Felix Auger-Aliassime v Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Начало: 2026-07-05 14:45 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

64 букмекерские конторы (21 в анализе )

60%

40%

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Хозяева)

Прогноз 60.45%1.65справедливый коэффициент

EV -2.07%

Преимущество -1.28%

Kelly -3.34%

Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.62

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор

58.14%60.47%60.55%61.21%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Распределение коэффициентов

1.531.581.581.6265.36%63.32%63.29%61.73%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Гости)

Прогноз 39.55%2.53справедливый коэффициент

EV -0.726%

Преимущество -0.289%

Kelly -0.481%

Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.51

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор

38.79%39.53%39.45%41.86%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Распределение коэффициентов

2.252.382.382.5144.44%42.09%42.02%39.84%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (64 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контора	Хозяева ▼	Гости	Маржа	Обновлено
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.07%E -1.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.01%E -4.89%K -8.81%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-05 14:40
Hard Rock Bet	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.68%E -1.66%K -4.39%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-05 14:39
Pinnacle	1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -0.726%E -0.289%K -0.481%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-07-05 14:40
Winamax (DE)	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -3.10%E -1.26%K -2.14%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-07-05 14:40
Betway	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-07-05 14:39
Unibet	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-05 14:40
BetRivers	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-05 14:40
Unibet (NL)	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-05 14:40
TABtouch	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-05 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-05 14:40
Unibet (SE)	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-05 14:40
Casumo	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-05 14:40
Grosvenor	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-05 14:40
TAB	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-05 14:39
Neds	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-05 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-05 14:40
betPARX	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-05 14:39
ATG (SE)	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-05 14:40
Svenska Spel	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-05 14:40
Bally Bet	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-05 14:40
PlayUp	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.03%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-05 14:40
Coolbet	1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.89%E -2.44%K -6.59%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.12%E -0.449%K -0.748%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-07-05 14:39
Unibet (FR)	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.89%E -2.44%K -6.59%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.10%E -1.26%K -2.14%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-07-05 14:39
BetAnything	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.89%E -2.44%K -6.59%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.10%E -1.26%K -2.14%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-07-05 14:40
Codere (IT)	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -3.89%E -2.44%K -6.59%G +0.000%	2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -3.49%E -1.43%K -2.43%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-07-05 14:40
ReBet	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -3.89%E -2.44%K -6.59%G +0.000%	2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -3.49%E -1.43%K -2.43%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-07-05 14:40
FanDuel	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.89%E -2.44%K -6.59%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-05 14:40
BetUS	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.89%E -2.44%K -6.59%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-05 14:39
theScore Bet	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.89%E -2.44%K -6.59%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-05 14:40
Unibet (UK)	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -4.49%E -2.84%K -7.74%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -3.89%E -1.60%K -2.72%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-07-05 14:40
MyBookie.ag	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -4.49%E -2.84%K -7.74%G +0.000%	2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -4.68%E -1.94%K -3.32%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-05 14:40
1xBet	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.49%E -2.84%K -7.74%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-05 14:39
SportsBet	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.49%E -2.84%K -7.74%G +0.000%	2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.47%E -2.29%K -3.94%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-05 14:40
Marathon Bet	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.49%E -2.84%K -7.74%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.87%E -2.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-05 14:28
Virgin Bet	1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -4.49%E -2.84%K -7.74%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -8.24%E -3.55%K -6.24%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-05 14:40
Dabble (AU)	1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.49%E -2.84%K -7.74%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.03%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-07-05 14:40
Fanatics	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.10%E -3.25%K -8.94%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.10%E -1.26%K -2.14%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-07-05 14:40
DraftKings	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -5.10%E -3.25%K -8.94%G +0.000%	2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -4.68%E -1.94%K -3.32%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-05 14:40
Paddy Power	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.10%E -3.25%K -8.94%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-05 14:40
betfred_uk	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.10%E -3.25%K -8.94%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.87%E -2.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-05 14:39
888sport	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.10%E -3.25%K -8.94%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.87%E -2.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-05 14:40
William Hill	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.10%E -3.25%K -8.94%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.87%E -2.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-05 14:40
Sky Bet	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.10%E -3.25%K -8.94%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.87%E -2.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-05 14:40
BoyleSports	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.10%E -3.25%K -8.94%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.87%E -2.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-05 14:39
Mr Green (SE)	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.10%E -3.25%K -8.94%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.87%E -2.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-05 14:40
888sport (SE)	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.10%E -3.25%K -8.94%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.87%E -2.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-05 14:40
Everygame	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.10%E -3.25%K -8.94%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-05 14:34
BetMGM	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.10%E -3.25%K -8.94%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-05 14:40
PMU (FR)	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.10%E -3.25%K -8.94%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -8.24%E -3.55%K -6.24%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-07-05 14:40
Betr (AU)	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.70%E -3.65%K -10.18%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-05 14:40
Winamax (FR)	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.70%E -3.65%K -10.18%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-05 14:40
Betsson	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.31%EV -5.70%E -3.65%K -10.18%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -6.26%E -2.64%K -4.57%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-05 14:40
NordicBet	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.31%EV -5.70%E -3.65%K -10.18%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -6.26%E -2.64%K -4.57%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-05 14:40
Fliff	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.70%E -3.65%K -10.18%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-05 14:40
LiveScore Bet	1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -5.70%E -3.65%K -10.18%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -9.82%E -4.31%K -7.67%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-07-05 14:40
GTbets	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.86%EV -6.30%E -4.07%K -11.46%G +0.000%	2.41I 41.49%NM 39.14%EV -4.68%E -1.94%K -3.32%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-05 14:35
PointsBet (AU)	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.30%E -4.07%K -11.46%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-05 14:40
LeoVegas	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.30%E -4.07%K -11.46%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-05 14:40
Tipico (DE)	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.30%E -4.07%K -11.46%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-05 14:40
Coral	1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.30%E -4.07%K -11.46%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.03%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-07-05 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.30%E -4.07%K -11.46%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.03%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-07-05 14:40
Betclic (FR)	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -6.91%E -4.49%K -12.79%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -3.89%E -1.60%K -2.72%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-05 14:39
Caesars	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.18%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-05 14:39
Bet Victor	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.18%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.03%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-07-05 14:39

Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (7)

Букмекерская контора	Хозяева	Гости	Маржа ▲	Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%	2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%	0.7%	2026-07-05 14:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%	2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%	0.7%	2026-07-05 14:40
Matchbook	1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%	2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%	0.7%	2026-07-05 14:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%	2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%	1.0%	2026-07-05 14:40
ProphetX	1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%	2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%	1.4%	2026-07-05 14:40
Novig	1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%	2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%	2.3%	2026-07-05 14:40
Smarkets	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%	2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%	2.5%	2026-07-05 14:40