La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Arthur Rinderknech v Oliver Tarvet
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Arthur Rinderknech (Local)
Predicción 60.95%1.64momio equitativo
EV +4.83%
Ventaja +2.81%
Kelly +6.71%
Crecimiento +0.324%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.72
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.70%60.50%61.35%63.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.471.601.641.7268.03%62.35%60.98%58.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Oliver Tarvet (Visitante)
Predicción 39.05%2.56momio equitativo
EV +3.49%
Ventaja +1.32%
Kelly +2.11%
Crecimiento +0.074%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.14%39.50%38.65%44.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.302.252.6546.51%43.48%44.44%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV +4.83%E +2.81%K +6.71%G +0.324% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -11.35%E -5.00%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-06-29 13:11 |
| SportsBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV +4.22%E +2.47%K +5.94%G +0.251% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -16.04%E -7.46%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 13:17 |
| Pinnacle | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV +3.61%E +2.12%K +5.16%G +0.186% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -11.35%E -5.00%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-29 13:01 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV +3.00%E +1.78%K +4.35%G +0.131% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-29 13:01 |
| ReBet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV +3.00%E +1.78%K +4.35%G +0.131% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-29 13:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV +3.00%E +1.78%K +4.35%G +0.131% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -16.04%E -7.46%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 13:00 |
| BetUS | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV +3.00%E +1.78%K +4.35%G +0.131% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -16.04%E -7.46%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 13:11 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV +2.39%E +1.42%K +3.52%G +0.084% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -16.04%E -7.46%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 13:00 |
| Neds | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV +2.39%E +1.42%K +3.52%G +0.084% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -16.04%E -7.46%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 13:00 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +1.78%E +1.07%K +2.66%G +0.047% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -14.08%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 13:01 |
| betfred_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +1.78%E +1.07%K +2.66%G +0.047% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -14.08%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 13:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV +1.17%E +0.707%K +1.78%G +0.021% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -13.69%E -6.20%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 13:13 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV +1.17%E +0.707%K +1.78%G +0.021% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -14.08%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 13:11 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -12.13%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 13:00 |
| Unibet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:59 |
| Casumo | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 13:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:59 |
| Bally Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:58 |
| betPARX | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -12.91%E -5.79%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -14.08%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 13:19 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV +0.564%E +0.342%K +0.867%G +0.005% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -14.08%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 13:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -0.046%E -0.028%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -10.18%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-29 13:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -0.046%E -0.028%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -14.08%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 13:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -0.046%E -0.028%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -14.08%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 13:00 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -0.046%E -0.028%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -14.08%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 13:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -0.655%E -0.402%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -12.13%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 13:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -0.655%E -0.402%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -14.08%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-29 12:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -0.655%E -0.402%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -14.08%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-29 13:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -1.26%E -0.781%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -7.06%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| 888sport | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.48%E -1.55%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -12.13%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.48%E -1.55%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -12.13%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.09%E -1.95%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| Caesars | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.09%E -1.95%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -10.18%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.18%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-29 13:21 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -12.13%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| Sky Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -12.13%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.37%E -0.948%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-29 13:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -7.45%E -3.14%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| Coral | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -7.45%E -3.14%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 13:21 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.417%E -0.163%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 13:21 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| Fliff | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.18%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -0.417%E -0.163%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 13:21 |
| TAB | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-29 13:19 |
| Bovada | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +3.49%E +1.32%K +2.11%G +0.074% | 4.4% | 2026-06-29 13:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.417%E -0.163%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 13:21 |
| Coolbet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.417%E -0.163%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 13:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.37%E -0.948%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.37%E -0.948%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 13:19 |
| theScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.37%E -0.948%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 13:21 |
| BetMGM | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.32%E -1.76%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-29 13:19 |
| Betsson | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.64%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.36%EV -5.88%E -2.44%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -9.80%E -6.62%K -20.41%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -8.23%E -3.50%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.88%EV -10.41%E -7.08%K -22.14%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.12%EV -2.76%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.21%EV -10.41%E -7.08%K -22.14%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.79%EV -5.49%E -2.27%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.48%EV -10.41%E -7.08%K -22.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.52%EV -12.13%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 0.6% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 1.2% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.61% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.39% | 3.4% | 2026-06-29 13:21 |
| Matchbook | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 13:21 |
| ProphetX | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61% | 4.4% | 2026-06-29 13:21 |
| Novig | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44% | 6.5% | 2026-06-29 13:21 |