Idioma:Español
Jannik Sinner v Shintaro Mochizuki
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jannik Sinner (Local)
Predicción 94.27%1.06momio equitativo
EV -2.90%
Ventaja -2.81%
Kelly -96.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.03
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
90.74%94.14%94.35%96.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.001.011.011.03100.00%98.66%99.01%97.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Shintaro Mochizuki (Visitante)
Predicción 5.73%17.46momio equitativo
EV +48.89%
Ventaja +1.88%
Kelly +1.96%
Crecimiento +0.956%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 26.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
3.74%5.86%5.65%9.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
10.0017.8717.6226.0010.00%5.60%5.68%3.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Jannik Sinner (Local): 94.27%; Shintaro Mochizuki (Visitante): 5.73%. Para Shintaro Mochizuki (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 17.46. 29 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 26.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +48.89%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +48.89%E +1.88%K +1.96%G +0.956% | 2.9% | 2026-07-05 18:12 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +48.89%E +1.88%K +1.96%G +0.956% | 2.9% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.75%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.25%EV +31.71%E +1.38%K +1.44%G +0.457% | 2.4% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.75%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.25%EV +31.71%E +1.38%K +1.44%G +0.457% | 2.4% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +20.25%E +0.965%K +1.01%G +0.205% | 3.8% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +20.25%E +0.965%K +1.01%G +0.205% | 3.8% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +20.25%E +0.965%K +1.01%G +0.205% | 3.8% | 2026-07-05 18:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +20.25%E +0.965%K +1.01%G +0.205% | 3.8% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.73%E -5.73%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +20.25%E +0.965%K +1.01%G +0.205% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 18:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.73%E -5.73%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +20.25%E +0.965%K +1.01%G +0.205% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.73%E -5.73%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +20.25%E +0.965%K +1.01%G +0.205% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 18:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +14.53%E +0.726%K +0.765%G +0.111% | 3.0% | 2026-07-05 18:12 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +14.53%E +0.726%K +0.765%G +0.111% | 3.0% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +14.53%E +0.726%K +0.765%G +0.111% | 3.0% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +14.53%E +0.726%K +0.765%G +0.111% | 4.0% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +14.53%E +0.726%K +0.765%G +0.111% | 4.0% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +14.53%E +0.726%K +0.765%G +0.111% | 4.0% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +14.53%E +0.726%K +0.765%G +0.111% | 4.0% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +14.53%E +0.726%K +0.765%G +0.111% | 4.0% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +14.53%E +0.726%K +0.765%G +0.111% | 4.0% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +14.53%E +0.726%K +0.765%G +0.111% | 4.0% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +14.53%E +0.726%K +0.765%G +0.111% | 4.0% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +14.53%E +0.726%K +0.765%G +0.111% | 4.0% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +14.53%E +0.726%K +0.765%G +0.111% | 4.0% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +14.53%E +0.726%K +0.765%G +0.111% | 4.0% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +8.80%E +0.463%K +0.489%G +0.043% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +8.80%E +0.463%K +0.489%G +0.043% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +3.08%E +0.171%K +0.181%G +0.006% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 18:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +3.08%E +0.171%K +0.181%G +0.006% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.36%EV -2.90%E -2.81%K -96.61%G +0.000% | 17.23I 5.80%NM 5.64%EV -1.33%E -0.077%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -2.65%E -0.156%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -2.65%E -0.156%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 18:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -2.65%E -0.156%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -2.65%E -0.156%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 18:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 94.44%EV -5.73%E -5.73%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.56%EV -2.65%E -0.156%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.14%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000% | 16.40I 6.10%NM 5.86%EV -6.09%E -0.371%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -8.38%E -0.524%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -8.38%E -0.524%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -8.38%E -0.524%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 18:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -8.38%E -0.524%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 18:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -8.38%E -0.524%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.88%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.12%EV -11.24%E -0.725%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 18:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.81%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000% | 15.45I 6.47%NM 6.19%EV -11.53%E -0.746%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -2.90%E -2.81%K -96.61%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -14.10%E -0.940%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -2.90%E -2.81%K -96.61%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -14.10%E -0.940%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-05 18:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -14.10%E -0.940%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -14.10%E -0.940%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 18:13 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -14.10%E -0.940%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 18:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -14.10%E -0.940%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 18:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000% | 14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -18.40%E -1.29%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -19.83%E -1.42%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -19.83%E -1.42%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 18:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -19.83%E -1.42%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.05%EV -2.90%E -2.81%K -96.61%G +0.000% | 13.80I 7.25%NM 6.95%EV -20.98%E -1.52%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -25.56%E -1.97%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 18:14 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -25.56%E -1.97%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 18:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -31.28%E -2.61%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 18:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -42.74%E -4.27%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-05 18:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.91% | 24.39I 4.10%NM 4.09% | 0.3% | 2026-07-05 18:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.33% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.67% | 0.8% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.33% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.67% | 0.8% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.33% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.67% | 0.8% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.33% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.67% | 0.8% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81% | 0.9% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19% | 25.97I 3.85%NM 3.81% | 0.9% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |