La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Benjamin Bonzi v Gabriel Diallo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Benjamin Bonzi (Local)
Predicción 49.98%2.00momio equitativo
EV -1.04%
Ventaja -0.527%
Kelly -1.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.98
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.68%50.03%50.00%52.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.881.881.9855.56%53.28%53.19%50.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Gabriel Diallo (Visitante)
Predicción 50.02%2.00momio equitativo
EV +0.044%
Ventaja +0.022%
Kelly +0.044%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.78%49.97%50.00%51.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.911.912.0054.64%52.24%52.36%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +0.044%E +0.022%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| Unibet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.46%E -0.739%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Casumo | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.46%E -0.739%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.46%E -0.739%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.46%E -0.739%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| TABtouch | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.46%E -0.739%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.46%E -0.739%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.46%E -0.739%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.46%E -0.739%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.46%E -0.739%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.46%E -0.739%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| betPARX | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.46%E -0.739%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.46%E -0.739%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Bally Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.46%E -0.739%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -9.54%E -5.27%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -1.96%E -0.998%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -9.54%E -5.27%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -1.96%E -0.998%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -3.04%E -1.57%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -2.96%E -1.52%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -3.04%E -1.57%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -2.96%E -1.52%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -10.04%E -5.58%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -2.96%E -1.52%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.54%E -3.50%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.46%E -1.79%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| DraftKings | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.54%E -4.08%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.46%E -1.79%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.04%E -2.11%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.96%E -2.06%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -6.54%E -3.50%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -3.96%E -2.06%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Neds | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -6.54%E -3.50%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -3.96%E -2.06%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -9.04%E -4.97%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -3.96%E -2.06%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.04%E -1.57%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.04%E -1.57%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| ReBet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.04%E -1.57%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| 1xBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| Bovada | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 11:48 |
| betfred_uk | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| BetAnything | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.54%E -4.08%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.04%E -2.11%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.46%E -2.89%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.54%E -2.93%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.46%E -2.89%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -1.04%E -0.527%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -5.96%E -3.17%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| GTbets | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.54%E -1.84%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.96%E -3.17%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.96%E -3.17%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Everygame | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.96%E -3.17%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.96%E -3.17%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.96%E -3.17%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| Betsson | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.96%E -3.17%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.46%E -3.45%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| BetUS | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.54%E -3.50%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.46%E -3.45%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.54%E -3.50%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.46%E -3.45%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -6.46%E -3.45%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-30 11:48 |
| TAB | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.54%E -1.30%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.46%E -4.03%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.54%E -1.84%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.46%E -4.03%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.54%E -4.08%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.46%E -4.03%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.54%E -4.08%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.46%E -4.03%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.54%E -4.08%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.46%E -4.03%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -3.54%E -1.84%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -7.96%E -4.33%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Caesars | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.46%E -4.62%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Matchbook | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| ProphetX | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85% | 1.8% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| Novig | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 2.0% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23% | 2.1% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |