Language:English
Corentin Moutet v Marcos Giron
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Corentin Moutet (Local)
Prediction 45.22%2.21fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -2.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.70%45.29%45.17%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.082.082.1650.00%48.03%47.96%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Marcos Giron (Visit)
Prediction 54.78%1.83fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -1.72%
Kelly -3.95%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.05%54.71%54.83%55.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.741.741.7758.82%57.38%57.47%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Corentin Moutet (Local): 45.22%; Marcos Giron (Visit): 54.78%. For Corentin Moutet (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.21. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.16, with an expected value of -2.32%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%EV -2.32%E -1.08%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%EV -3.04%E -1.72%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.78%E -1.29%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.04%E -1.72%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.78%E -1.29%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.68%E -2.69%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.23%E -1.51%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.13%E -1.95%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.68%E -2.69%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.13%E -1.95%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -4.59%E -2.17%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -3.59%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -4.59%E -2.17%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -3.59%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 14:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -4.59%E -2.17%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -3.59%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -4.59%E -2.17%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -6.33%E -3.70%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -4.59%E -2.17%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -6.33%E -3.70%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.04%E -1.72%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.13%E -2.36%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.13%E -2.36%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.13%E -2.36%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.68%E -2.69%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 14:38 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.68%E -2.69%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 14:38 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.78%E -3.36%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 14:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.78%E -3.36%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.78%E -3.36%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.87%E -4.04%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.87%E -4.04%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -5.49%E -2.63%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -4.13%E -2.36%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.94%E -2.86%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.13%E -2.36%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.94%E -2.86%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.94%E -2.86%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.78%E -3.36%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.09%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.59%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.09%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.59%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.09%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.59%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.09%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.59%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.09%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.59%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.09%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.59%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.09%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.59%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.09%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.59%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.09%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.59%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.09%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.59%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.09%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.59%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.09%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.59%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.09%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.59%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -6.39%E -3.09%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -6.87%E -4.04%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.04%E -1.72%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.04%E -1.72%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.04%E -1.72%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.13%E -2.36%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.68%E -2.69%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.68%E -2.69%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.68%E -2.69%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 14:38 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.68%E -2.69%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.68%E -2.69%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.87%E -4.04%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 14:38 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -7.75%E -3.80%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.56%E -4.78%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.04%E -1.72%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.56%E -4.78%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.04%E -1.72%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.56%E -4.78%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.56%E -4.78%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 1.0% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 1.0% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 1.0% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28% | 1.6% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66% | 1.6% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42% | 2.0% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |