مدرسة الاحتمالات

Dane Sweeny v Grigor Dimitrov

البداية: 2026-06-30 17:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Dane Sweeny (المضيف)

التنبؤ 24.48%4.08السعر العادل
EV +0.861%
الأفضلية +0.209%
Kelly +0.276%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.12

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.37%24.60%24.42%27.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.403.833.864.1229.41%26.09%25.91%24.27%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Grigor Dimitrov (الضيف)

التنبؤ 75.52%1.32السعر العادل
EV -1.82%
الأفضلية -1.40%
Kelly -6.08%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
72.34%75.40%75.58%76.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.221.261.261.3081.97%79.24%79.37%76.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet4.12I 24.27%NM 23.84%EV +0.861%E +0.209%K +0.276%G +0.002%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.16%EV -2.58%E -2.00%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-30 16:40
Winamax (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +0.371%E +0.090%K +0.120%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -4.09%E -3.22%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-30 16:40
DraftKings4.03I 24.81%NM 23.53%EV -1.34%E -0.333%K -0.443%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.47%EV -6.36%E -5.13%K -26.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 16:40
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -2.08%E -0.519%K -0.692%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -3.34%E -2.61%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-30 16:40
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.08%E -0.519%K -0.692%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.09%E -3.22%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 16:40
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.08%E -0.519%K -0.692%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.09%E -3.22%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 16:40
Codere (IT)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.08%E -0.519%K -0.692%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 16:39
ReBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.08%E -0.519%K -0.692%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 16:39
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.08%E -0.519%K -0.692%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.60%E -4.48%K -22.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 16:40
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.08%E -0.519%K -0.692%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.60%E -4.48%K -22.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 16:38
Caesars4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.08%E -0.519%K -0.692%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.87%E -6.45%K -35.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 16:35
Pinnacle3.98I 25.13%NM 24.48%EV -2.57%E -0.645%K -0.861%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.52%EV -2.58%E -2.00%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-30 16:39
GTbets3.97I 25.19%NM 23.80%EV -2.81%E -0.708%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.20%EV -6.36%E -5.13%K -26.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 16:39
Unibet (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.30%E -0.836%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 16:40
MyBookie.ag3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.30%E -0.836%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 16:38
Unibet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.53%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 16:39
Casumo3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.53%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 16:39
BetRivers3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.53%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 16:39
Unibet (NL)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.53%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 16:39
TABtouch3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.53%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.53%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 16:40
Unibet (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.53%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 16:39
Grosvenor3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.53%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 16:39
LeoVegas3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.53%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 16:39
Fanatics3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.53%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 16:40
Svenska Spel3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.53%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 16:39
betPARX3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.53%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 16:39
ATG (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.53%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 16:39
Bally Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.53%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 16:40
Winamax (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.53%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.60%E -4.48%K -22.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 16:39
Betsson3.86I 25.91%NM 24.31%EV -5.50%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.69%EV -6.36%E -5.13%K -26.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 16:40
NordicBet3.86I 25.91%NM 24.31%EV -5.50%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.69%EV -6.36%E -5.13%K -26.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 16:39
BetAnything3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.75%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.09%E -3.22%K -15.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 16:39
PointsBet (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -5.75%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.60%E -4.48%K -22.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 16:40
Betr (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -5.75%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.60%E -4.48%K -22.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 16:40
NetBet (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.75%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -6.36%E -5.13%K -26.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 16:40
Marathon Bet3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -5.99%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 16:40
Betclic (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -6.97%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.34%E -2.61%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 16:36
Everygame3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.97%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.60%E -4.48%K -22.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 16:40
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.97%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.60%E -4.48%K -22.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 16:29
LiveScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.97%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.36%E -5.13%K -26.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 16:39
Virgin Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.97%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.36%E -5.13%K -26.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 16:40
PMU (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -6.97%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -7.11%E -5.78%K -30.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 16:39
SportsBet3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV -7.46%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.85%EV -4.09%E -3.22%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 16:39
BetMGM3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.20%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.09%E -3.22%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 16:39
BetUS3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.20%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.09%E -3.22%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 16:39
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.20%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.60%E -4.48%K -22.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 16:39
Sky Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.20%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.60%E -4.48%K -22.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 16:39
FanDuel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -2.58%E -2.00%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.34%E -2.61%K -11.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 16:40
Neds3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.34%E -2.61%K -11.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 16:40
theScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.09%E -3.22%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.60%E -4.48%K -22.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 16:39
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.60%E -4.48%K -22.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 16:39
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.58%E -2.00%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 16:39
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.58%E -2.00%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 16:40
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.58%E -2.00%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 16:39
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.58%E -2.00%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 16:39
TAB3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.34%E -2.61%K -11.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 16:39
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.60%E -4.48%K -22.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 16:39
Bet Victor3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.60%E -4.48%K -22.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 16:38
PlayUp3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -14.32%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -1.82%E -1.40%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 16:40
Dabble (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -16.77%E -4.93%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -1.82%E -1.40%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 16:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%0.5%2026-06-30 16:40
Novig4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%0.9%2026-06-30 16:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-06-30 16:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-06-30 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-06-30 16:40
ProphetX4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20%2.0%2026-06-30 16:40
Smarkets4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88%2.7%2026-06-30 16:40