Language:English
Dane Sweeny v Grigor Dimitrov
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dane Sweeny (Local)
Prediction 24.48%4.08fair odd
EV +0.861%
Edge +0.209%
Kelly +0.276%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 4.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.37%24.60%24.42%27.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.833.864.1229.41%26.09%25.91%24.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Grigor Dimitrov (Visit)
Prediction 75.52%1.32fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -6.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.34%75.40%75.58%76.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.261.261.3081.97%79.24%79.37%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dane Sweeny (Local): 24.48%; Grigor Dimitrov (Visit): 75.52%. For Dane Sweeny (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.08. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.12, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.861%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.84%EV +0.861%E +0.209%K +0.276%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.16%EV -2.58%E -2.00%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +0.371%E +0.090%K +0.120%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -4.09%E -3.22%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.53%EV -1.34%E -0.333%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.47%EV -6.36%E -5.13%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -2.08%E -0.519%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -3.34%E -2.61%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.08%E -0.519%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.09%E -3.22%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.08%E -0.519%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.09%E -3.22%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.08%E -0.519%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.08%E -0.519%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.08%E -0.519%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.60%E -4.48%K -22.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.08%E -0.519%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.60%E -4.48%K -22.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 16:38 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.08%E -0.519%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.87%E -6.45%K -35.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 16:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.48%EV -2.57%E -0.645%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.52%EV -2.58%E -2.00%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.80%EV -2.81%E -0.708%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.20%EV -6.36%E -5.13%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.30%E -0.836%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.30%E -0.836%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 16:38 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.53%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.53%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.53%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.53%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.53%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.53%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.53%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.53%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.53%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.53%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.53%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.53%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.53%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.53%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.53%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.60%E -4.48%K -22.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.31%EV -5.50%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.69%EV -6.36%E -5.13%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.31%EV -5.50%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.69%EV -6.36%E -5.13%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.75%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.09%E -3.22%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -5.75%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.60%E -4.48%K -22.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -5.75%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.60%E -4.48%K -22.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.75%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -6.36%E -5.13%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -5.99%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -6.97%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.34%E -2.61%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 16:36 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.97%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.60%E -4.48%K -22.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.97%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.60%E -4.48%K -22.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.97%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.36%E -5.13%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.97%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.36%E -5.13%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -6.97%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -7.11%E -5.78%K -30.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV -7.46%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.85%EV -4.09%E -3.22%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.20%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.09%E -3.22%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.20%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.09%E -3.22%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.20%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.60%E -4.48%K -22.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.20%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.60%E -4.48%K -22.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -2.58%E -2.00%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.34%E -2.61%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.34%E -2.61%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.09%E -3.22%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.60%E -4.48%K -22.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.60%E -4.48%K -22.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.58%E -2.00%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.58%E -2.00%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.58%E -2.00%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.58%E -2.00%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.34%E -2.61%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.60%E -4.48%K -22.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.60%E -4.48%K -22.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-30 16:38 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -14.32%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -1.82%E -1.40%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -16.77%E -4.93%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -1.82%E -1.40%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 0.5% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Novig◎ | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20% | 2.0% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88% | 2.7% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |