12%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 09:09
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.66%E -2.86%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 09:09
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 08:39
Dabble (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 09:09
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 08:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 09:09
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 08:59
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-01 10:10
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 10:09
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 10:10
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 10:10
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 10:10
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 10:10
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 10:10
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 10:10
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 10:10
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 10:10
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.59%E -4.80%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-01 09:19
DraftKings1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -4.66%E -2.86%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -7.01%E -3.13%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:09
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -7.59%E -4.80%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.47%EV -7.43%E -3.33%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-01 10:10
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -7.59%E -4.80%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.47%EV -7.43%E -3.33%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-01 10:10
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.17%E -5.21%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -7.43%E -3.33%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-01 10:09
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -1.74%E -1.04%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -8.26%E -3.74%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.32%E -1.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.68%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 06:39
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.32%E -1.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.68%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 06:39
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.17%E -5.21%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.68%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-01 10:10
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -8.76%E -5.61%K -15.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.68%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-01 10:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -8.76%E -5.61%K -15.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.68%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-01 10:10
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -10.75%E -5.00%K -9.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-01 10:10
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.64%EV -1.15%E -0.683%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.36%EV -12.00%E -5.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 09:50
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV +1.77%E +1.02%K +2.39%G +0.042%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -14.90%E -7.27%K -14.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 10:09
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
ProphetX1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-07-01 10:10
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%0.3%2026-07-01 10:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-07-01 10:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-07-01 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-07-01 10:10
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 59.07%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.93%1.4%2026-07-01 10:10
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%2.1%2026-07-01 10:10