Corentin Moutet v Marcos Giron

Inicio: 2026-06-30 14:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (22 en el análisis )

45%

55%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Corentin Moutet (Local)

Predicción 45.22%2.21momio equitativo

EV -2.32%

Ventaja -1.08%

Kelly -2.00%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

44.70%45.29%45.17%46.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Distribución de los momios

2.002.082.082.1650.00%48.03%47.96%46.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Marcos Giron (Visitante)

Predicción 54.78%1.83momio equitativo

EV -3.04%

Ventaja -1.72%

Kelly -3.95%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

53.05%54.71%54.83%55.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Distribución de los momios

1.701.741.741.7758.82%57.38%57.47%56.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local ▼	Visitante	Margen	Actualizado
Pinnacle	2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%EV -2.32%E -1.08%K -2.00%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%EV -3.04%E -1.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-06-30 14:40
Coolbet	2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.78%E -1.29%K -2.41%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.04%E -1.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-06-30 14:39
Winamax (DE)	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.78%E -1.29%K -2.41%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.68%E -2.69%K -6.33%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-06-30 14:39
FanDuel	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.23%E -1.51%K -2.83%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.17%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-06-30 14:40
1xBet	2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.13%E -1.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.68%E -2.69%K -6.33%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-06-30 14:40
SportsBet	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.13%E -1.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.17%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-06-30 14:39
Unibet (UK)	2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -4.59%E -2.17%K -4.13%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -3.59%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-06-30 14:39
Codere (IT)	2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -4.59%E -2.17%K -4.13%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -3.59%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-06-30 14:30
ReBet	2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -4.59%E -2.17%K -4.13%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -3.59%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-06-30 14:39
Betclic (FR)	2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -4.59%E -2.17%K -4.13%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -6.33%E -3.70%K -8.91%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-30 14:39
DraftKings	2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -4.59%E -2.17%K -4.13%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -6.33%E -3.70%K -8.91%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-30 14:39
Bovada	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.04%E -1.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-06-30 14:40
GTbets	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.13%E -2.36%K -5.51%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-06-30 14:39
Betway	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.13%E -2.36%K -5.51%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-06-30 14:39
TAB	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.13%E -2.36%K -5.51%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-06-30 14:40
Fanatics	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.68%E -2.69%K -6.33%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-30 14:38
theScore Bet	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.68%E -2.69%K -6.33%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-30 14:39
William Hill	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.17%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-30 14:39
Marathon Bet	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.17%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-30 14:39
888sport	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.17%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-30 14:39
BoyleSports	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.17%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-30 14:39
Paddy Power	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.17%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-30 14:38
betfred_uk	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.17%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-30 14:39
Sky Bet	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.17%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-30 14:39
Mr Green (SE)	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.17%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-30 14:39
888sport (SE)	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.17%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-30 14:39
Tipico (DE)	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.78%E -3.36%K -8.03%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-30 14:29
Betr (AU)	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.78%E -3.36%K -8.03%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-30 14:40
Winamax (FR)	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.78%E -3.36%K -8.03%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-30 14:39
Betsson	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.87%E -4.04%K -9.82%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-06-30 14:40
NordicBet	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.87%E -4.04%K -9.82%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-06-30 14:39
MyBookie.ag	2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -5.49%E -2.63%K -5.04%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -4.13%E -2.36%K -5.51%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-06-30 14:39
PlayUp	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.94%E -2.86%K -5.50%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.13%E -2.36%K -5.51%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-30 14:39
PointsBet (AU)	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.94%E -2.86%K -5.50%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.17%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-30 14:40
Dabble (AU)	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.94%E -2.86%K -5.50%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.78%E -3.36%K -8.03%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-06-30 14:40
Unibet	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.09%K -5.98%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.59%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-30 14:39
Casumo	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.09%K -5.98%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.59%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-30 14:39
TABtouch	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.09%K -5.98%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.59%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-30 14:39
Grosvenor	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.09%K -5.98%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.59%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-30 14:39
LeoVegas	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.09%K -5.98%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.59%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-30 14:39
Unibet (NL)	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.09%K -5.98%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.59%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-30 14:39
BetRivers	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.09%K -5.98%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.59%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-30 14:39
Unibet (SE)	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.09%K -5.98%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.59%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-30 14:39
LeoVegas (SE)	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.09%K -5.98%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.59%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-30 14:40
Bally Bet	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.09%K -5.98%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.59%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-30 14:39
betPARX	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.09%K -5.98%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.59%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-30 14:39
ATG (SE)	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.09%K -5.98%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.59%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-30 14:39
Svenska Spel	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.09%K -5.98%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.59%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-30 14:39
NetBet (FR)	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -6.39%E -3.09%K -5.98%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -6.87%E -4.04%K -9.82%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-06-30 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.95%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.04%E -1.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-30 14:40
Neds	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.95%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.04%E -1.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-30 14:39
Hard Rock Bet	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.95%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.04%E -1.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-30 14:39
Everygame	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.95%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.13%E -2.36%K -5.51%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-30 14:39
Virgin Bet	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.95%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.68%E -2.69%K -6.33%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-06-30 14:40
LiveScore Bet	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.95%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.68%E -2.69%K -6.33%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-06-30 14:39
Unibet (FR)	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.95%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.68%E -2.69%K -6.33%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-06-30 14:38
BetUS	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.95%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.68%E -2.69%K -6.33%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-06-30 14:39
BetMGM	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.95%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.68%E -2.69%K -6.33%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-06-30 14:39
Bet Victor	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.95%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.87%E -4.04%K -9.82%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-30 14:38
PMU (FR)	2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -7.75%E -3.80%K -7.45%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.17%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-06-30 14:39
BetAnything	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.56%E -4.78%K -9.56%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.04%E -1.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-06-30 14:39
Caesars	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.56%E -4.78%K -9.56%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.04%E -1.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-06-30 14:39
Ladbrokes (UK)	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.56%E -4.78%K -9.56%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.17%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-30 14:39
Coral	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.56%E -4.78%K -9.56%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.17%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-30 14:39

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
Matchbook	2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%	1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%	0.7%	2026-06-30 14:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)	2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%	1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%	1.0%	2026-06-30 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)	2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%	1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%	1.0%	2026-06-30 14:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)	2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%	1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%	1.0%	2026-06-30 14:40
ProphetX	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%	1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%	1.6%	2026-06-30 14:40
Novig	2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34%	1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66%	1.6%	2026-06-30 14:40
Smarkets	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%	1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%	2.0%	2026-06-30 14:40