Language:English
Brandon Nakashima v Jan-Lennard Struff
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Brandon Nakashima (Local)
Prediction 74.91%1.33fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -2.01%
Kelly -8.71%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.49%74.84%74.95%76.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.271.271.3081.97%78.86%78.74%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jan-Lennard Struff (Visit)
Prediction 25.09%3.99fair odd
EV +0.349%
Edge +0.087%
Kelly +0.116%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.37%25.16%25.05%27.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.733.754.0029.41%26.78%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Brandon Nakashima (Local): 74.91%; Jan-Lennard Struff (Visit): 25.09%. For Jan-Lennard Struff (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.99. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.349%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%EV -3.36%E -2.61%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%EV +0.349%E +0.087%K +0.116%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-01 16:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV +0.349%E +0.087%K +0.116%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-01 16:27 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.61%E -7.05%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.349%E +0.087%K +0.116%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 16:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.61%E -7.05%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.349%E +0.087%K +0.116%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 16:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.61%E -7.05%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.349%E +0.087%K +0.116%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 16:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.63%EV -5.61%E -4.45%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.37%EV -1.91%E -0.488%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 16:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.16%E -0.554%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-01 16:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.16%E -0.554%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-01 16:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.61%E -4.45%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.16%E -0.554%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-01 16:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.41%E -0.887%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-01 16:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.41%E -0.887%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-01 16:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.61%E -4.45%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.41%E -0.887%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 16:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.36%E -2.61%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-01 16:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.36%E -2.61%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-01 16:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.36%E -2.61%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-01 16:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 16:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 16:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 16:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 16:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 16:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 16:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 16:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 16:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 16:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 16:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 16:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.61%E -4.45%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 16:27 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.36%E -5.09%K -25.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 16:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -6.36%E -5.09%K -25.44%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 24.90%EV -5.42%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-01 16:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.36%E -2.61%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.92%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-01 16:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.92%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-01 16:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.92%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 16:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.36%E -5.09%K -25.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.92%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 16:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.36%E -5.09%K -25.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.92%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 16:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.36%E -5.09%K -25.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.92%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 16:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.36%E -5.09%K -25.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.92%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 16:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 16:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-01 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.36%E -5.09%K -25.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.18%E -1.94%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 16:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -7.11%E -5.73%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -7.18%E -1.94%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 16:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.43%E -2.31%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-01 16:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.43%E -2.31%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-01 16:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.43%E -2.31%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-01 16:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -5.61%E -4.45%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.43%E -2.31%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-01 16:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -7.11%E -5.73%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -8.43%E -2.31%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-01 16:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -7.86%E -6.39%K -34.16%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -8.43%E -2.31%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-01 16:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83%EV -3.36%E -2.61%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17%EV -8.68%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-01 16:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.36%E -2.61%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.69%E -2.69%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 16:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.36%E -2.61%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.69%E -2.69%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 16:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -9.69%E -2.69%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 16:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.36%E -5.09%K -25.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.69%E -2.69%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-01 16:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -7.86%E -6.39%K -34.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -9.69%E -2.69%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-01 16:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -10.94%E -3.08%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 16:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.61%E -2.01%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -12.19%E -3.48%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-01 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.61%E -2.01%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -12.19%E -3.48%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-01 16:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.36%E -2.61%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -12.19%E -3.48%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-01 16:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.36%E -2.61%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -12.19%E -3.48%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-01 16:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.19%E -3.48%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 16:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.19%E -3.48%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.19%E -3.48%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 16:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.01%EV -3.36%E -2.61%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 26.99%EV -12.45%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 16:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.36%E -2.61%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -14.70%E -4.32%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-01 16:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77% | 0.1% | 2026-07-01 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-07-01 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-07-01 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-07-01 16:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-07-01 16:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.84% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 24.16% | 1.4% | 2026-07-01 16:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24% | 3.1% | 2026-07-01 16:30 |