La scuola delle quote

Dane Sweeny v Grigor Dimitrov

Inizio: 2026-06-30 17:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

63 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Dane Sweeny (Casa)

Previsione 24.48%4.08quota equa
EV +0.861%
Vantaggio +0.209%
Kelly +0.276%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.12

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.37%24.60%24.42%27.66%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.833.864.1229.41%26.09%25.91%24.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Grigor Dimitrov (Trasferta)

Previsione 75.52%1.32quota equa
EV -1.82%
Vantaggio -1.40%
Kelly -6.08%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
72.34%75.40%75.58%76.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.221.261.261.3081.97%79.24%79.37%76.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet4.12I 24.27%NM 23.84%EV +0.861%E +0.209%K +0.276%G +0.002%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.16%EV -2.58%E -2.00%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-30 16:40
Winamax (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +0.371%E +0.090%K +0.120%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -4.09%E -3.22%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-30 16:40
DraftKings4.03I 24.81%NM 23.53%EV -1.34%E -0.333%K -0.443%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.47%EV -6.36%E -5.13%K -26.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 16:40
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -2.08%E -0.519%K -0.692%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -3.34%E -2.61%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-30 16:40
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.08%E -0.519%K -0.692%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.09%E -3.22%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 16:40
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.08%E -0.519%K -0.692%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.09%E -3.22%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 16:40
Codere (IT)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.08%E -0.519%K -0.692%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 16:39
ReBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.08%E -0.519%K -0.692%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 16:39
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.08%E -0.519%K -0.692%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.60%E -4.48%K -22.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 16:40
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.08%E -0.519%K -0.692%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.60%E -4.48%K -22.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 16:38
Caesars4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.08%E -0.519%K -0.692%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.87%E -6.45%K -35.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 16:35
Pinnacle3.98I 25.13%NM 24.48%EV -2.57%E -0.645%K -0.861%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.52%EV -2.58%E -2.00%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-30 16:39
GTbets3.97I 25.19%NM 23.80%EV -2.81%E -0.708%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.20%EV -6.36%E -5.13%K -26.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 16:39
Unibet (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.30%E -0.836%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 16:40
MyBookie.ag3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.30%E -0.836%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 16:38
Unibet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.53%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 16:39
Casumo3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.53%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 16:39
BetRivers3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.53%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 16:39
Unibet (NL)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.53%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 16:39
TABtouch3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.53%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.53%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 16:40
Unibet (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.53%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 16:39
Grosvenor3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.53%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 16:39
LeoVegas3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.53%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 16:39
Fanatics3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.53%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 16:40
Svenska Spel3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.53%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 16:39
betPARX3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.53%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 16:39
ATG (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.53%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 16:39
Bally Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.53%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 16:40
Winamax (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.53%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.60%E -4.48%K -22.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 16:39
Betsson3.86I 25.91%NM 24.31%EV -5.50%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.69%EV -6.36%E -5.13%K -26.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 16:40
NordicBet3.86I 25.91%NM 24.31%EV -5.50%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.69%EV -6.36%E -5.13%K -26.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 16:39
BetAnything3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.75%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.09%E -3.22%K -15.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 16:39
PointsBet (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -5.75%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.60%E -4.48%K -22.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 16:40
Betr (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -5.75%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.60%E -4.48%K -22.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 16:40
NetBet (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.75%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -6.36%E -5.13%K -26.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 16:40
Marathon Bet3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -5.99%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -4.85%E -3.85%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 16:40
Betclic (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -6.97%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.34%E -2.61%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 16:36
Everygame3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.97%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.60%E -4.48%K -22.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 16:40
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.97%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.60%E -4.48%K -22.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 16:29
LiveScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.97%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.36%E -5.13%K -26.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 16:39
Virgin Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.97%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.36%E -5.13%K -26.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 16:40
PMU (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -6.97%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -7.11%E -5.78%K -30.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 16:39
SportsBet3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV -7.46%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.85%EV -4.09%E -3.22%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 16:39
BetMGM3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.20%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.09%E -3.22%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 16:39
BetUS3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.20%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.09%E -3.22%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 16:39
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.20%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.60%E -4.48%K -22.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 16:39
Sky Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.20%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.60%E -4.48%K -22.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 16:39
FanDuel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -2.58%E -2.00%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.34%E -2.61%K -11.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 16:40
Neds3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.34%E -2.61%K -11.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 16:40
theScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.09%E -3.22%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.60%E -4.48%K -22.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 16:39
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.60%E -4.48%K -22.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 16:39
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.58%E -2.00%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 16:39
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.58%E -2.00%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 16:40
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.58%E -2.00%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 16:39
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.58%E -2.00%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 16:39
TAB3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.34%E -2.61%K -11.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 16:39
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.60%E -4.48%K -22.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 16:39
Bet Victor3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.60%E -4.48%K -22.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 16:38
PlayUp3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -14.32%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -1.82%E -1.40%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 16:40
Dabble (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -16.77%E -4.93%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -1.82%E -1.40%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 16:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%0.5%2026-06-30 16:40
Novig4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%0.9%2026-06-30 16:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-06-30 16:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-06-30 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-06-30 16:40
ProphetX4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20%2.0%2026-06-30 16:40
Smarkets4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88%2.7%2026-06-30 16:40