Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Brandon Nakashima v Jan-Lennard Struff

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-01 16:44 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Brandon Nakashima (Local)

Prévision 74.91%1.33cote équitable
EV -2.61%
Avantage -2.01%
Kelly -8.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.49%74.84%74.95%76.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.221.271.271.3081.97%78.86%78.74%76.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Jan-Lennard Struff (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.09%3.99cote équitable
EV +0.349%
Avantage +0.087%
Kelly +0.116%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.37%25.16%25.05%27.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.733.754.0029.41%26.78%26.67%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Brandon Nakashima (Local) : 74.91% ; Jan-Lennard Struff (Visiteur) : 25.09%. Pour Jan-Lennard Struff (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.99. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.00, soit une espérance positive de +0.349%.

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%EV -3.36%E -2.61%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%EV +0.349%E +0.087%K +0.116%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-01 16:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV +0.349%E +0.087%K +0.116%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-01 16:27
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.61%E -7.05%K -39.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.349%E +0.087%K +0.116%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 16:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.61%E -7.05%K -39.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.349%E +0.087%K +0.116%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 16:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.61%E -7.05%K -39.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.349%E +0.087%K +0.116%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 16:30
DraftKings🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.63%EV -5.61%E -4.45%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.37%EV -1.91%E -0.488%K -0.656%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 16:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.16%E -0.554%K -0.745%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 16:30
Bovada🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.16%E -0.554%K -0.745%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 16:29
SportsBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.61%E -4.45%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.16%E -0.554%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 16:20
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.41%E -0.887%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 16:19
BetAnything🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.41%E -0.887%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 16:30
theScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.61%E -4.45%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.41%E -0.887%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 16:30
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.36%E -2.61%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-01 16:19
Codere (IT)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.36%E -2.61%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-01 16:20
ReBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.36%E -2.61%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-01 16:20
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 16:20
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 16:20
TABtouch🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 16:20
Casumo🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 16:20
Grosvenor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 16:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 16:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 16:20
Fanatics🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 16:30
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 16:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 16:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 16:20
Bally Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.61%E -4.45%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 16:27
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.36%E -5.09%K -25.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 16:20
Betsson🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -6.36%E -5.09%K -25.44%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.90%EV -5.42%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 16:30
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.36%E -2.61%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.92%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-01 16:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.92%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 16:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.92%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 16:20
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.36%E -5.09%K -25.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.92%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 16:30
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.36%E -5.09%K -25.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.92%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 16:19
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.36%E -5.09%K -25.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.92%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 16:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.36%E -5.09%K -25.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.92%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 16:30
1xBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.68%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 16:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 16:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.36%E -5.09%K -25.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.18%E -1.94%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 16:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -7.11%E -5.73%K -29.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -7.18%E -1.94%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-01 16:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.43%E -2.31%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 16:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.43%E -2.31%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 16:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.43%E -2.31%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 16:20
Fliff🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -5.61%E -4.45%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.43%E -2.31%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-01 16:30
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -7.11%E -5.73%K -29.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -8.43%E -2.31%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-01 16:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -7.86%E -6.39%K -34.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -8.43%E -2.31%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-01 16:20
GTbets🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83%EV -3.36%E -2.61%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17%EV -8.68%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 16:20
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.36%E -2.61%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.69%E -2.69%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 16:20
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.36%E -2.61%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.69%E -2.69%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 16:20
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -9.69%E -2.69%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 16:19
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.36%E -5.09%K -25.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.69%E -2.69%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 16:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -7.86%E -6.39%K -34.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -9.69%E -2.69%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-01 16:29
Everygame🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -10.94%E -3.08%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 16:20
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.61%E -2.01%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -12.19%E -3.48%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.61%E -2.01%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -12.19%E -3.48%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 16:20
BetUS🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.36%E -2.61%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -12.19%E -3.48%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.36%E -2.61%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -12.19%E -3.48%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 16:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.19%E -3.48%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 16:20
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.19%E -3.48%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.19%E -3.48%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 16:20
NordicBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.01%EV -3.36%E -2.61%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.99%EV -12.45%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 16:20
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.36%E -2.61%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -14.70%E -4.32%K -6.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 16:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77%0.1%2026-07-01 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-07-01 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-07-01 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-07-01 16:30
ProphetX1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-07-01 16:20
Novig1.30I 76.92%NM 75.84%4.08I 24.51%NM 24.16%1.4%2026-07-01 16:30
Smarkets1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%3.1%2026-07-01 16:30