Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Arthur Rinderknech v Martin Damm Jr.

Início: 2026-07-01 13:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Arthur Rinderknech (Local)

Previsão 56.23%1.78odd justa
EV +1.21%
Vantagem +0.673%
Kelly +1.51%
Crescimento +0.018%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.00%55.98%56.35%58.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.621.691.681.8061.73%59.00%59.52%55.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Martin Damm Jr. (Visitante)

Previsão 43.77%2.28odd justa
EV +0.674%
Vantagem +0.293%
Kelly +0.519%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.33%44.02%43.65%48.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.952.162.172.3051.28%46.37%46.08%43.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Arthur Rinderknech (Local): 56.23%; Martin Damm Jr. (Visitante): 43.77%. Para Arthur Rinderknech (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.78. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.80, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.21%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetAnything🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV +1.21%E +0.673%K +1.51%G +0.018%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -14.65%E -7.51%K -15.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-01 13:00
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV +0.087%E +0.049%K +0.112%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -5.02%E -2.31%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-01 13:00
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -1.60%E -0.914%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -2.39%E -1.07%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-01 12:59
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -1.60%E -0.914%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -7.20%E -3.40%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 13:00
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -1.60%E -0.914%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -10.27%E -5.01%K -9.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 13:00
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.16%E -1.24%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 13:00
Fanatics🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.16%E -1.24%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 13:00
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -2.16%E -1.24%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -9.39%E -4.54%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 13:00
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.72%E -1.57%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 13:00
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.72%E -1.57%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 13:00
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.72%E -1.57%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 13:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.72%E -1.57%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 13:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.72%E -1.57%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.29%E -1.91%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 13:00
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.29%E -1.91%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 13:00
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.85%E -2.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.89%E -2.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 13:00
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.85%E -2.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 13:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.83%E -1.27%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 12:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.83%E -1.27%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 13:00
ReBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.83%E -1.27%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 13:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -3.27%E -1.48%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 13:00
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.70%E -1.68%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 13:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.70%E -1.68%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 13:00
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.89%E -2.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 13:00
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.89%E -2.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 13:00
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 13:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.70%E -1.68%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 13:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.89%E -2.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 13:00
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-01 13:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.51%E -0.673%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-01 13:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.70%E -1.68%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 13:00
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.58%E -2.10%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 13:00
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.58%E -2.10%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 13:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.58%E -2.10%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 13:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.58%E -2.10%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.58%E -2.10%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 13:00
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.58%E -2.10%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 13:00
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.58%E -2.10%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 13:00
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.58%E -2.10%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 13:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.58%E -2.10%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 13:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.58%E -2.10%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 13:00
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.58%E -2.10%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 13:00
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.58%E -2.10%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 13:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.89%E -2.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 13:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.89%E -2.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 13:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.89%E -2.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 13:00
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.70%E -1.68%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 12:59
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.70%E -1.68%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 13:00
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.70%E -1.68%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 12:54
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.70%E -1.68%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 13:00
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.70%E -1.68%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 13:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -5.02%E -2.31%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 13:00
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.89%E -2.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 13:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.89%E -2.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 13:00
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-01 12:59
Betsson🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -5.02%E -2.31%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 13:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.89%E -2.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 13:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.89%E -2.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 13:00
NordicBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.79%E -4.75%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -3.70%E -1.68%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 13:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -7.79%E -4.75%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -6.33%E -2.96%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-01 13:00
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.91%E -5.50%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.674%E +0.293%K +0.519%G +0.003%5.2%2026-07-01 13:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-07-01 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-07-01 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-07-01 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-07-01 13:00
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-01 13:00
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%2.4%2026-07-01 13:00
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 54.62%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.38%3.4%2026-07-01 13:00