Language:English
Benjamin Bonzi v Gabriel Diallo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Benjamin Bonzi (Local)
Prediction 49.98%2.00fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.527%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.68%50.03%50.00%52.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.881.881.9855.56%53.28%53.19%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Gabriel Diallo (Visit)
Prediction 50.02%2.00fair odd
EV +0.044%
Edge +0.022%
Kelly +0.044%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.78%49.97%50.00%51.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.911.912.0054.64%52.24%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Benjamin Bonzi (Local): 49.98%; Gabriel Diallo (Visit): 50.02%. For Gabriel Diallo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.999. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.000, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.044%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +0.044%E +0.022%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.46%E -0.739%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.46%E -0.739%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.46%E -0.739%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.46%E -0.739%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.46%E -0.739%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.46%E -0.739%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.46%E -0.739%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.46%E -0.739%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.46%E -0.739%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.46%E -0.739%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.46%E -0.739%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.46%E -0.739%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.46%E -0.739%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -9.54%E -5.27%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -1.96%E -0.998%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -9.54%E -5.27%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -1.96%E -0.998%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -3.04%E -1.57%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -2.96%E -1.52%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -3.04%E -1.57%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -2.96%E -1.52%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -10.04%E -5.58%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -2.96%E -1.52%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.54%E -3.50%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.46%E -1.79%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.54%E -4.08%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.46%E -1.79%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.04%E -2.11%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.96%E -2.06%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -6.54%E -3.50%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -3.96%E -2.06%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -6.54%E -3.50%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -3.96%E -2.06%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -9.04%E -4.97%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -3.96%E -2.06%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.04%E -1.57%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.04%E -1.57%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.04%E -1.57%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 11:48 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.54%E -4.08%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.04%E -2.11%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.46%E -2.89%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.54%E -2.93%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.46%E -2.89%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -1.04%E -0.527%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -5.96%E -3.17%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.54%E -1.84%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.96%E -3.17%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.96%E -3.17%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.96%E -3.17%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.96%E -3.17%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.96%E -3.17%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.96%E -3.17%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.46%E -3.45%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.54%E -3.50%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.46%E -3.45%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.54%E -3.50%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.46%E -3.45%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -6.46%E -3.45%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-30 11:48 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.54%E -1.30%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.46%E -4.03%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.54%E -1.84%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.46%E -4.03%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.54%E -4.08%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.46%E -4.03%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.54%E -4.08%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.46%E -4.03%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.54%E -4.08%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.46%E -4.03%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -3.54%E -1.84%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -7.96%E -4.33%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.46%E -4.62%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85% | 1.8% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 2.0% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23% | 2.1% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |