La scuola delle quote

Jannik Sinner v Shintaro Mochizuki

Inizio: 2026-07-05 18:20 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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58 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Jannik Sinner (Casa)

Previsione 94.27%1.06quota equa
EV -2.90%
Vantaggio -2.81%
Kelly -96.61%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.03

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
90.74%94.14%94.35%96.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.001.011.011.03100.00%98.66%99.01%97.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Shintaro Mochizuki (Trasferta)

Previsione 5.73%17.46quota equa
EV +48.89%
Vantaggio +1.88%
Kelly +1.96%
Crescita +0.956%

ipotizzando la quota massima 26.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
3.74%5.86%5.65%9.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
10.0017.8717.6226.0010.00%5.60%5.68%3.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Dabble (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +48.89%E +1.88%K +1.96%G +0.956%2.9%2026-07-05 18:12
theScore Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +48.89%E +1.88%K +1.96%G +0.956%2.9%2026-07-05 18:15
Sky Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 95.75%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.25%EV +31.71%E +1.38%K +1.44%G +0.457%2.4%2026-07-05 18:15
Paddy Power1.02I 98.04%NM 95.75%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.25%EV +31.71%E +1.38%K +1.44%G +0.457%2.4%2026-07-05 18:15
Winamax (DE)1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +20.25%E +0.965%K +1.01%G +0.205%3.8%2026-07-05 18:15
Winamax (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +20.25%E +0.965%K +1.01%G +0.205%3.8%2026-07-05 18:15
FanDuel1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +20.25%E +0.965%K +1.01%G +0.205%3.8%2026-07-05 18:14
Hard Rock Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +20.25%E +0.965%K +1.01%G +0.205%3.8%2026-07-05 18:15
888sport1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.73%E -5.73%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +20.25%E +0.965%K +1.01%G +0.205%4.8%2026-07-05 18:10
Mr Green (SE)1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.73%E -5.73%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +20.25%E +0.965%K +1.01%G +0.205%4.8%2026-07-05 18:10
888sport (SE)1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.73%E -5.73%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +20.25%E +0.965%K +1.01%G +0.205%4.8%2026-07-05 18:10
Coolbet1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +14.53%E +0.726%K +0.765%G +0.111%3.0%2026-07-05 18:12
LiveScore Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +14.53%E +0.726%K +0.765%G +0.111%3.0%2026-07-05 18:15
Virgin Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +14.53%E +0.726%K +0.765%G +0.111%3.0%2026-07-05 18:15
Unibet1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +14.53%E +0.726%K +0.765%G +0.111%4.0%2026-07-05 18:15
Casumo1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +14.53%E +0.726%K +0.765%G +0.111%4.0%2026-07-05 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +14.53%E +0.726%K +0.765%G +0.111%4.0%2026-07-05 18:15
Grosvenor1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +14.53%E +0.726%K +0.765%G +0.111%4.0%2026-07-05 18:15
BetRivers1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +14.53%E +0.726%K +0.765%G +0.111%4.0%2026-07-05 18:15
Unibet (NL)1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +14.53%E +0.726%K +0.765%G +0.111%4.0%2026-07-05 18:15
Unibet (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +14.53%E +0.726%K +0.765%G +0.111%4.0%2026-07-05 18:15
Bally Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +14.53%E +0.726%K +0.765%G +0.111%4.0%2026-07-05 18:15
ATG (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +14.53%E +0.726%K +0.765%G +0.111%4.0%2026-07-05 18:15
betPARX1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +14.53%E +0.726%K +0.765%G +0.111%4.0%2026-07-05 18:15
Svenska Spel1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +14.53%E +0.726%K +0.765%G +0.111%4.0%2026-07-05 18:15
Unibet (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +8.80%E +0.463%K +0.489%G +0.043%4.3%2026-07-05 18:15
SportsBet1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +8.80%E +0.463%K +0.489%G +0.043%4.3%2026-07-05 18:15
Codere (IT)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +3.08%E +0.171%K +0.181%G +0.006%4.6%2026-07-05 18:14
ReBet1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +3.08%E +0.171%K +0.181%G +0.006%4.6%2026-07-05 18:15
Pinnacle1.03I 97.09%NM 94.36%EV -2.90%E -2.81%K -96.61%G +0.000%17.23I 5.80%NM 5.64%EV -1.33%E -0.077%K -0.082%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-05 18:15
betfred_uk1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -2.65%E -0.156%K -0.166%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 18:15
William Hill1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -2.65%E -0.156%K -0.166%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 18:14
BoyleSports1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -2.65%E -0.156%K -0.166%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 18:15
Caesars1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -2.65%E -0.156%K -0.166%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 18:14
NetBet (FR)1.00I 100.00%NM 94.44%EV -5.73%E -5.73%K +0.000%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.56%EV -2.65%E -0.156%K -0.166%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 18:15
1xBet1.02I 98.04%NM 94.14%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000%16.40I 6.10%NM 5.86%EV -6.09%E -0.371%K -0.395%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 18:15
NordicBet1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -8.38%E -0.524%K -0.558%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 18:15
Betsson1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -8.38%E -0.524%K -0.558%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 18:15
Neds1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -8.38%E -0.524%K -0.558%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 18:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -8.38%E -0.524%K -0.558%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 18:14
Unibet (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -8.38%E -0.524%K -0.558%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 18:15
Marathon Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 93.88%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.12%EV -11.24%E -0.725%K -0.775%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 18:14
BetAnything1.02I 98.04%NM 93.81%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000%15.45I 6.47%NM 6.19%EV -11.53%E -0.746%K -0.798%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 18:15
Coral1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -2.90%E -2.81%K -96.61%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -14.10%E -0.940%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-05 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -2.90%E -2.81%K -96.61%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -14.10%E -0.940%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-05 18:14
Betway1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -14.10%E -0.940%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 18:15
Bovada1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -14.10%E -0.940%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 18:13
PointsBet (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -14.10%E -0.940%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 18:14
Betclic (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -14.10%E -0.940%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 18:14
Betr (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -18.40%E -1.29%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 18:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -19.83%E -1.42%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 18:15
LeoVegas1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -19.83%E -1.42%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 18:14
Tipico (DE)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -4.78%E -4.74%K -478.37%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -19.83%E -1.42%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 18:15
DraftKings1.03I 97.09%NM 93.05%EV -2.90%E -2.81%K -96.61%G +0.000%13.80I 7.25%NM 6.95%EV -20.98%E -1.52%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 18:15
BetMGM1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -25.56%E -1.97%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 18:14
Everygame1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -25.56%E -1.97%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 18:14
Fanatics1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -31.28%E -2.61%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 18:14
Bet Victor1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -3.84%E -3.77%K -192.05%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -42.74%E -4.27%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-05 18:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig1.04I 96.15%NM 95.91%24.39I 4.10%NM 4.09%0.3%2026-07-05 18:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.03I 97.09%NM 96.33%27.00I 3.70%NM 3.67%0.8%2026-07-05 18:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 96.33%27.00I 3.70%NM 3.67%0.8%2026-07-05 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 96.33%27.00I 3.70%NM 3.67%0.8%2026-07-05 18:15
Matchbook1.03I 97.09%NM 96.33%27.00I 3.70%NM 3.67%0.8%2026-07-05 18:15
ProphetX1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81%0.9%2026-07-05 18:15
Smarkets1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19%25.97I 3.85%NM 3.81%0.9%2026-07-05 18:15