مدرسة الاحتمالات

Arthur Rinderknech v Oliver Tarvet

البداية: 2026-06-29 13:21 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Arthur Rinderknech (المضيف)

التنبؤ 60.95%1.64السعر العادل
EV +4.83%
الأفضلية +2.81%
Kelly +6.71%
النمو +0.324%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.72

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
55.70%60.50%61.35%63.86%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.471.601.641.7268.03%62.35%60.98%58.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Oliver Tarvet (الضيف)

التنبؤ 39.05%2.56السعر العادل
EV +3.49%
الأفضلية +1.32%
Kelly +2.11%
النمو +0.074%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.14%39.50%38.65%44.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.152.302.252.6546.51%43.48%44.44%37.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV +4.83%E +2.81%K +6.71%G +0.324%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -11.35%E -5.00%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-29 13:11
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV +4.22%E +2.47%K +5.94%G +0.251%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -16.04%E -7.46%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 13:17
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV +3.61%E +2.12%K +5.16%G +0.186%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -11.35%E -5.00%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-29 13:01
Codere (IT)1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV +3.00%E +1.78%K +4.35%G +0.131%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 13:01
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV +3.00%E +1.78%K +4.35%G +0.131%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 13:00
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV +3.00%E +1.78%K +4.35%G +0.131%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -16.04%E -7.46%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 13:00
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV +3.00%E +1.78%K +4.35%G +0.131%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -16.04%E -7.46%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 13:11
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV +2.39%E +1.42%K +3.52%G +0.084%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -16.04%E -7.46%K -13.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 13:00
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV +2.39%E +1.42%K +3.52%G +0.084%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -16.04%E -7.46%K -13.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 13:00
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +1.78%E +1.07%K +2.66%G +0.047%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -14.08%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 13:01
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +1.78%E +1.07%K +2.66%G +0.047%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -14.08%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 13:00
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV +1.17%E +0.707%K +1.78%G +0.021%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -13.69%E -6.20%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 13:13
Betr (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV +1.17%E +0.707%K +1.78%G +0.021%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -14.08%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 13:11
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -12.13%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 13:00
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:59
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:59
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:59
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:59
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:59
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:59
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 13:01
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:59
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:59
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:59
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:58
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:59
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -14.08%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 13:19
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -14.08%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 13:00
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -0.046%E -0.028%K -0.072%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -10.18%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 13:00
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -0.046%E -0.028%K -0.072%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -14.08%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 13:00
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -0.046%E -0.028%K -0.072%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -14.08%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 13:00
Dabble (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -0.046%E -0.028%K -0.072%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -14.08%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 13:00
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -0.655%E -0.402%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -12.13%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 13:00
PMU (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -0.655%E -0.402%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -14.08%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 12:59
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -0.655%E -0.402%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -14.08%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 13:00
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -1.26%E -0.781%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -7.06%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 13:20
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.48%E -1.55%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -12.13%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 13:20
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.48%E -1.55%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -12.13%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 13:20
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.09%E -1.95%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 13:20
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.09%E -1.95%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -10.18%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 13:20
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.18%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-29 13:21
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -12.13%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-29 13:20
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -12.13%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-29 13:20
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.37%E -0.948%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 13:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -7.45%E -3.14%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 13:20
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -7.45%E -3.14%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 13:21
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.417%E -0.163%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 13:21
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 13:20
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.18%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-29 13:20
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -0.417%E -0.163%K -0.269%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 13:21
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 13:19
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +3.49%E +1.32%K +2.11%G +0.074%4.4%2026-06-29 13:19
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.417%E -0.163%K -0.269%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 13:21
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.417%E -0.163%K -0.269%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 13:19
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.37%E -0.948%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 13:20
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.37%E -0.948%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 13:19
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.37%E -0.948%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 13:21
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.32%E -1.76%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 13:19
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 61.64%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.36%EV -5.88%E -2.44%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-29 13:20
Winamax (DE)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -9.80%E -6.62%K -20.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -8.23%E -3.50%K -6.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-29 13:20
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.88%EV -10.41%E -7.08%K -22.14%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.12%EV -2.76%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-29 13:20
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.21%EV -10.41%E -7.08%K -22.14%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.79%EV -5.49%E -2.27%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-29 13:20
Winamax (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 60.48%EV -10.41%E -7.08%K -22.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.52%EV -12.13%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-29 13:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-06-29 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-06-29 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-06-29 13:20
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 61.61%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.39%3.4%2026-06-29 13:21
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%3.8%2026-06-29 13:21
ProphetX1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%4.4%2026-06-29 13:21
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%6.5%2026-06-29 13:21