مدرسة الاحتمالات

Grigor Dimitrov v Matteo Berrettini

البداية: 2026-07-04 17:27 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Grigor Dimitrov (المضيف)

التنبؤ 41.34%2.42السعر العادل
EV +1.69%
الأفضلية +0.685%
Kelly +1.15%
النمو +0.019%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.46

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.44%41.25%41.56%44.01%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.292.302.4647.62%43.71%43.48%40.65%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Matteo Berrettini (الضيف)

التنبؤ 58.66%1.70السعر العادل
EV -0.858%
الأفضلية -0.507%
Kelly -1.24%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.69

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
55.99%58.75%58.44%61.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.501.601.601.6966.67%62.57%62.50%59.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV +1.69%E +0.685%K +1.15%G +0.019%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -4.96%E -3.06%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-04 17:10
BetAnything2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV +1.27%E +0.519%K +0.878%G +0.011%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -6.72%E -4.23%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-04 17:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV +1.27%E +0.519%K +0.878%G +0.011%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -10.24%E -6.70%K -19.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 17:25
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -0.794%E -0.331%K -0.567%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -4.38%E -2.69%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-04 17:00
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -0.794%E -0.331%K -0.567%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.72%E -4.23%K -11.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 16:54
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -0.794%E -0.331%K -0.567%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -7.31%E -4.63%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 17:10
NetBet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -0.794%E -0.331%K -0.567%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -10.24%E -6.70%K -19.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 17:20
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -0.794%E -0.331%K -0.567%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -12.00%E -8.00%K -24.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 17:25
SportsBet2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -1.21%E -0.505%K -0.869%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -7.31%E -4.63%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 17:00
ReBet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -1.62%E -0.681%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.55%E -3.45%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 17:01
Codere (IT)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -1.62%E -0.681%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.55%E -3.45%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 17:00
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.62%E -0.681%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.90%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 17:05
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.62%E -0.681%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.90%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 17:25
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -1.62%E -0.681%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -10.24%E -6.70%K -19.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-04 17:25
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -1.62%E -0.681%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -10.24%E -6.70%K -19.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-04 17:25
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.55%E -3.45%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 16:55
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 16:55
TAB2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 17:20
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.72%E -4.23%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 17:00
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.31%E -4.63%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 17:15
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.90%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 17:25
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -9.07%E -5.85%K -16.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 17:25
Unibet (UK)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -3.69%E -1.58%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.96%E -3.06%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 17:25
DraftKings2.33I 42.92%NM 40.56%EV -3.69%E -1.58%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.44%EV -6.72%E -4.23%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 17:25
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.20%E -1.94%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 17:20
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.20%E -1.94%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 17:25
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.96%E -3.06%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 17:25
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.96%E -3.06%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 09:30
MyBookie.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 17:20
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 17:23
Dabble (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -7.31%E -4.63%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 17:23
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.90%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 17:21
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.07%E -5.85%K -16.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-04 16:55
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.96%E -3.06%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 17:19
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.55%E -3.45%K -9.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-04 17:25
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-04 17:25
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-04 17:25
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-04 17:25
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.90%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 17:25
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -9.66%E -6.27%K -17.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-04 17:20
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.82%E -3.51%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.38%E -2.69%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 17:25
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.82%E -3.51%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.38%E -2.69%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 17:25
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.82%E -3.51%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.38%E -2.69%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 17:25
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.82%E -3.51%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.38%E -2.69%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 17:25
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.82%E -3.51%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.38%E -2.69%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 17:25
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.82%E -3.51%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.38%E -2.69%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 17:25
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -9.06%E -4.12%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.62%E -1.58%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 12:15
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.06%E -4.12%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.96%E -3.06%K -8.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 17:25
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.06%E -4.12%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.55%E -3.45%K -9.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 17:25
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.06%E -4.12%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-04 17:25
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.06%E -4.12%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-04 17:25
Bally Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.06%E -4.12%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-04 17:25
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -9.06%E -4.12%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -7.31%E -4.63%K -12.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-04 17:25
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -9.89%E -4.54%K -8.38%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -2.03%E -1.22%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 17:25
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -9.89%E -4.54%K -8.38%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -5.55%E -3.45%K -9.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-04 17:25
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.87%EV -9.89%E -4.54%K -8.38%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.13%EV -7.90%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 17:25
Grosvenor2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -10.71%E -4.96%K -9.24%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -2.62%E -1.58%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.09%EV -10.71%E -4.96%K -9.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.91%EV -7.90%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-04 17:20
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -11.13%E -5.18%K -9.68%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -0.858%E -0.507%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 17:25
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -11.13%E -5.18%K -9.68%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -5.55%E -3.45%K -9.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 17:24
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -11.54%E -5.39%K -10.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -3.20%E -1.94%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 17:25
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -13.19%E -6.28%K -12.00%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%EV -9.66%E -6.27%K -17.88%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-04 17:25
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%0.2%2026-07-04 17:25
ProphetX2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%0.3%2026-07-04 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-07-04 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-07-04 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-07-04 17:25
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-07-04 17:25
Novig2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.1%2026-07-04 17:25