Felix Auger-Aliassime v Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Inizio: 2026-07-05 14:45 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

60%

40%

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Casa)

Previsione 60.45%1.65quota equa

EV -2.07%

Vantaggio -1.28%

Kelly -3.34%

Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.62

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

58.14%60.47%60.55%61.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Distribuzione delle quote

1.531.581.581.6265.36%63.32%63.29%61.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Trasferta)

Previsione 39.55%2.53quota equa

EV -0.726%

Vantaggio -0.289%

Kelly -0.481%

Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.51

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

38.79%39.53%39.45%41.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Distribuzione delle quote

2.252.382.382.5144.44%42.09%42.02%39.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

Bookmaker	Casa ▼	Trasferta	Margine	Aggiornamento
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.07%E -1.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.01%E -4.89%K -8.81%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-05 14:40
Hard Rock Bet	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.68%E -1.66%K -4.39%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-05 14:39
Pinnacle	1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -0.726%E -0.289%K -0.481%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-07-05 14:40
Winamax (DE)	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -3.10%E -1.26%K -2.14%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-07-05 14:40
Betway	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-07-05 14:39
Unibet	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-05 14:40
BetRivers	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-05 14:40
Unibet (NL)	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-05 14:40
TABtouch	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-05 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-05 14:40
Unibet (SE)	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-05 14:40
Casumo	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-05 14:40
Grosvenor	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-05 14:40
TAB	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-05 14:39
Neds	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-05 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-05 14:40
betPARX	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-05 14:39
ATG (SE)	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-05 14:40
Svenska Spel	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-05 14:40
Bally Bet	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-05 14:40
PlayUp	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.03%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-05 14:40
Coolbet	1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.89%E -2.44%K -6.59%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.12%E -0.449%K -0.748%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-07-05 14:39
Unibet (FR)	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.89%E -2.44%K -6.59%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.10%E -1.26%K -2.14%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-07-05 14:39
BetAnything	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.89%E -2.44%K -6.59%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.10%E -1.26%K -2.14%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-07-05 14:40
Codere (IT)	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -3.89%E -2.44%K -6.59%G +0.000%	2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -3.49%E -1.43%K -2.43%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-07-05 14:40
ReBet	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -3.89%E -2.44%K -6.59%G +0.000%	2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -3.49%E -1.43%K -2.43%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-07-05 14:40
FanDuel	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.89%E -2.44%K -6.59%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-05 14:40
BetUS	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.89%E -2.44%K -6.59%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-05 14:39
theScore Bet	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.89%E -2.44%K -6.59%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-05 14:40
Unibet (UK)	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -4.49%E -2.84%K -7.74%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -3.89%E -1.60%K -2.72%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-07-05 14:40
MyBookie.ag	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -4.49%E -2.84%K -7.74%G +0.000%	2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -4.68%E -1.94%K -3.32%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-05 14:40
1xBet	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.49%E -2.84%K -7.74%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-05 14:39
SportsBet	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.49%E -2.84%K -7.74%G +0.000%	2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.47%E -2.29%K -3.94%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-05 14:40
Marathon Bet	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.49%E -2.84%K -7.74%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.87%E -2.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-05 14:28
Virgin Bet	1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -4.49%E -2.84%K -7.74%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -8.24%E -3.55%K -6.24%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-05 14:40
Dabble (AU)	1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.49%E -2.84%K -7.74%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.03%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-07-05 14:40
Fanatics	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.10%E -3.25%K -8.94%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.10%E -1.26%K -2.14%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-07-05 14:40
DraftKings	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -5.10%E -3.25%K -8.94%G +0.000%	2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -4.68%E -1.94%K -3.32%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-05 14:40
Paddy Power	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.10%E -3.25%K -8.94%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-05 14:40
betfred_uk	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.10%E -3.25%K -8.94%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.87%E -2.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-05 14:39
888sport	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.10%E -3.25%K -8.94%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.87%E -2.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-05 14:40
William Hill	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.10%E -3.25%K -8.94%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.87%E -2.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-05 14:40
Sky Bet	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.10%E -3.25%K -8.94%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.87%E -2.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-05 14:40
BoyleSports	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.10%E -3.25%K -8.94%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.87%E -2.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-05 14:39
Mr Green (SE)	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.10%E -3.25%K -8.94%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.87%E -2.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-05 14:40
888sport (SE)	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.10%E -3.25%K -8.94%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.87%E -2.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-05 14:40
Everygame	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.10%E -3.25%K -8.94%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-05 14:34
BetMGM	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.10%E -3.25%K -8.94%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-05 14:40
PMU (FR)	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.10%E -3.25%K -8.94%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -8.24%E -3.55%K -6.24%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-07-05 14:40
Betr (AU)	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.70%E -3.65%K -10.18%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-05 14:40
Winamax (FR)	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.70%E -3.65%K -10.18%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-05 14:40
Betsson	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.31%EV -5.70%E -3.65%K -10.18%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -6.26%E -2.64%K -4.57%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-05 14:40
NordicBet	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.31%EV -5.70%E -3.65%K -10.18%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -6.26%E -2.64%K -4.57%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-05 14:40
Fliff	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.70%E -3.65%K -10.18%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-05 14:40
LiveScore Bet	1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -5.70%E -3.65%K -10.18%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -9.82%E -4.31%K -7.67%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-07-05 14:40
GTbets	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.86%EV -6.30%E -4.07%K -11.46%G +0.000%	2.41I 41.49%NM 39.14%EV -4.68%E -1.94%K -3.32%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-05 14:35
PointsBet (AU)	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.30%E -4.07%K -11.46%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-05 14:40
LeoVegas	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.30%E -4.07%K -11.46%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-05 14:40
Tipico (DE)	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.30%E -4.07%K -11.46%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-05 14:40
Coral	1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.30%E -4.07%K -11.46%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.03%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-07-05 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.30%E -4.07%K -11.46%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.03%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-07-05 14:40
Betclic (FR)	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -6.91%E -4.49%K -12.79%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -3.89%E -1.60%K -2.72%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-05 14:39
Caesars	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.18%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-05 14:39
Bet Victor	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.18%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.03%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-07-05 14:39

Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

Bookmaker	Casa	Trasferta	Margine ▲	Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%	2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%	0.7%	2026-07-05 14:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%	2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%	0.7%	2026-07-05 14:40
Matchbook	1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%	2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%	0.7%	2026-07-05 14:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%	2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%	1.0%	2026-07-05 14:40
ProphetX	1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%	2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%	1.4%	2026-07-05 14:40
Novig	1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%	2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%	2.3%	2026-07-05 14:40
Smarkets	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%	2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%	2.5%	2026-07-05 14:40