La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Frances Tiafoe v Alexander Bublik
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Frances Tiafoe (Local)
Predicción 54.53%1.83momio equitativo
EV +2.52%
Ventaja +1.34%
Kelly +2.86%
Crecimiento +0.072%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.53%55.05%54.52%60.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.481.711.711.8867.57%58.47%58.48%53.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alexander Bublik (Visitante)
Predicción 45.47%2.20momio equitativo
EV +8.21%
Ventaja +3.45%
Kelly +5.95%
Crecimiento +0.489%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.59%44.95%45.48%49.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.902.102.102.3852.63%47.55%47.62%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -14.38%E -9.16%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +8.21%E +3.45%K +5.95%G +0.489% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -14.93%E -9.57%K -26.66%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV +8.21%E +3.45%K +5.95%G +0.489% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -11.66%E -7.20%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +4.58%E +1.99%K +3.52%G +0.161% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -12.75%E -7.97%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +4.58%E +1.99%K +3.52%G +0.161% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -15.48%E -9.98%K -28.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV +4.58%E +1.99%K +3.52%G +0.161% | 8.0% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +2.30%E +1.02%K +1.84%G +0.042% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -12.75%E -7.97%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +2.30%E +1.02%K +1.84%G +0.042% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -14.38%E -9.16%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV +2.30%E +1.02%K +1.84%G +0.042% | 8.1% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Sky Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -14.38%E -9.16%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV +2.30%E +1.02%K +1.84%G +0.042% | 8.1% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -14.38%E -9.16%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV +2.30%E +1.02%K +1.84%G +0.042% | 8.1% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -18.20%E -12.13%K -36.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV +2.30%E +1.02%K +1.84%G +0.042% | 11.1% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -19.29%E -13.04%K -40.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV +2.30%E +1.02%K +1.84%G +0.042% | 12.0% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.030%E +0.013%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Casumo | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -10.02%E -6.07%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +0.030%E +0.013%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Unibet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -10.02%E -6.07%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +0.030%E +0.013%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| betPARX | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -10.02%E -6.07%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +0.030%E +0.013%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -10.02%E -6.07%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +0.030%E +0.013%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -12.20%E -7.58%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +0.030%E +0.013%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -12.20%E -7.58%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +0.030%E +0.013%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -12.20%E -7.58%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +0.030%E +0.013%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Fliff | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -14.93%E -9.57%K -26.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV +0.030%E +0.013%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -9.48%E -5.71%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -0.880%E -0.404%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -9.48%E -5.71%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -0.880%E -0.404%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -11.11%E -6.82%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -0.880%E -0.404%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -11.66%E -7.20%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -1.33%E -0.615%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Bally Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -11.66%E -7.20%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -1.33%E -0.615%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -10.57%E -6.44%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -1.79%E -0.828%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Caesars | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.84%E -4.64%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.24%E -1.04%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 17:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -12.75%E -7.97%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -2.24%E -1.04%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| 1xBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.61%E -1.70%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 17:10 |
| Betway | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.57%E -2.61%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -12.20%E -7.58%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.02%E -2.29%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.43%E -2.61%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-04 17:19 |
| BetMGM | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.79%E -3.31%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV +1.97%E +1.06%K +2.27%G +0.045% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -7.25%E -3.55%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-04 17:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -1.84%E -1.02%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -7.25%E -3.55%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 17:19 |
| FanDuel | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -2.39%E -1.33%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -7.25%E -3.55%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -4.02%E -2.29%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -7.25%E -3.55%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV +1.97%E +1.06%K +2.27%G +0.045% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -8.15%E -4.04%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-04 17:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV +0.339%E +0.184%K +0.403%G +0.001% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -8.15%E -4.04%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-04 17:00 |
| ReBet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV +0.339%E +0.184%K +0.403%G +0.001% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -8.15%E -4.04%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-04 17:01 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -8.15%E -4.04%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Bovada | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -0.206%E -0.113%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 16:49 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -0.752%E -0.413%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.84%E -1.02%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 16:55 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.84%E -1.02%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 16:50 |
| TAB | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.84%E -1.02%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV +1.43%E +0.769%K +1.66%G +0.024% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -9.52%E -4.78%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-04 17:00 |
| Betsson | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -2.39%E -1.33%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -9.97%E -5.04%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 17:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -1.30%E -0.717%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -10.43%E -5.29%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 17:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -1.84%E -1.02%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -10.43%E -5.29%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -0.206%E -0.113%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -10.88%E -5.55%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 16:50 |
| Neds | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -0.206%E -0.113%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -10.88%E -5.55%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 16:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +0.884%E +0.478%K +1.04%G +0.009% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -11.34%E -5.81%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 17:15 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -0.752%E -0.413%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -11.34%E -5.81%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.84%E -1.02%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.34%E -5.81%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 17:19 |
| BetRivers | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV +2.52%E +1.34%K +2.86%G +0.072% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -12.70%E -6.62%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 16:50 |
| BetUS | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -0.206%E -0.113%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -13.16%E -6.89%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 16:50 |
| BetAnything | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -0.206%E -0.113%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -13.16%E -6.89%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -1.84%E -1.02%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -13.16%E -6.89%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 16:50 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -1.84%E -1.02%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -13.16%E -6.89%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 16:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -4.57%E -2.61%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -13.61%E -7.16%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-04 17:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 0.4% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 0.4% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 0.8% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07% | 3.2% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| ProphetX | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77% | 4.0% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Novig | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21% | 7.4% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |