L’École des cotes

Aleksandar Kovacevic v Botic van de Zandschulp

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-29 11:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Aleksandar Kovacevic (Local)

Prévision 38.86%2.57cote équitable
EV +1.05%
Avantage +0.403%
Kelly +0.654%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.59%39.09%38.93%42.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.412.432.6047.62%41.50%41.15%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Botic van de Zandschulp (Visiteur)

Prévision 61.14%1.64cote équitable
EV -0.960%
Avantage -0.593%
Kelly -1.55%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.69%60.91%61.07%63.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.481.541.541.6267.57%64.86%64.94%61.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +1.05%E +0.403%K +0.654%G +0.007%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:08
Pinnacle2.59I 38.61%NM 37.59%EV +0.658%E +0.254%K +0.414%G +0.003%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV -4.63%E -2.97%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-29 10:00
FanDuel2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV +0.270%E +0.104%K +0.171%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 10:09
SportsBet2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -0.508%E -0.198%K -0.325%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -7.07%E -4.65%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 10:09
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -0.896%E -0.352%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 10:00
ReBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -0.896%E -0.352%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 09:59
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.896%E -0.352%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.85%E -3.80%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 09:46
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.896%E -0.352%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 09:59
BetAnything2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -2.06%E -0.818%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -4.63%E -2.97%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Marathon Bet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -2.06%E -0.818%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -7.07%E -4.65%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:00
1xBet2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -2.45%E -0.976%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -5.85%E -3.80%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 09:59
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.84%E -1.14%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.63%E -2.97%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 09:59
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.84%E -1.14%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 09:59
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.84%E -1.14%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:00
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -2.84%E -1.14%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.07%E -4.65%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -2.84%E -1.14%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.68%E -5.09%K -15.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 10:09
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.84%E -1.14%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 10:09
NetBet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.84%E -1.14%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 09:47
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -3.62%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 10:09
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -3.62%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 10:09
GTbets2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.39%E -1.79%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 09:47
MyBookie.ag2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 10:10
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 09:59
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 10:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 10:00
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 10:09
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 09:59
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 10:04
TAB2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 10:00
Dabble (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -7.07%E -4.65%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 10:05
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 10:09
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -5.56%E -2.29%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 10:10
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -5.56%E -2.29%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 10:10
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -5.56%E -2.29%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 10:10
DraftKings2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -5.95%E -2.46%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.73%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.85%E -3.80%K -10.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 10:10
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.73%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 10:08
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.73%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.73%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 10:00
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.73%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 10:09
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.73%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 09:58
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -6.73%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -9.52%E -6.43%K -19.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-29 10:07
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.50%E -3.15%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 10:10
Bally Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.50%E -3.15%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 10:10
Hard Rock Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -8.67%E -3.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -2.79%E -1.76%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:09
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.67%E -3.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.59%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-29 10:10
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -9.45%E -4.05%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 10:09
betPARX2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -9.45%E -4.05%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 10:09
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -9.45%E -4.05%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 10:09
NordicBet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.64%EV -9.45%E -4.05%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.36%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-29 10:10
Betsson2.31I 43.29%NM 40.00%EV -10.22%E -4.43%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.00%EV -5.85%E -3.80%K -10.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-29 10:09
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.61%E -4.61%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -0.960%E -0.593%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -10.61%E -4.61%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.18%E -1.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 10:10
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.61%E -4.61%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-29 10:09
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.61%E -4.61%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-29 10:09
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.61%E -4.61%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-29 10:09
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.61%E -4.61%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 10:09
PMU (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -11.39%E -5.00%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -4.63%E -2.97%K -8.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 10:09
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -12.56%E -5.58%K -10.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.18%E -1.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 10:09
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -12.56%E -5.58%K -10.04%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-29 10:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -12.56%E -5.58%K -10.04%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -5.85%E -3.80%K -10.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-29 10:09
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -14.50%E -6.59%K -12.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-29 10:09
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -14.50%E -6.59%K -12.08%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -4.63%E -2.97%K -8.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-29 10:09
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -14.50%E -6.59%K -12.08%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -4.63%E -2.97%K -8.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-29 10:09
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -18.39%E -8.75%K -16.71%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%EV -5.85%E -3.80%K -10.83%G +0.000%12.6%2026-06-29 10:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-06-29 10:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-06-29 10:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-06-29 10:09
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%0.9%2026-06-29 10:10
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%1.0%2026-06-29 10:10
ProphetX2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%2.8%2026-06-29 10:10
Novig2.41I 41.49%NM 40.35%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65%2.8%2026-06-29 10:09