Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Brandon Nakashima v Jack Pinnington Jones

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-29 18:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Brandon Nakashima (Local)

Prévision 76.80%1.30cote équitable
EV -3.23%
Avantage -2.56%
Kelly -12.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.00%76.89%76.63%79.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.181.231.231.2684.75%81.28%81.30%79.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Jack Pinnington Jones (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.20%4.31cote équitable
EV +4.86%
Avantage +1.08%
Kelly +1.38%
Croissance +0.067%

avec la cote maximale 4.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.77%23.11%23.37%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.704.074.004.5227.03%24.56%25.00%22.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Brandon Nakashima (Local) : 76.80% ; Jack Pinnington Jones (Visiteur) : 23.20%. Pour Jack Pinnington Jones (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.31. 10 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.52, soit une espérance positive de +4.86%.

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.47%EV -4.77%E -3.84%K -19.86%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.53%EV +4.86%E +1.08%K +1.38%G +0.067%2.8%2026-06-29 17:11
PlayUp🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.84%E -6.53%K -39.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +4.40%E +0.977%K +1.26%G +0.055%5.6%2026-06-29 17:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -9.38%E -7.95%K -52.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +4.40%E +0.977%K +1.26%G +0.055%7.0%2026-06-29 17:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -4.77%E -3.84%K -19.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV +2.08%E +0.472%K +0.611%G +0.013%3.4%2026-06-29 17:27
Codere (IT)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -5.54%E -4.50%K -24.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV +2.08%E +0.472%K +0.611%G +0.013%4.0%2026-06-29 17:11
ReBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -5.54%E -4.50%K -24.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV +2.08%E +0.472%K +0.611%G +0.013%4.0%2026-06-29 17:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.84%E -6.53%K -39.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +2.08%E +0.472%K +0.611%G +0.013%6.1%2026-06-29 17:11
TAB🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.84%E -6.53%K -39.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +2.08%E +0.472%K +0.611%G +0.013%6.1%2026-06-29 17:10
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +0.453%E +0.105%K +0.136%G +0.001%5.1%2026-06-29 17:10
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +0.453%E +0.105%K +0.136%G +0.001%5.1%2026-06-29 17:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.54%E -4.50%K -24.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -0.243%E -0.057%K -0.074%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 17:09
SportsBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -7.07%E -5.84%K -33.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -0.243%E -0.057%K -0.074%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 17:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.84%E -6.53%K -39.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -0.243%E -0.057%K -0.074%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 17:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.84%E -6.53%K -39.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -0.243%E -0.057%K -0.074%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 17:10
BetUS🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.77%E -3.84%K -19.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -1.40%E -0.330%K -0.432%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 17:10
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.77%E -3.84%K -19.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -1.40%E -0.330%K -0.432%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 17:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -1.40%E -0.330%K -0.432%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 17:29
GTbets🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.68%EV -7.07%E -5.84%K -33.67%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.32%EV -2.33%E -0.554%K -0.726%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 17:30
BetAnything🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.77%E -3.84%K -19.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.56%E -0.610%K -0.801%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 17:10
FanDuel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.54%E -4.50%K -24.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.56%E -0.610%K -0.801%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 17:10
Everygame🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.56%E -0.610%K -0.801%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 17:11
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.56%E -0.610%K -0.801%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 17:10
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.56%E -0.610%K -0.801%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 17:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -5.54%E -4.50%K -24.07%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -3.72%E -0.897%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -3.72%E -0.897%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 17:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.00%E -3.20%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 17:30
BetMGM🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 17:10
Fliff🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -6.04%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:20
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.00%E -3.20%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -6.97%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 17:29
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.00%E -3.20%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 17:31
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.00%E -3.20%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 17:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.00%E -3.20%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.77%E -3.84%K -19.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 17:10
Neds🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.77%E -3.84%K -19.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 17:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.77%E -3.84%K -19.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 17:30
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.77%E -3.84%K -19.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 17:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.54%E -4.50%K -24.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 17:20
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 17:10
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 17:11
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 17:11
Caesars🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 17:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 17:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 17:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 17:30
DraftKings🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.92%EV -4.00%E -3.20%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.08%EV -8.59%E -2.18%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:30
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.00%E -3.20%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 17:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.00%E -3.20%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 17:30
Casumo🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.00%E -3.20%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 17:31
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.00%E -3.20%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 17:31
betPARX🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.00%E -3.20%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 17:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.00%E -3.20%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 17:31
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.00%E -3.20%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 17:30
NordicBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.83%EV -4.77%E -3.84%K -19.86%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.17%EV -9.75%E -2.51%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 17:30
Betsson🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.83%EV -4.77%E -3.84%K -19.86%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.17%EV -9.75%E -2.51%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 17:30
BetRivers🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.23%E -2.56%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.68%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 17:27
TABtouch🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.77%E -3.84%K -19.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -11.84%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 17:30
Grosvenor🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.77%E -3.84%K -19.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -11.84%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 17:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.77%E -3.84%K -19.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -11.84%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 17:31
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.00%E -3.20%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -13.00%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -5.54%E -4.50%K -24.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -13.00%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 17:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -5.54%E -4.50%K -24.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -13.00%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 17:30
Bally Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -5.54%E -4.50%K -24.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -13.00%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 17:30
LeoVegas🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.00%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-29 17:31
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -6.30%E -5.17%K -28.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -14.16%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-29 17:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-06-29 17:11
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-06-29 17:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-06-29 17:10
Matchbook1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-06-29 17:31
ProphetX1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.3%2026-06-29 17:30
Novig1.24I 80.65%NM 78.58%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.42%2.6%2026-06-29 17:31
Smarkets1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%3.9%2026-06-29 17:31