A Escola das Odds

Grigor Dimitrov v Matteo Berrettini

Início: 2026-07-04 17:27 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Grigor Dimitrov (Local)

Previsão 41.34%2.42odd justa
EV +1.69%
Vantagem +0.685%
Kelly +1.15%
Crescimento +0.019%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.46

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.44%41.25%41.56%44.01%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.102.292.302.4647.62%43.71%43.48%40.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Matteo Berrettini (Visitante)

Previsão 58.66%1.70odd justa
EV -0.858%
Vantagem -0.507%
Kelly -1.24%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.99%58.75%58.44%61.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.501.601.601.6966.67%62.57%62.50%59.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV +1.69%E +0.685%K +1.15%G +0.019%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -4.96%E -3.06%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-04 17:10
BetAnything2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV +1.27%E +0.519%K +0.878%G +0.011%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -6.72%E -4.23%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-04 17:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV +1.27%E +0.519%K +0.878%G +0.011%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -10.24%E -6.70%K -19.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 17:25
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -0.794%E -0.331%K -0.567%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -4.38%E -2.69%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-04 17:00
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -0.794%E -0.331%K -0.567%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.72%E -4.23%K -11.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 16:54
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -0.794%E -0.331%K -0.567%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -7.31%E -4.63%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 17:10
NetBet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -0.794%E -0.331%K -0.567%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -10.24%E -6.70%K -19.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 17:20
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -0.794%E -0.331%K -0.567%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -12.00%E -8.00%K -24.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 17:25
SportsBet2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -1.21%E -0.505%K -0.869%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -7.31%E -4.63%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 17:00
ReBet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -1.62%E -0.681%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.55%E -3.45%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 17:01
Codere (IT)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -1.62%E -0.681%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.55%E -3.45%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 17:00
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.62%E -0.681%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.90%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 17:05
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.62%E -0.681%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.90%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 17:25
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -1.62%E -0.681%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -10.24%E -6.70%K -19.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-04 17:25
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -1.62%E -0.681%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -10.24%E -6.70%K -19.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-04 17:25
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.55%E -3.45%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 16:55
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 16:55
TAB2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 17:20
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.72%E -4.23%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 17:00
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.31%E -4.63%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 17:15
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.90%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 17:25
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -9.07%E -5.85%K -16.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 17:25
Unibet (UK)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -3.69%E -1.58%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.96%E -3.06%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 17:25
DraftKings2.33I 42.92%NM 40.56%EV -3.69%E -1.58%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.44%EV -6.72%E -4.23%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 17:25
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.20%E -1.94%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 17:20
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.20%E -1.94%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 17:25
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.96%E -3.06%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 17:25
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.96%E -3.06%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 09:30
MyBookie.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 17:20
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 17:23
Dabble (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -7.31%E -4.63%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 17:23
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.90%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 17:21
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.07%E -5.85%K -16.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-04 16:55
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.96%E -3.06%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 17:19
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.55%E -3.45%K -9.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-04 17:25
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-04 17:25
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-04 17:25
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-04 17:25
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.90%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 17:25
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -9.66%E -6.27%K -17.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-04 17:20
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.82%E -3.51%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.38%E -2.69%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 17:25
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.82%E -3.51%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.38%E -2.69%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 17:25
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.82%E -3.51%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.38%E -2.69%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 17:25
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.82%E -3.51%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.38%E -2.69%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 17:25
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.82%E -3.51%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.38%E -2.69%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 17:25
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.82%E -3.51%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.38%E -2.69%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 17:25
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -9.06%E -4.12%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.62%E -1.58%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 12:15
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.06%E -4.12%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.96%E -3.06%K -8.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 17:25
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.06%E -4.12%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.55%E -3.45%K -9.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 17:25
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.06%E -4.12%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-04 17:25
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.06%E -4.12%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-04 17:25
Bally Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.06%E -4.12%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-04 17:25
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -9.06%E -4.12%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -7.31%E -4.63%K -12.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-04 17:25
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -9.89%E -4.54%K -8.38%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -2.03%E -1.22%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 17:25
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -9.89%E -4.54%K -8.38%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -5.55%E -3.45%K -9.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-04 17:25
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.87%EV -9.89%E -4.54%K -8.38%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.13%EV -7.90%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 17:25
Grosvenor2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -10.71%E -4.96%K -9.24%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -2.62%E -1.58%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.09%EV -10.71%E -4.96%K -9.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.91%EV -7.90%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-04 17:20
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -11.13%E -5.18%K -9.68%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -0.858%E -0.507%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 17:25
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -11.13%E -5.18%K -9.68%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -5.55%E -3.45%K -9.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 17:24
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -11.54%E -5.39%K -10.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -3.20%E -1.94%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 17:25
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -13.19%E -6.28%K -12.00%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%EV -9.66%E -6.27%K -17.88%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-04 17:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%0.2%2026-07-04 17:25
ProphetX2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%0.3%2026-07-04 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-07-04 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-07-04 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-07-04 17:25
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-07-04 17:25
Novig2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.1%2026-07-04 17:25