Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Benjamin Bonzi v Gabriel Diallo

Início: 2026-06-30 11:55 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Benjamin Bonzi (Local)

Previsão 49.98%2.00odd justa
EV -1.04%
Vantagem -0.527%
Kelly -1.06%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.98

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.68%50.03%50.00%52.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.881.881.9855.56%53.28%53.19%50.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Gabriel Diallo (Visitante)

Previsão 50.02%2.00odd justa
EV +0.044%
Vantagem +0.022%
Kelly +0.044%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.78%49.97%50.00%51.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.831.911.912.0054.64%52.24%52.36%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Benjamin Bonzi (Local): 49.98%; Gabriel Diallo (Visitante): 50.02%. Para Gabriel Diallo (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.999. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.000, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.044%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +0.044%E +0.022%K +0.044%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 11:50
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.46%E -0.739%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:49
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.46%E -0.739%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:49
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.46%E -0.739%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.46%E -0.739%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:49
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.46%E -0.739%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.46%E -0.739%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.46%E -0.739%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:49
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.46%E -0.739%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:50
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.46%E -0.739%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.46%E -0.739%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:49
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.46%E -0.739%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.46%E -0.739%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:49
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.46%E -0.739%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -9.54%E -5.27%K -11.78%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -1.96%E -0.998%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 11:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -9.54%E -5.27%K -11.78%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -1.96%E -0.998%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 11:50
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -3.04%E -1.57%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -2.96%E -1.52%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-30 11:50
Coolbet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -3.04%E -1.57%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -2.96%E -1.52%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-30 11:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -10.04%E -5.58%K -12.55%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -2.96%E -1.52%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 11:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.54%E -3.50%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.46%E -1.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 11:49
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.54%E -4.08%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.46%E -1.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 11:50
SportsBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.04%E -2.11%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.96%E -2.06%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 11:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -6.54%E -3.50%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -3.96%E -2.06%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:49
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -6.54%E -3.50%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -3.96%E -2.06%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -9.04%E -4.97%K -11.02%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -3.96%E -2.06%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 11:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.04%E -1.57%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 11:49
Codere (IT)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.04%E -1.57%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 11:49
ReBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.04%E -1.57%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 11:49
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 11:50
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 11:49
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 11:49
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 11:50
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 11:49
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 11:50
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 11:48
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 11:49
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 11:49
BetAnything🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 11:49
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 11:49
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 11:49
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.54%E -4.08%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 11:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 11:50
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 11:50
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 11:49
MyBookie.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.04%E -2.11%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.46%E -2.89%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.54%E -2.93%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.46%E -2.89%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 11:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -1.04%E -0.527%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -5.96%E -3.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 11:49
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.54%E -1.84%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.96%E -3.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.96%E -3.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 11:49
Everygame🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.96%E -3.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 11:50
Dabble (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.96%E -3.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 11:49
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.96%E -3.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 11:50
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.96%E -3.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 11:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.46%E -3.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 11:49
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.54%E -3.50%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.46%E -3.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 11:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.54%E -3.50%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.46%E -3.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 11:49
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -6.46%E -3.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 11:48
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.54%E -1.30%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.46%E -4.03%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 11:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.54%E -1.84%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.46%E -4.03%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 11:49
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.54%E -4.08%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.46%E -4.03%K -8.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 11:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.54%E -4.08%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.46%E -4.03%K -8.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 11:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.54%E -4.08%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.46%E -4.03%K -8.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 11:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -3.54%E -1.84%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -7.96%E -4.33%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 11:49
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.46%E -4.62%K -10.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 11:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-06-30 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-06-30 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-06-30 11:49
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-06-30 11:50
ProphetX1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85%1.8%2026-06-30 11:50
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-06-30 11:50
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%2.1%2026-06-30 11:50