La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Grigor Dimitrov v Matteo Berrettini
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Grigor Dimitrov (Local)
Predicción 41.34%2.42momio equitativo
EV +1.69%
Ventaja +0.685%
Kelly +1.15%
Crecimiento +0.019%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.46
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.44%41.25%41.56%44.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.292.302.4647.62%43.71%43.48%40.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Matteo Berrettini (Visitante)
Predicción 58.66%1.70momio equitativo
EV -0.858%
Ventaja -0.507%
Kelly -1.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.99%58.75%58.44%61.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.601.601.6966.67%62.57%62.50%59.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV +1.69%E +0.685%K +1.15%G +0.019% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -4.96%E -3.06%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-04 17:10 |
| BetAnything | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV +1.27%E +0.519%K +0.878%G +0.011% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -6.72%E -4.23%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV +1.27%E +0.519%K +0.878%G +0.011% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -10.24%E -6.70%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| Coolbet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -0.794%E -0.331%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -4.38%E -2.69%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-04 17:00 |
| Bovada | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -0.794%E -0.331%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.72%E -4.23%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 16:54 |
| 1xBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -0.794%E -0.331%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -7.31%E -4.63%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 17:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -0.794%E -0.331%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -10.24%E -6.70%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Coral | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -0.794%E -0.331%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -12.00%E -8.00%K -24.01%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -1.21%E -0.505%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -7.31%E -4.63%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 17:00 |
| ReBet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -1.62%E -0.681%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.55%E -3.45%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 17:01 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -1.62%E -0.681%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.55%E -3.45%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 17:00 |
| betfred_uk | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.62%E -0.681%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.90%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.62%E -0.681%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.90%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| Sky Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -1.62%E -0.681%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -10.24%E -6.70%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| Paddy Power | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -1.62%E -0.681%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -10.24%E -6.70%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| BetUS | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.55%E -3.45%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 16:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 16:55 |
| Neds | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 16:55 |
| TAB | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.72%E -4.23%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 17:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.31%E -4.63%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 17:15 |
| LeoVegas | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.90%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -9.07%E -5.85%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -3.69%E -1.58%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.96%E -3.06%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| DraftKings | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.56%EV -3.69%E -1.58%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.44%EV -6.72%E -4.23%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.20%E -1.94%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.20%E -1.94%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| FanDuel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.96%E -3.06%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.96%E -3.06%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 09:30 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 17:23 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -7.31%E -4.63%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 17:23 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.90%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 17:21 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.07%E -5.85%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-04 16:55 |
| Caesars | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.96%E -3.06%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 17:19 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.55%E -3.45%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| NordicBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.90%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| Fliff | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -9.66%E -6.27%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Casumo | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.82%E -3.51%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.38%E -2.69%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.82%E -3.51%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.38%E -2.69%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.82%E -3.51%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.38%E -2.69%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| Unibet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.82%E -3.51%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.38%E -2.69%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.82%E -3.51%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.38%E -2.69%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| betPARX | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.82%E -3.51%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.38%E -2.69%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| BetRivers | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -9.06%E -4.12%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.62%E -1.58%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.06%E -4.12%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.96%E -3.06%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.06%E -4.12%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.55%E -3.45%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.06%E -4.12%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.06%E -4.12%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| Bally Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.06%E -4.12%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -9.06%E -4.12%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -7.31%E -4.63%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -9.89%E -4.54%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -2.03%E -1.22%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -9.89%E -4.54%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -5.55%E -3.45%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.87%EV -9.89%E -4.54%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.13%EV -7.90%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| Grosvenor | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -10.71%E -4.96%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -2.62%E -1.58%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.09%EV -10.71%E -4.96%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.91%EV -7.90%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -11.13%E -5.18%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -0.858%E -0.507%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -11.13%E -5.18%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -5.55%E -3.45%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 17:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -11.54%E -5.39%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -3.20%E -1.94%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -13.19%E -6.28%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%EV -9.66%E -6.27%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08% | 0.2% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| ProphetX | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43% | 0.3% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| Novig | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.1% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |