L’École des cotes

Arthur Rinderknech v Oliver Tarvet

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-29 13:21 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Arthur Rinderknech (Local)

Prévision 60.95%1.64cote équitable
EV +4.83%
Avantage +2.81%
Kelly +6.71%
Croissance +0.324%

avec la cote maximale 1.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.70%60.50%61.35%63.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.471.601.641.7268.03%62.35%60.98%58.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Oliver Tarvet (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.05%2.56cote équitable
EV +3.49%
Avantage +1.32%
Kelly +2.11%
Croissance +0.074%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.14%39.50%38.65%44.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.302.252.6546.51%43.48%44.44%37.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV +4.83%E +2.81%K +6.71%G +0.324%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -11.35%E -5.00%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-29 13:11
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV +4.22%E +2.47%K +5.94%G +0.251%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -16.04%E -7.46%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 13:17
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV +3.61%E +2.12%K +5.16%G +0.186%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -11.35%E -5.00%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-29 13:01
Codere (IT)1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV +3.00%E +1.78%K +4.35%G +0.131%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 13:01
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV +3.00%E +1.78%K +4.35%G +0.131%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 13:00
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV +3.00%E +1.78%K +4.35%G +0.131%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -16.04%E -7.46%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 13:00
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV +3.00%E +1.78%K +4.35%G +0.131%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -16.04%E -7.46%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 13:11
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV +2.39%E +1.42%K +3.52%G +0.084%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -16.04%E -7.46%K -13.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 13:00
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV +2.39%E +1.42%K +3.52%G +0.084%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -16.04%E -7.46%K -13.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 13:00
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +1.78%E +1.07%K +2.66%G +0.047%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -14.08%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 13:01
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +1.78%E +1.07%K +2.66%G +0.047%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -14.08%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 13:00
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV +1.17%E +0.707%K +1.78%G +0.021%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -13.69%E -6.20%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 13:13
Betr (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV +1.17%E +0.707%K +1.78%G +0.021%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -14.08%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 13:11
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -12.13%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 13:00
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:59
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:59
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:59
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:59
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:59
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:59
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 13:01
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:59
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:59
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:59
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:58
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:59
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -14.08%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 13:19
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -14.08%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 13:00
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -0.046%E -0.028%K -0.072%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -10.18%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 13:00
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -0.046%E -0.028%K -0.072%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -14.08%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 13:00
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -0.046%E -0.028%K -0.072%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -14.08%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 13:00
Dabble (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -0.046%E -0.028%K -0.072%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -14.08%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 13:00
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -0.655%E -0.402%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -12.13%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 13:00
PMU (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -0.655%E -0.402%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -14.08%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 12:59
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -0.655%E -0.402%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -14.08%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 13:00
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -1.26%E -0.781%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -7.06%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 13:20
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.48%E -1.55%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -12.13%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 13:20
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.48%E -1.55%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -12.13%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 13:20
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.09%E -1.95%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 13:20
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.09%E -1.95%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -10.18%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 13:20
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.18%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-29 13:21
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -12.13%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-29 13:20
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -12.13%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-29 13:20
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.37%E -0.948%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 13:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -7.45%E -3.14%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 13:20
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -7.45%E -3.14%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 13:21
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.417%E -0.163%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 13:21
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 13:20
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.18%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-29 13:20
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -0.417%E -0.163%K -0.269%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 13:21
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 13:19
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +3.49%E +1.32%K +2.11%G +0.074%4.4%2026-06-29 13:19
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.417%E -0.163%K -0.269%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 13:21
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.417%E -0.163%K -0.269%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 13:19
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.37%E -0.948%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 13:20
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.37%E -0.948%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 13:19
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.37%E -0.948%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 13:21
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.32%E -1.76%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 13:19
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 61.64%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.36%EV -5.88%E -2.44%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-29 13:20
Winamax (DE)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -9.80%E -6.62%K -20.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -8.23%E -3.50%K -6.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-29 13:20
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.88%EV -10.41%E -7.08%K -22.14%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.12%EV -2.76%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-29 13:20
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.21%EV -10.41%E -7.08%K -22.14%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.79%EV -5.49%E -2.27%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-29 13:20
Winamax (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 60.48%EV -10.41%E -7.08%K -22.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.52%EV -12.13%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-29 13:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-06-29 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-06-29 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-06-29 13:20
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 61.61%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.39%3.4%2026-06-29 13:21
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%3.8%2026-06-29 13:21
ProphetX1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%4.4%2026-06-29 13:21
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%6.5%2026-06-29 13:21