A Escola das Odds

Brandon Nakashima v Jan-Lennard Struff

Início: 2026-07-01 16:44 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Brandon Nakashima (Local)

Previsão 74.91%1.33odd justa
EV -2.61%
Vantagem -2.01%
Kelly -8.71%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
72.49%74.84%74.95%76.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.221.271.271.3081.97%78.86%78.74%76.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Jan-Lennard Struff (Visitante)

Previsão 25.09%3.99odd justa
EV +0.349%
Vantagem +0.087%
Kelly +0.116%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.37%25.16%25.05%27.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.403.733.754.0029.41%26.78%26.67%25.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%EV -3.36%E -2.61%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%EV +0.349%E +0.087%K +0.116%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-01 16:30
Winamax (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV +0.349%E +0.087%K +0.116%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-01 16:27
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.61%E -7.05%K -39.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.349%E +0.087%K +0.116%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 16:30
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.61%E -7.05%K -39.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.349%E +0.087%K +0.116%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 16:30
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.61%E -7.05%K -39.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.349%E +0.087%K +0.116%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 16:30
DraftKings1.26I 79.37%NM 75.63%EV -5.61%E -4.45%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.37%EV -1.91%E -0.488%K -0.656%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 16:30
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.16%E -0.554%K -0.745%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 16:30
Bovada1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.16%E -0.554%K -0.745%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 16:29
SportsBet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.61%E -4.45%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.16%E -0.554%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 16:20
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.41%E -0.887%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 16:19
BetAnything1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.41%E -0.887%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 16:30
theScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.61%E -4.45%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.41%E -0.887%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 16:30
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.36%E -2.61%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-01 16:19
Codere (IT)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.36%E -2.61%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-01 16:20
ReBet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.36%E -2.61%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-01 16:20
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 16:20
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 16:20
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 16:20
Casumo1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 16:20
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 16:20
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 16:20
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 16:20
Fanatics1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 16:30
betPARX1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 16:20
ATG (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 16:20
Svenska Spel1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 16:20
Bally Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 16:20
Winamax (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.61%E -4.45%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 16:27
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.36%E -5.09%K -25.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 16:20
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -6.36%E -5.09%K -25.44%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.90%EV -5.42%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 16:30
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.36%E -2.61%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.92%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-01 16:20
MyBookie.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.92%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 16:19
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.92%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 16:20
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.36%E -5.09%K -25.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.92%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 16:30
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.36%E -5.09%K -25.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.92%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 16:19
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.36%E -5.09%K -25.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.92%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 16:20
NetBet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.36%E -5.09%K -25.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.92%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 16:30
1xBet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.68%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 16:30
Marathon Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 16:30
Virgin Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.36%E -5.09%K -25.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.18%E -1.94%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 16:20
LiveScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -7.11%E -5.73%K -29.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -7.18%E -1.94%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-01 16:20
PointsBet (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.43%E -2.31%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 16:20
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.43%E -2.31%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 16:20
Unibet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.86%E -3.83%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.43%E -2.31%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 16:20
Fliff1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -5.61%E -4.45%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.43%E -2.31%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-01 16:30
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -7.11%E -5.73%K -29.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -8.43%E -2.31%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-01 16:30
PMU (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -7.86%E -6.39%K -34.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -8.43%E -2.31%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-01 16:20
GTbets1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83%EV -3.36%E -2.61%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17%EV -8.68%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 16:20
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.36%E -2.61%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.69%E -2.69%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 16:20
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.36%E -2.61%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.69%E -2.69%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 16:20
TAB1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -9.69%E -2.69%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 16:19
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.36%E -5.09%K -25.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.69%E -2.69%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 16:29
Betclic (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -7.86%E -6.39%K -34.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -9.69%E -2.69%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-01 16:29
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -10.94%E -3.08%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 16:20
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.61%E -2.01%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -12.19%E -3.48%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.61%E -2.01%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -12.19%E -3.48%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 16:20
BetUS1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.36%E -2.61%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -12.19%E -3.48%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.36%E -2.61%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -12.19%E -3.48%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 16:20
Dabble (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.19%E -3.48%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 16:20
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.19%E -3.48%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.19%E -3.48%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 16:20
NordicBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.01%EV -3.36%E -2.61%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.99%EV -12.45%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 16:20
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.36%E -2.61%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -14.70%E -4.32%K -6.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 16:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77%0.1%2026-07-01 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-07-01 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-07-01 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-07-01 16:30
ProphetX1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-07-01 16:20
Novig1.30I 76.92%NM 75.84%4.08I 24.51%NM 24.16%1.4%2026-07-01 16:30
Smarkets1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%3.1%2026-07-01 16:30