مدرسة الاحتمالات

Frances Tiafoe v Alexander Bublik

البداية: 2026-07-04 17:22 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Frances Tiafoe (المضيف)

التنبؤ 54.53%1.83السعر العادل
EV +2.52%
الأفضلية +1.34%
Kelly +2.86%
النمو +0.072%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.88

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.53%55.05%54.52%60.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.481.711.711.8867.57%58.47%58.48%53.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Alexander Bublik (الضيف)

التنبؤ 45.47%2.20السعر العادل
EV +8.21%
الأفضلية +3.45%
Kelly +5.95%
النمو +0.489%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.38

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.59%44.95%45.48%49.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.902.102.102.3852.63%47.55%47.62%42.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -14.38%E -9.16%K -25.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +8.21%E +3.45%K +5.95%G +0.489%5.7%2026-07-04 17:20
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -14.93%E -9.57%K -26.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV +8.21%E +3.45%K +5.95%G +0.489%6.1%2026-07-04 17:20
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -11.66%E -7.20%K -18.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +4.58%E +1.99%K +3.52%G +0.161%5.2%2026-07-04 17:20
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -12.75%E -7.97%K -21.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +4.58%E +1.99%K +3.52%G +0.161%6.0%2026-07-04 17:20
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -15.48%E -9.98%K -28.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV +4.58%E +1.99%K +3.52%G +0.161%8.0%2026-07-04 17:20
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +2.30%E +1.02%K +1.84%G +0.042%4.3%2026-07-04 17:20
PointsBet (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -12.75%E -7.97%K -21.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +2.30%E +1.02%K +1.84%G +0.042%6.9%2026-07-04 17:20
NordicBet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -14.38%E -9.16%K -25.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV +2.30%E +1.02%K +1.84%G +0.042%8.1%2026-07-04 17:20
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -14.38%E -9.16%K -25.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV +2.30%E +1.02%K +1.84%G +0.042%8.1%2026-07-04 17:20
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -14.38%E -9.16%K -25.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV +2.30%E +1.02%K +1.84%G +0.042%8.1%2026-07-04 17:20
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -18.20%E -12.13%K -36.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV +2.30%E +1.02%K +1.84%G +0.042%11.1%2026-07-04 17:20
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -19.29%E -13.04%K -40.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV +2.30%E +1.02%K +1.84%G +0.042%12.0%2026-07-04 17:20
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.030%E +0.013%K +0.025%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 17:20
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -10.02%E -6.07%K -15.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +0.030%E +0.013%K +0.025%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 17:20
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -10.02%E -6.07%K -15.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +0.030%E +0.013%K +0.025%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 17:20
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -10.02%E -6.07%K -15.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +0.030%E +0.013%K +0.025%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 17:20
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -10.02%E -6.07%K -15.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +0.030%E +0.013%K +0.025%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 17:20
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -12.20%E -7.58%K -20.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +0.030%E +0.013%K +0.025%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 17:20
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -12.20%E -7.58%K -20.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +0.030%E +0.013%K +0.025%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 17:20
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -12.20%E -7.58%K -20.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +0.030%E +0.013%K +0.025%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 17:20
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -14.93%E -9.57%K -26.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV +0.030%E +0.013%K +0.025%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 17:20
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -9.48%E -5.71%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -0.880%E -0.404%K -0.746%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 17:20
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -9.48%E -5.71%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -0.880%E -0.404%K -0.746%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 17:20
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -11.11%E -6.82%K -17.64%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -0.880%E -0.404%K -0.746%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 17:20
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -11.66%E -7.20%K -18.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -1.33%E -0.615%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 17:20
Bally Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -11.66%E -7.20%K -18.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -1.33%E -0.615%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 17:20
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -10.57%E -6.44%K -16.51%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -1.79%E -0.828%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 17:20
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.84%E -4.64%K -11.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.24%E -1.04%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 17:19
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -12.75%E -7.97%K -21.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -2.24%E -1.04%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-04 17:20
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.61%E -1.70%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 17:10
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.57%E -2.61%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 17:20
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -12.20%E -7.58%K -20.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-04 17:20
Unibet (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.02%E -2.29%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.43%E -2.61%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-04 17:19
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.79%E -3.31%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 17:20
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV +1.97%E +1.06%K +2.27%G +0.045%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -7.25%E -3.55%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-04 17:10
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -1.84%E -1.02%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -7.25%E -3.55%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 17:19
FanDuel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -2.39%E -1.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -7.25%E -3.55%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-04 17:20
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -4.02%E -2.29%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -7.25%E -3.55%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 17:20
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV +1.97%E +1.06%K +2.27%G +0.045%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -8.15%E -4.04%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-04 17:00
Codere (IT)1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV +0.339%E +0.184%K +0.403%G +0.001%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -8.15%E -4.04%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 17:00
ReBet1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV +0.339%E +0.184%K +0.403%G +0.001%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -8.15%E -4.04%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 17:01
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -8.15%E -4.04%K -7.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 17:20
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -0.206%E -0.113%K -0.249%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 16:49
MyBookie.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -0.752%E -0.413%K -0.917%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-04 17:05
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.84%E -1.02%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 16:55
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.84%E -1.02%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 16:50
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.84%E -1.02%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 17:20
Unibet (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV +1.43%E +0.769%K +1.66%G +0.024%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -9.52%E -4.78%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-04 17:00
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -2.39%E -1.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -9.97%E -5.04%K -10.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 17:00
Betr (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -1.30%E -0.717%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -10.43%E -5.29%K -10.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 17:00
NetBet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -1.84%E -1.02%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -10.43%E -5.29%K -10.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -0.206%E -0.113%K -0.249%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -10.88%E -5.55%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 16:50
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -0.206%E -0.113%K -0.249%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -10.88%E -5.55%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 16:50
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +0.884%E +0.478%K +1.04%G +0.009%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -11.34%E -5.81%K -11.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 17:15
Dabble (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -0.752%E -0.413%K -0.917%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -11.34%E -5.81%K -11.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 17:05
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.84%E -1.02%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.34%E -5.81%K -11.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 17:19
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV +2.52%E +1.34%K +2.86%G +0.072%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -12.70%E -6.62%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 16:50
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -0.206%E -0.113%K -0.249%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -13.16%E -6.89%K -14.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 16:50
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -0.206%E -0.113%K -0.249%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -13.16%E -6.89%K -14.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -1.84%E -1.02%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -13.16%E -6.89%K -14.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 16:50
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -1.84%E -1.02%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -13.16%E -6.89%K -14.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 16:50
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -4.57%E -2.61%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -13.61%E -7.16%K -15.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-04 17:19
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-07-04 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-07-04 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-07-04 17:20
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%3.2%2026-07-04 17:20
ProphetX1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%4.0%2026-07-04 17:20
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%5.0%2026-07-04 17:20
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%7.4%2026-07-04 17:20