语言:简体中文
Frances Tiafoe v Alexander Bublik
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Frances Tiafoe (主队)
预测 54.53%1.83公平赔率
EV +2.52%
优势 +1.34%
Kelly +2.86%
增长率 +0.072%
假设最高赔率为 1.88
博彩公司预测分布
50.53%55.05%54.52%60.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.481.711.711.8867.57%58.47%58.48%53.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
Alexander Bublik (客队)
预测 45.47%2.20公平赔率
EV +8.21%
优势 +3.45%
Kelly +5.95%
增长率 +0.489%
假设最高赔率为 2.38
博彩公司预测分布
39.59%44.95%45.48%49.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.902.102.102.3852.63%47.55%47.62%42.02%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Frances Tiafoe (主队)：54.53%；Alexander Bublik (客队)：45.47%。 对于“Alexander Bublik (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.20。 当时有21家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.38，对应+8.21%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -14.38%E -9.16%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +8.21%E +3.45%K +5.95%G +0.489% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -14.93%E -9.57%K -26.66%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV +8.21%E +3.45%K +5.95%G +0.489% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -11.66%E -7.20%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +4.58%E +1.99%K +3.52%G +0.161% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -12.75%E -7.97%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +4.58%E +1.99%K +3.52%G +0.161% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -15.48%E -9.98%K -28.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV +4.58%E +1.99%K +3.52%G +0.161% | 8.0% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +2.30%E +1.02%K +1.84%G +0.042% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -12.75%E -7.97%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +2.30%E +1.02%K +1.84%G +0.042% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -14.38%E -9.16%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV +2.30%E +1.02%K +1.84%G +0.042% | 8.1% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -14.38%E -9.16%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV +2.30%E +1.02%K +1.84%G +0.042% | 8.1% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -14.38%E -9.16%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV +2.30%E +1.02%K +1.84%G +0.042% | 8.1% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -18.20%E -12.13%K -36.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV +2.30%E +1.02%K +1.84%G +0.042% | 11.1% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -19.29%E -13.04%K -40.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV +2.30%E +1.02%K +1.84%G +0.042% | 12.0% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.030%E +0.013%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -10.02%E -6.07%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +0.030%E +0.013%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -10.02%E -6.07%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +0.030%E +0.013%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -10.02%E -6.07%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +0.030%E +0.013%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -10.02%E -6.07%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +0.030%E +0.013%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -12.20%E -7.58%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +0.030%E +0.013%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -12.20%E -7.58%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +0.030%E +0.013%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -12.20%E -7.58%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +0.030%E +0.013%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -14.93%E -9.57%K -26.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV +0.030%E +0.013%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -9.48%E -5.71%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -0.880%E -0.404%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -9.48%E -5.71%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -0.880%E -0.404%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -11.11%E -6.82%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -0.880%E -0.404%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -11.66%E -7.20%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -1.33%E -0.615%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -11.66%E -7.20%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -1.33%E -0.615%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -10.57%E -6.44%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -1.79%E -0.828%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.84%E -4.64%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.24%E -1.04%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 17:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -12.75%E -7.97%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -2.24%E -1.04%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.61%E -1.70%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 17:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.57%E -2.61%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -12.20%E -7.58%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.02%E -2.29%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.43%E -2.61%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-04 17:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.79%E -3.31%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV +1.97%E +1.06%K +2.27%G +0.045% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -7.25%E -3.55%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-04 17:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -1.84%E -1.02%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -7.25%E -3.55%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 17:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -2.39%E -1.33%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -7.25%E -3.55%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -4.02%E -2.29%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -7.25%E -3.55%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV +1.97%E +1.06%K +2.27%G +0.045% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -8.15%E -4.04%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-04 17:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV +0.339%E +0.184%K +0.403%G +0.001% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -8.15%E -4.04%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-04 17:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV +0.339%E +0.184%K +0.403%G +0.001% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -8.15%E -4.04%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-04 17:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -8.15%E -4.04%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -0.206%E -0.113%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 16:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -0.752%E -0.413%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.84%E -1.02%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 16:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.84%E -1.02%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 16:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.84%E -1.02%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV +1.43%E +0.769%K +1.66%G +0.024% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -9.52%E -4.78%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-04 17:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -2.39%E -1.33%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -9.97%E -5.04%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 17:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -1.30%E -0.717%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -10.43%E -5.29%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 17:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -1.84%E -1.02%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -10.43%E -5.29%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -0.206%E -0.113%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -10.88%E -5.55%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 16:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -0.206%E -0.113%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -10.88%E -5.55%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 16:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +0.884%E +0.478%K +1.04%G +0.009% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -11.34%E -5.81%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 17:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -0.752%E -0.413%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -11.34%E -5.81%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.84%E -1.02%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.34%E -5.81%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 17:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV +2.52%E +1.34%K +2.86%G +0.072% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -12.70%E -6.62%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 16:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -0.206%E -0.113%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -13.16%E -6.89%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 16:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -0.206%E -0.113%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -13.16%E -6.89%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -1.84%E -1.02%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -13.16%E -6.89%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 16:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -1.84%E -1.02%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -13.16%E -6.89%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 16:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -4.57%E -2.61%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -13.61%E -7.16%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-04 17:19 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 0.4% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 0.4% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 0.8% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07% | 3.2% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77% | 4.0% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21% | 7.4% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |