A Escola das Odds

Brandon Nakashima v Jack Pinnington Jones

Início: 2026-06-29 18:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Brandon Nakashima (Local)

Previsão 76.80%1.30odd justa
EV -3.23%
Vantagem -2.56%
Kelly -12.43%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.26

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
75.00%76.89%76.63%79.23%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.181.231.231.2684.75%81.28%81.30%79.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Jack Pinnington Jones (Visitante)

Previsão 23.20%4.31odd justa
EV +4.86%
Vantagem +1.08%
Kelly +1.38%
Crescimento +0.067%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.52

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.77%23.11%23.37%25.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.704.074.004.5227.03%24.56%25.00%22.12%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.24I 80.65%NM 78.47%EV -4.77%E -3.84%K -19.86%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.53%EV +4.86%E +1.08%K +1.38%G +0.067%2.8%2026-06-29 17:11
PlayUp1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.84%E -6.53%K -39.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +4.40%E +0.977%K +1.26%G +0.055%5.6%2026-06-29 17:10
Dabble (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -9.38%E -7.95%K -52.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +4.40%E +0.977%K +1.26%G +0.055%7.0%2026-06-29 17:30
Winamax (DE)1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -4.77%E -3.84%K -19.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV +2.08%E +0.472%K +0.611%G +0.013%3.4%2026-06-29 17:27
Codere (IT)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -5.54%E -4.50%K -24.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV +2.08%E +0.472%K +0.611%G +0.013%4.0%2026-06-29 17:11
ReBet1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -5.54%E -4.50%K -24.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV +2.08%E +0.472%K +0.611%G +0.013%4.0%2026-06-29 17:09
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.84%E -6.53%K -39.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +2.08%E +0.472%K +0.611%G +0.013%6.1%2026-06-29 17:11
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.84%E -6.53%K -39.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +2.08%E +0.472%K +0.611%G +0.013%6.1%2026-06-29 17:10
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +0.453%E +0.105%K +0.136%G +0.001%5.1%2026-06-29 17:10
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +0.453%E +0.105%K +0.136%G +0.001%5.1%2026-06-29 17:10
Unibet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.54%E -4.50%K -24.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -0.243%E -0.057%K -0.074%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 17:09
SportsBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -7.07%E -5.84%K -33.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -0.243%E -0.057%K -0.074%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 17:10
Betclic (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.84%E -6.53%K -39.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -0.243%E -0.057%K -0.074%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 17:10
NetBet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.84%E -6.53%K -39.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -0.243%E -0.057%K -0.074%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 17:10
BetUS1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.77%E -3.84%K -19.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -1.40%E -0.330%K -0.432%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 17:10
Bovada1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.77%E -3.84%K -19.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -1.40%E -0.330%K -0.432%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 17:29
MyBookie.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -1.40%E -0.330%K -0.432%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 17:29
GTbets1.21I 82.64%NM 77.68%EV -7.07%E -5.84%K -33.67%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.32%EV -2.33%E -0.554%K -0.726%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 17:30
BetAnything1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.77%E -3.84%K -19.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.56%E -0.610%K -0.801%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 17:10
FanDuel1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.54%E -4.50%K -24.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.56%E -0.610%K -0.801%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 17:10
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.56%E -0.610%K -0.801%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 17:11
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.56%E -0.610%K -0.801%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 17:10
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.56%E -0.610%K -0.801%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 17:10
Marathon Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -5.54%E -4.50%K -24.07%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -3.72%E -0.897%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:20
Betr (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -3.72%E -0.897%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 17:30
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.00%E -3.20%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 17:30
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 17:10
Fliff1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -6.04%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:20
1xBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.00%E -3.20%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -6.97%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 17:29
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.00%E -3.20%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 17:31
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.00%E -3.20%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 17:30
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.00%E -3.20%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.77%E -3.84%K -19.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 17:10
Neds1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.77%E -3.84%K -19.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 17:10
Winamax (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.77%E -3.84%K -19.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 17:30
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.77%E -3.84%K -19.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 17:30
PointsBet (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.54%E -4.50%K -24.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 17:20
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 17:10
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 17:11
betfred_uk1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 17:11
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 17:10
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 17:30
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 17:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 17:30
DraftKings1.25I 80.00%NM 75.92%EV -4.00%E -3.20%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.08%EV -8.59%E -2.18%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:30
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.00%E -3.20%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 17:30
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.00%E -3.20%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 17:30
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.00%E -3.20%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 17:31
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.00%E -3.20%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 17:31
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.00%E -3.20%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 17:30
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.00%E -3.20%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 17:31
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.00%E -3.20%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 17:30
NordicBet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.83%EV -4.77%E -3.84%K -19.86%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.17%EV -9.75%E -2.51%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 17:30
Betsson1.24I 80.65%NM 75.83%EV -4.77%E -3.84%K -19.86%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.17%EV -9.75%E -2.51%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 17:30
BetRivers1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.23%E -2.56%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.68%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 17:27
TABtouch1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.77%E -3.84%K -19.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -11.84%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 17:30
Grosvenor1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.77%E -3.84%K -19.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -11.84%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 17:30
PMU (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.77%E -3.84%K -19.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -11.84%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 17:31
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.00%E -3.20%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -13.00%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:30
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -5.54%E -4.50%K -24.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -13.00%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 17:30
LiveScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -5.54%E -4.50%K -24.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -13.00%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 17:30
Bally Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -5.54%E -4.50%K -24.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -13.00%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 17:30
LeoVegas1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.00%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-29 17:31
LeoVegas (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -14.16%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-29 17:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-06-29 17:11
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-06-29 17:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-06-29 17:10
Matchbook1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-06-29 17:31
ProphetX1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.3%2026-06-29 17:30
Novig1.24I 80.65%NM 78.58%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.42%2.6%2026-06-29 17:31
Smarkets1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%3.9%2026-06-29 17:31