StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jannik Sinner v Shintaro Mochizuki

Matchstart: 2026-07-05 18:20 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

58 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jannik Sinner (Hemma)

Prognos 94.27%1.06rättvist odds
EV -2.90%
Fördel -2.81%
Kelly -96.61%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.03

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
90.74%94.14%94.35%96.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.001.011.011.03100.00%98.66%99.01%97.09%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Shintaro Mochizuki (Borta)

Prognos 5.73%17.46rättvist odds
EV +48.89%
Fördel +1.88%
Kelly +1.96%
Tillväxt +0.956%

med antagandet om högsta odds 26.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
3.74%5.86%5.65%9.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
10.0017.8717.6226.0010.00%5.60%5.68%3.85%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Jannik Sinner (Hemma): 94.27%; Shintaro Mochizuki (Borta): 5.73%. För Shintaro Mochizuki (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 17.46. 29 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 26.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +48.89%.

Spelbolagsodds (58 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Dabble (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +48.89%E +1.88%K +1.96%G +0.956%2.9%2026-07-05 18:12
theScore Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +48.89%E +1.88%K +1.96%G +0.956%2.9%2026-07-05 18:15
Sky Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.75%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.25%EV +31.71%E +1.38%K +1.44%G +0.457%2.4%2026-07-05 18:15
Paddy Power🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.75%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.25%EV +31.71%E +1.38%K +1.44%G +0.457%2.4%2026-07-05 18:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +20.25%E +0.965%K +1.01%G +0.205%3.8%2026-07-05 18:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +20.25%E +0.965%K +1.01%G +0.205%3.8%2026-07-05 18:15
FanDuel🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +20.25%E +0.965%K +1.01%G +0.205%3.8%2026-07-05 18:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +20.25%E +0.965%K +1.01%G +0.205%3.8%2026-07-05 18:15
888sport🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.73%E -5.73%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +20.25%E +0.965%K +1.01%G +0.205%4.8%2026-07-05 18:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.73%E -5.73%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +20.25%E +0.965%K +1.01%G +0.205%4.8%2026-07-05 18:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.73%E -5.73%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +20.25%E +0.965%K +1.01%G +0.205%4.8%2026-07-05 18:10
Coolbet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +14.53%E +0.726%K +0.765%G +0.111%3.0%2026-07-05 18:12
LiveScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +14.53%E +0.726%K +0.765%G +0.111%3.0%2026-07-05 18:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +14.53%E +0.726%K +0.765%G +0.111%3.0%2026-07-05 18:15
Unibet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +14.53%E +0.726%K +0.765%G +0.111%4.0%2026-07-05 18:15
Casumo🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +14.53%E +0.726%K +0.765%G +0.111%4.0%2026-07-05 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +14.53%E +0.726%K +0.765%G +0.111%4.0%2026-07-05 18:15
Grosvenor🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +14.53%E +0.726%K +0.765%G +0.111%4.0%2026-07-05 18:15
BetRivers🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +14.53%E +0.726%K +0.765%G +0.111%4.0%2026-07-05 18:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +14.53%E +0.726%K +0.765%G +0.111%4.0%2026-07-05 18:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +14.53%E +0.726%K +0.765%G +0.111%4.0%2026-07-05 18:15
Bally Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +14.53%E +0.726%K +0.765%G +0.111%4.0%2026-07-05 18:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +14.53%E +0.726%K +0.765%G +0.111%4.0%2026-07-05 18:15
betPARX🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +14.53%E +0.726%K +0.765%G +0.111%4.0%2026-07-05 18:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +14.53%E +0.726%K +0.765%G +0.111%4.0%2026-07-05 18:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +8.80%E +0.463%K +0.489%G +0.043%4.3%2026-07-05 18:15
SportsBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +8.80%E +0.463%K +0.489%G +0.043%4.3%2026-07-05 18:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +3.08%E +0.171%K +0.181%G +0.006%4.6%2026-07-05 18:14
ReBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +3.08%E +0.171%K +0.181%G +0.006%4.6%2026-07-05 18:15
Pinnacle🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 94.36%EV -2.90%E -2.81%K -96.61%G +0.000%17.23I 5.80%NM 5.64%EV -1.33%E -0.077%K -0.082%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-05 18:15
betfred_uk🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -2.65%E -0.156%K -0.166%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 18:15
William Hill🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -2.65%E -0.156%K -0.166%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 18:14
BoyleSports🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -2.65%E -0.156%K -0.166%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 18:15
Caesars🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -2.65%E -0.156%K -0.166%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 18:14
NetBet (FR)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 94.44%EV -5.73%E -5.73%K +0.000%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.56%EV -2.65%E -0.156%K -0.166%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 18:15
1xBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.14%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000%16.40I 6.10%NM 5.86%EV -6.09%E -0.371%K -0.395%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 18:15
NordicBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -8.38%E -0.524%K -0.558%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 18:15
Betsson🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -8.38%E -0.524%K -0.558%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 18:15
Neds🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -8.38%E -0.524%K -0.558%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 18:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -8.38%E -0.524%K -0.558%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 18:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -8.38%E -0.524%K -0.558%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 18:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.88%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.12%EV -11.24%E -0.725%K -0.775%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 18:14
BetAnything🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.81%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000%15.45I 6.47%NM 6.19%EV -11.53%E -0.746%K -0.798%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 18:15
Coral🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -2.90%E -2.81%K -96.61%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -14.10%E -0.940%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-05 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -2.90%E -2.81%K -96.61%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -14.10%E -0.940%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-05 18:14
Betway🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -14.10%E -0.940%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 18:15
Bovada🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -14.10%E -0.940%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 18:13
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -14.10%E -0.940%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 18:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -14.10%E -0.940%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 18:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -18.40%E -1.29%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 18:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -19.83%E -1.42%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 18:15
LeoVegas🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -19.83%E -1.42%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 18:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -19.83%E -1.42%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 18:15
DraftKings🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.05%EV -2.90%E -2.81%K -96.61%G +0.000%13.80I 7.25%NM 6.95%EV -20.98%E -1.52%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 18:15
BetMGM🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -25.56%E -1.97%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 18:14
Everygame🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -25.56%E -1.97%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 18:14
Fanatics🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -31.28%E -2.61%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 18:14
Bet Victor🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -42.74%E -4.27%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-05 18:09
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Novig1.04I 96.15%NM 95.91%24.39I 4.10%NM 4.09%0.3%2026-07-05 18:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.03I 97.09%NM 96.33%27.00I 3.70%NM 3.67%0.8%2026-07-05 18:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 96.33%27.00I 3.70%NM 3.67%0.8%2026-07-05 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 96.33%27.00I 3.70%NM 3.67%0.8%2026-07-05 18:15
Matchbook1.03I 97.09%NM 96.33%27.00I 3.70%NM 3.67%0.8%2026-07-05 18:15
ProphetX1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81%0.9%2026-07-05 18:15
Smarkets1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19%25.97I 3.85%NM 3.81%0.9%2026-07-05 18:15