Language:English
Arthur Rinderknech v Martin Damm Jr.
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Arthur Rinderknech (Local)
Prediction 56.23%1.78fair odd
EV +1.21%
Edge +0.673%
Kelly +1.51%
Growth +0.018%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%55.98%56.35%58.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.691.681.8061.73%59.00%59.52%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Martin Damm Jr. (Visit)
Prediction 43.77%2.28fair odd
EV +0.674%
Edge +0.293%
Kelly +0.519%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.33%44.02%43.65%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.162.172.3051.28%46.37%46.08%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arthur Rinderknech (Local): 56.23%; Martin Damm Jr. (Visit): 43.77%. For Arthur Rinderknech (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.78. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.21%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV +1.21%E +0.673%K +1.51%G +0.018% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -14.65%E -7.51%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV +0.087%E +0.049%K +0.112%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -5.02%E -2.31%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -1.60%E -0.914%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -2.39%E -1.07%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-01 12:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -1.60%E -0.914%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -7.20%E -3.40%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -1.60%E -0.914%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -10.27%E -5.01%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.16%E -1.24%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.16%E -1.24%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -2.16%E -1.24%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -9.39%E -4.54%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.72%E -1.57%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.72%E -1.57%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.72%E -1.57%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.72%E -1.57%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.72%E -1.57%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.29%E -1.91%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.29%E -1.91%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.85%E -2.25%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.89%E -2.74%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.85%E -2.25%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.83%E -1.27%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-01 12:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.83%E -1.27%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.83%E -1.27%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -3.27%E -1.48%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.70%E -1.68%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.70%E -1.68%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.89%E -2.74%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.89%E -2.74%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.70%E -1.68%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.89%E -2.74%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.51%E -0.673%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.70%E -1.68%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.58%E -2.10%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.58%E -2.10%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.58%E -2.10%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.58%E -2.10%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.58%E -2.10%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.58%E -2.10%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.58%E -2.10%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.58%E -2.10%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.58%E -2.10%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.58%E -2.10%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.58%E -2.10%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.58%E -2.10%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.89%E -2.74%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.89%E -2.74%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.89%E -2.74%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.70%E -1.68%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 12:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.70%E -1.68%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.70%E -1.68%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 12:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.70%E -1.68%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.70%E -1.68%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -5.02%E -2.31%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.89%E -2.74%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.89%E -2.74%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-01 12:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -5.02%E -2.31%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.89%E -2.74%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.89%E -2.74%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.79%E -4.75%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -3.70%E -1.68%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -7.79%E -4.75%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -6.33%E -2.96%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.91%E -5.50%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.674%E +0.293%K +0.519%G +0.003% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 0.3% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 0.3% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81% | 2.4% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.62% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.38% | 3.4% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |