A Escola das Odds

Arthur Rinderknech v Oliver Tarvet

Início: 2026-06-29 13:21 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Arthur Rinderknech (Local)

Previsão 60.95%1.64odd justa
EV +4.83%
Vantagem +2.81%
Kelly +6.71%
Crescimento +0.324%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.72

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.70%60.50%61.35%63.86%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.471.601.641.7268.03%62.35%60.98%58.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Oliver Tarvet (Visitante)

Previsão 39.05%2.56odd justa
EV +3.49%
Vantagem +1.32%
Kelly +2.11%
Crescimento +0.074%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.14%39.50%38.65%44.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.152.302.252.6546.51%43.48%44.44%37.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV +4.83%E +2.81%K +6.71%G +0.324%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -11.35%E -5.00%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-29 13:11
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV +4.22%E +2.47%K +5.94%G +0.251%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -16.04%E -7.46%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 13:17
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV +3.61%E +2.12%K +5.16%G +0.186%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -11.35%E -5.00%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-29 13:01
Codere (IT)1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV +3.00%E +1.78%K +4.35%G +0.131%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 13:01
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV +3.00%E +1.78%K +4.35%G +0.131%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 13:00
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV +3.00%E +1.78%K +4.35%G +0.131%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -16.04%E -7.46%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 13:00
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV +3.00%E +1.78%K +4.35%G +0.131%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -16.04%E -7.46%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 13:11
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV +2.39%E +1.42%K +3.52%G +0.084%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -16.04%E -7.46%K -13.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 13:00
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV +2.39%E +1.42%K +3.52%G +0.084%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -16.04%E -7.46%K -13.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 13:00
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +1.78%E +1.07%K +2.66%G +0.047%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -14.08%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 13:01
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +1.78%E +1.07%K +2.66%G +0.047%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -14.08%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 13:00
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV +1.17%E +0.707%K +1.78%G +0.021%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -13.69%E -6.20%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 13:13
Betr (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV +1.17%E +0.707%K +1.78%G +0.021%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -14.08%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 13:11
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -12.13%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 13:00
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:59
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:59
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:59
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:59
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:59
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:59
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 13:01
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:59
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:59
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:59
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:58
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:59
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -14.08%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 13:19
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -14.08%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 13:00
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -0.046%E -0.028%K -0.072%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -10.18%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 13:00
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -0.046%E -0.028%K -0.072%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -14.08%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 13:00
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -0.046%E -0.028%K -0.072%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -14.08%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 13:00
Dabble (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -0.046%E -0.028%K -0.072%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -14.08%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 13:00
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -0.655%E -0.402%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -12.13%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 13:00
PMU (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -0.655%E -0.402%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -14.08%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 12:59
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -0.655%E -0.402%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -14.08%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 13:00
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -1.26%E -0.781%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -7.06%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 13:20
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.48%E -1.55%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -12.13%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 13:20
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.48%E -1.55%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -12.13%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 13:20
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.09%E -1.95%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 13:20
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.09%E -1.95%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -10.18%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 13:20
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.18%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-29 13:21
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -12.13%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-29 13:20
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -12.13%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-29 13:20
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.37%E -0.948%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 13:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -7.45%E -3.14%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 13:20
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -7.45%E -3.14%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 13:21
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.417%E -0.163%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 13:21
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 13:20
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.18%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-29 13:20
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -0.417%E -0.163%K -0.269%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 13:21
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 13:19
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +3.49%E +1.32%K +2.11%G +0.074%4.4%2026-06-29 13:19
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.417%E -0.163%K -0.269%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 13:21
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.417%E -0.163%K -0.269%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 13:19
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.37%E -0.948%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 13:20
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.37%E -0.948%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 13:19
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.37%E -0.948%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 13:21
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.32%E -1.76%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 13:19
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 61.64%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.36%EV -5.88%E -2.44%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-29 13:20
Winamax (DE)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -9.80%E -6.62%K -20.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -8.23%E -3.50%K -6.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-29 13:20
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.88%EV -10.41%E -7.08%K -22.14%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.12%EV -2.76%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-29 13:20
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.21%EV -10.41%E -7.08%K -22.14%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.79%EV -5.49%E -2.27%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-29 13:20
Winamax (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 60.48%EV -10.41%E -7.08%K -22.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.52%EV -12.13%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-29 13:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-06-29 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-06-29 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-06-29 13:20
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 61.61%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.39%3.4%2026-06-29 13:21
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%3.8%2026-06-29 13:21
ProphetX1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%4.4%2026-06-29 13:21
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%6.5%2026-06-29 13:21