Language:English
Brandon Nakashima v Jack Pinnington Jones
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Brandon Nakashima (Local)
Prediction 76.80%1.30fair odd
EV -3.23%
Edge -2.56%
Kelly -12.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.00%76.89%76.63%79.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.231.231.2684.75%81.28%81.30%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jack Pinnington Jones (Visit)
Prediction 23.20%4.31fair odd
EV +4.86%
Edge +1.08%
Kelly +1.38%
Growth +0.067%
assuming max odds 4.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.77%23.11%23.37%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.074.004.5227.03%24.56%25.00%22.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Brandon Nakashima (Local): 76.80%; Jack Pinnington Jones (Visit): 23.20%. For Jack Pinnington Jones (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.31. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.52, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.86%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.47%EV -4.77%E -3.84%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.53%EV +4.86%E +1.08%K +1.38%G +0.067% | 2.8% | 2026-06-29 17:11 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.84%E -6.53%K -39.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +4.40%E +0.977%K +1.26%G +0.055% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -9.38%E -7.95%K -52.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +4.40%E +0.977%K +1.26%G +0.055% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 17:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -4.77%E -3.84%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV +2.08%E +0.472%K +0.611%G +0.013% | 3.4% | 2026-06-29 17:27 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -5.54%E -4.50%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV +2.08%E +0.472%K +0.611%G +0.013% | 4.0% | 2026-06-29 17:11 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -5.54%E -4.50%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV +2.08%E +0.472%K +0.611%G +0.013% | 4.0% | 2026-06-29 17:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.84%E -6.53%K -39.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +2.08%E +0.472%K +0.611%G +0.013% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 17:11 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.84%E -6.53%K -39.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +2.08%E +0.472%K +0.611%G +0.013% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +0.453%E +0.105%K +0.136%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +0.453%E +0.105%K +0.136%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.54%E -4.50%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -0.243%E -0.057%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 17:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -7.07%E -5.84%K -33.67%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -0.243%E -0.057%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.84%E -6.53%K -39.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -0.243%E -0.057%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.84%E -6.53%K -39.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -0.243%E -0.057%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.77%E -3.84%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -1.40%E -0.330%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.77%E -3.84%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -1.40%E -0.330%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 17:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -1.40%E -0.330%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 17:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.68%EV -7.07%E -5.84%K -33.67%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.32%EV -2.33%E -0.554%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 17:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.77%E -3.84%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.56%E -0.610%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.54%E -4.50%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.56%E -0.610%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.56%E -0.610%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 17:11 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.56%E -0.610%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.56%E -0.610%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -5.54%E -4.50%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -3.72%E -0.897%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 17:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -3.72%E -0.897%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 17:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.00%E -3.20%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-29 17:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -6.04%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 17:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.00%E -3.20%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -6.97%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 17:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.00%E -3.20%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 17:31 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.00%E -3.20%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 17:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.00%E -3.20%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.77%E -3.84%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.77%E -3.84%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.77%E -3.84%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 17:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.77%E -3.84%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 17:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.54%E -4.50%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 17:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 17:11 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 17:11 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 17:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 17:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 17:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.92%EV -4.00%E -3.20%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.08%EV -8.59%E -2.18%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 17:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.00%E -3.20%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 17:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.00%E -3.20%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 17:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.00%E -3.20%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 17:31 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.00%E -3.20%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 17:31 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.00%E -3.20%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 17:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.00%E -3.20%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 17:31 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.00%E -3.20%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 17:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.83%EV -4.77%E -3.84%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.17%EV -9.75%E -2.51%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 17:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.83%EV -4.77%E -3.84%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.17%EV -9.75%E -2.51%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 17:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.23%E -2.56%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.68%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 17:27 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.77%E -3.84%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -11.84%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 17:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.77%E -3.84%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -11.84%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 17:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.77%E -3.84%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -11.84%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 17:31 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.00%E -3.20%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -13.00%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 17:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -5.54%E -4.50%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -13.00%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-29 17:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -5.54%E -4.50%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -13.00%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-29 17:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -5.54%E -4.50%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -13.00%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-29 17:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.00%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-29 17:31 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -14.16%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-29 17:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-06-29 17:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-06-29 17:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 17:31 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.3% | 2026-06-29 17:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.58% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.42% | 2.6% | 2026-06-29 17:31 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47% | 3.9% | 2026-06-29 17:31 |