L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Grigor Dimitrov v Matteo Berrettini
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Grigor Dimitrov (Local)
Prévision 41.34%2.42cote équitable
EV +1.69%
Avantage +0.685%
Kelly +1.15%
Croissance +0.019%
avec la cote maximale 2.46
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.44%41.25%41.56%44.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.292.302.4647.62%43.71%43.48%40.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Matteo Berrettini (Visiteur)
Prévision 58.66%1.70cote équitable
EV -0.858%
Avantage -0.507%
Kelly -1.24%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.69
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.99%58.75%58.44%61.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.601.601.6966.67%62.57%62.50%59.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV +1.69%E +0.685%K +1.15%G +0.019% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -4.96%E -3.06%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-04 17:10 |
| BetAnything | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV +1.27%E +0.519%K +0.878%G +0.011% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -6.72%E -4.23%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV +1.27%E +0.519%K +0.878%G +0.011% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -10.24%E -6.70%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| Coolbet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -0.794%E -0.331%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -4.38%E -2.69%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-04 17:00 |
| Bovada | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -0.794%E -0.331%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.72%E -4.23%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 16:54 |
| 1xBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -0.794%E -0.331%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -7.31%E -4.63%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 17:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -0.794%E -0.331%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -10.24%E -6.70%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Coral | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -0.794%E -0.331%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -12.00%E -8.00%K -24.01%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -1.21%E -0.505%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -7.31%E -4.63%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 17:00 |
| ReBet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -1.62%E -0.681%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.55%E -3.45%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 17:01 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -1.62%E -0.681%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.55%E -3.45%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 17:00 |
| betfred_uk | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.62%E -0.681%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.90%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.62%E -0.681%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.90%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| Sky Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -1.62%E -0.681%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -10.24%E -6.70%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| Paddy Power | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -1.62%E -0.681%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -10.24%E -6.70%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| BetUS | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.55%E -3.45%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 16:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 16:55 |
| Neds | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 16:55 |
| TAB | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.72%E -4.23%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 17:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.31%E -4.63%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 17:15 |
| LeoVegas | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.90%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -9.07%E -5.85%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -3.69%E -1.58%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.96%E -3.06%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| DraftKings | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.56%EV -3.69%E -1.58%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.44%EV -6.72%E -4.23%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.20%E -1.94%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.20%E -1.94%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| FanDuel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.96%E -3.06%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.96%E -3.06%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 09:30 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 17:23 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -7.31%E -4.63%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 17:23 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.90%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 17:21 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.07%E -5.85%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-04 16:55 |
| Caesars | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.96%E -3.06%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 17:19 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.55%E -3.45%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| NordicBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.90%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| Fliff | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.99%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -9.66%E -6.27%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Casumo | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.82%E -3.51%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.38%E -2.69%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.82%E -3.51%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.38%E -2.69%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.82%E -3.51%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.38%E -2.69%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| Unibet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.82%E -3.51%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.38%E -2.69%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.82%E -3.51%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.38%E -2.69%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| betPARX | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.82%E -3.51%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.38%E -2.69%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| BetRivers | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -9.06%E -4.12%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.62%E -1.58%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.06%E -4.12%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.96%E -3.06%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.06%E -4.12%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.55%E -3.45%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.06%E -4.12%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.06%E -4.12%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| Bally Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.06%E -4.12%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -9.06%E -4.12%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -7.31%E -4.63%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -9.89%E -4.54%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -2.03%E -1.22%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -9.89%E -4.54%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -5.55%E -3.45%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.87%EV -9.89%E -4.54%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.13%EV -7.90%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| Grosvenor | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -10.71%E -4.96%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -2.62%E -1.58%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.09%EV -10.71%E -4.96%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.91%EV -7.90%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -11.13%E -5.18%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -0.858%E -0.507%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -11.13%E -5.18%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -5.55%E -3.45%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 17:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -11.54%E -5.39%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -3.20%E -1.94%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -13.19%E -6.28%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%EV -9.66%E -6.27%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08% | 0.2% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| ProphetX | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43% | 0.3% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| Novig | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.1% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |