Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.60
assuming max odds 1.62
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aleksandar Kovacevic (Local): 38.86%; Botic van de Zandschulp (Visit): 61.14%. For Aleksandar Kovacevic (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.57. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.05%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +1.05%E +0.403%K +0.654%G +0.007% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:08 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.59%EV +0.658%E +0.254%K +0.414%G +0.003% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV -4.63%E -2.97%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV +0.270%E +0.104%K +0.171%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -0.508%E -0.198%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -7.07%E -4.65%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -0.896%E -0.352%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -0.896%E -0.352%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.896%E -0.352%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.85%E -3.80%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 09:46 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.896%E -0.352%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -2.06%E -0.818%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -4.63%E -2.97%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -2.06%E -0.818%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -7.07%E -4.65%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -2.45%E -0.976%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -5.85%E -3.80%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.84%E -1.14%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.63%E -2.97%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.84%E -1.14%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.84%E -1.14%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -2.84%E -1.14%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.07%E -4.65%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -2.84%E -1.14%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.68%E -5.09%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.84%E -1.14%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.84%E -1.14%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 09:47 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -3.62%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -3.62%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.39%E -1.79%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 09:47 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 10:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -7.07%E -4.65%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-29 10:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -5.56%E -2.29%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -5.56%E -2.29%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -5.56%E -2.29%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -5.95%E -2.46%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.73%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.85%E -3.80%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.73%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 10:08 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.73%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.73%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.73%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.73%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -6.73%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -9.52%E -6.43%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-29 10:07 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.50%E -3.15%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.50%E -3.15%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -8.67%E -3.69%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -2.79%E -1.76%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.67%E -3.69%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -9.45%E -4.05%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -9.45%E -4.05%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -9.45%E -4.05%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.64%EV -9.45%E -4.05%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.36%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.00%EV -10.22%E -4.43%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.00%EV -5.85%E -3.80%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.61%E -4.61%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -0.960%E -0.593%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -10.61%E -4.61%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.18%E -1.36%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.61%E -4.61%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.61%E -4.61%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.61%E -4.61%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.61%E -4.61%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -11.39%E -5.00%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -4.63%E -2.97%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -12.56%E -5.58%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.18%E -1.36%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -12.56%E -5.58%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -12.56%E -5.58%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -5.85%E -3.80%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -14.50%E -6.59%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -14.50%E -6.59%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -4.63%E -2.97%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -14.50%E -6.59%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -4.63%E -2.97%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -18.39%E -8.75%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%EV -5.85%E -3.80%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 0.5% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 0.5% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 0.5% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 0.9% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 1.0% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78% | 2.8% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.35% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65% | 2.8% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |