La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Arthur Rinderknech v Martin Damm Jr.
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Arthur Rinderknech (Local)
Predicción 56.23%1.78momio equitativo
EV +1.21%
Ventaja +0.673%
Kelly +1.51%
Crecimiento +0.018%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.00%55.98%56.35%58.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.691.681.8061.73%59.00%59.52%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Martin Damm Jr. (Visitante)
Predicción 43.77%2.28momio equitativo
EV +0.674%
Ventaja +0.293%
Kelly +0.519%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.33%44.02%43.65%48.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.162.172.3051.28%46.37%46.08%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV +1.21%E +0.673%K +1.51%G +0.018% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -14.65%E -7.51%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV +0.087%E +0.049%K +0.112%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -5.02%E -2.31%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -1.60%E -0.914%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -2.39%E -1.07%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-01 12:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -1.60%E -0.914%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -7.20%E -3.40%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -1.60%E -0.914%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -10.27%E -5.01%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.16%E -1.24%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.16%E -1.24%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -2.16%E -1.24%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -9.39%E -4.54%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.72%E -1.57%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.72%E -1.57%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.72%E -1.57%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.72%E -1.57%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.72%E -1.57%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.29%E -1.91%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Neds | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.29%E -1.91%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Bovada | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.85%E -2.25%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.89%E -2.74%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| BetUS | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.85%E -2.25%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.83%E -1.27%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-01 12:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.83%E -1.27%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| ReBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.83%E -1.27%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -3.27%E -1.48%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Betway | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.70%E -1.68%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.70%E -1.68%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.89%E -2.74%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| TAB | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.89%E -2.74%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.70%E -1.68%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.89%E -2.74%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.51%E -0.673%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.70%E -1.68%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Unibet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.58%E -2.10%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Casumo | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.58%E -2.10%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.58%E -2.10%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.58%E -2.10%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.58%E -2.10%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.58%E -2.10%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.58%E -2.10%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.58%E -2.10%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.58%E -2.10%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.58%E -2.10%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| betPARX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.58%E -2.10%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.58%E -2.10%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.89%E -2.74%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.89%E -2.74%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.89%E -2.74%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.70%E -1.68%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 12:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.70%E -1.68%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Caesars | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.70%E -1.68%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 12:54 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.70%E -1.68%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.70%E -1.68%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -5.02%E -2.31%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.89%E -2.74%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.89%E -2.74%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-01 12:59 |
| Betsson | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -5.02%E -2.31%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.89%E -2.74%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.89%E -2.74%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.79%E -4.75%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -3.70%E -1.68%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -7.79%E -4.75%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -6.33%E -2.96%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| GTbets | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.91%E -5.50%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.674%E +0.293%K +0.519%G +0.003% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 0.3% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 0.3% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| ProphetX | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81% | 2.4% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |
| Novig | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.62% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.38% | 3.4% | 2026-07-01 13:00 |