A Escola das Odds

Corentin Moutet v Marcos Giron

Início: 2026-06-30 14:45 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Corentin Moutet (Local)

Previsão 45.22%2.21odd justa
EV -2.32%
Vantagem -1.08%
Kelly -2.00%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.16

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.70%45.29%45.17%46.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.082.082.1650.00%48.03%47.96%46.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Marcos Giron (Visitante)

Previsão 54.78%1.83odd justa
EV -3.04%
Vantagem -1.72%
Kelly -3.95%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.05%54.71%54.83%55.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.701.741.741.7758.82%57.38%57.47%56.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%EV -2.32%E -1.08%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%EV -3.04%E -1.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-30 14:40
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.78%E -1.29%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.04%E -1.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-30 14:39
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.78%E -1.29%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.68%E -2.69%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 14:39
FanDuel2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.23%E -1.51%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 14:40
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.13%E -1.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.68%E -2.69%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 14:40
SportsBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.13%E -1.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 14:39
Unibet (UK)2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -4.59%E -2.17%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -3.59%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 14:39
Codere (IT)2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -4.59%E -2.17%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -3.59%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 14:30
ReBet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -4.59%E -2.17%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -3.59%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 14:39
Betclic (FR)2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -4.59%E -2.17%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -6.33%E -3.70%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 14:39
DraftKings2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -4.59%E -2.17%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -6.33%E -3.70%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 14:39
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.04%E -1.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 14:40
GTbets2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.13%E -2.36%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 14:39
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.13%E -2.36%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 14:39
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.13%E -2.36%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 14:40
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.68%E -2.69%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 14:38
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.68%E -2.69%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 14:39
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 14:39
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 14:39
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 14:39
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 14:39
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 14:38
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 14:39
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 14:39
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 14:39
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 14:39
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.78%E -3.36%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 14:29
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.78%E -3.36%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 14:40
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.78%E -3.36%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 14:39
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.87%E -4.04%K -9.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 14:40
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.87%E -4.04%K -9.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 14:39
MyBookie.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -5.49%E -2.63%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -4.13%E -2.36%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 14:39
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.94%E -2.86%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.13%E -2.36%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 14:39
PointsBet (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.94%E -2.86%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 14:40
Dabble (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.94%E -2.86%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.78%E -3.36%K -8.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 14:40
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.09%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.59%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 14:39
Casumo2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.09%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.59%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 14:39
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.09%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.59%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 14:39
Grosvenor2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.09%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.59%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 14:39
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.09%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.59%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 14:39
Unibet (NL)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.09%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.59%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 14:39
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.09%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.59%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 14:39
Unibet (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.09%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.59%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 14:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.09%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.59%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 14:40
Bally Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.09%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.59%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 14:39
betPARX2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.09%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.59%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 14:39
ATG (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.09%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.59%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 14:39
Svenska Spel2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.09%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.59%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 14:39
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -6.39%E -3.09%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -6.87%E -4.04%K -9.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.04%E -1.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 14:40
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.04%E -1.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 14:39
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.04%E -1.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 14:39
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.13%E -2.36%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 14:39
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.68%E -2.69%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 14:40
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.68%E -2.69%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 14:39
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.68%E -2.69%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 14:38
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.68%E -2.69%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 14:39
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.68%E -2.69%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 14:39
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.87%E -4.04%K -9.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 14:38
PMU (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -7.75%E -3.80%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 14:39
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.56%E -4.78%K -9.56%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.04%E -1.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 14:39
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.56%E -4.78%K -9.56%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.04%E -1.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 14:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.56%E -4.78%K -9.56%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 14:39
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.56%E -4.78%K -9.56%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 14:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-06-30 14:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%1.0%2026-06-30 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%1.0%2026-06-30 14:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%1.0%2026-06-30 14:40
ProphetX2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%1.6%2026-06-30 14:40
Novig2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66%1.6%2026-06-30 14:40
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.0%2026-06-30 14:40