Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Aleksandar Kovacevic v Botic van de Zandschulp

Inicio: 2026-06-29 11:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Aleksandar Kovacevic (Local)

Predicción 38.86%2.57momio equitativo
EV +1.05%
Ventaja +0.403%
Kelly +0.654%
Crecimiento +0.007%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.59%39.09%38.93%42.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.412.432.6047.62%41.50%41.15%38.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Botic van de Zandschulp (Visitante)

Predicción 61.14%1.64momio equitativo
EV -0.960%
Ventaja -0.593%
Kelly -1.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.69%60.91%61.07%63.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.481.541.541.6267.57%64.86%64.94%61.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Aleksandar Kovacevic (Local): 38.86%; Botic van de Zandschulp (Visitante): 61.14%. Para Aleksandar Kovacevic (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.57. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.60, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.05%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +1.05%E +0.403%K +0.654%G +0.007%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:08
Pinnacle🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 37.59%EV +0.658%E +0.254%K +0.414%G +0.003%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV -4.63%E -2.97%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-29 10:00
FanDuel🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV +0.270%E +0.104%K +0.171%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 10:09
SportsBet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -0.508%E -0.198%K -0.325%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -7.07%E -4.65%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 10:09
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -0.896%E -0.352%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 10:00
ReBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -0.896%E -0.352%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 09:59
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.896%E -0.352%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.85%E -3.80%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 09:46
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.896%E -0.352%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 09:59
BetAnything🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -2.06%E -0.818%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -4.63%E -2.97%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -2.06%E -0.818%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -7.07%E -4.65%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:00
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -2.45%E -0.976%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -5.85%E -3.80%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 09:59
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.84%E -1.14%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.63%E -2.97%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 09:59
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.84%E -1.14%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 09:59
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.84%E -1.14%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -2.84%E -1.14%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.07%E -4.65%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -2.84%E -1.14%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.68%E -5.09%K -15.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 10:09
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.84%E -1.14%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 10:09
NetBet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.84%E -1.14%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 09:47
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -3.62%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 10:09
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -3.62%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 10:09
GTbets🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.39%E -1.79%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 09:47
MyBookie.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 10:10
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 09:59
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 10:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 10:00
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 10:09
Everygame🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 09:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 10:04
TAB🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 10:00
Dabble (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -7.07%E -4.65%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 10:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 10:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -5.56%E -2.29%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 10:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -5.56%E -2.29%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 10:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -5.56%E -2.29%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 10:10
DraftKings🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -5.95%E -2.46%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.73%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.85%E -3.80%K -10.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 10:10
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.73%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 10:08
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.73%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.73%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 10:00
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.73%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 10:09
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.73%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 09:58
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -6.73%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -9.52%E -6.43%K -19.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-29 10:07
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.50%E -3.15%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 10:10
Bally Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.50%E -3.15%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 10:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -8.67%E -3.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -2.79%E -1.76%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:09
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.67%E -3.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.59%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-29 10:10
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -9.45%E -4.05%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 10:09
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -9.45%E -4.05%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 10:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -9.45%E -4.05%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 10:09
NordicBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.64%EV -9.45%E -4.05%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.36%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-29 10:10
Betsson🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.00%EV -10.22%E -4.43%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.00%EV -5.85%E -3.80%K -10.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-29 10:09
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.61%E -4.61%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -0.960%E -0.593%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -10.61%E -4.61%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.18%E -1.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 10:10
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.61%E -4.61%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-29 10:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.61%E -4.61%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-29 10:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.61%E -4.61%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-29 10:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.61%E -4.61%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 10:09
PMU (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -11.39%E -5.00%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -4.63%E -2.97%K -8.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 10:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -12.56%E -5.58%K -10.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.18%E -1.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 10:09
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -12.56%E -5.58%K -10.04%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-29 10:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -12.56%E -5.58%K -10.04%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -5.85%E -3.80%K -10.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-29 10:09
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -14.50%E -6.59%K -12.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-29 10:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -14.50%E -6.59%K -12.08%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -4.63%E -2.97%K -8.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-29 10:09
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -14.50%E -6.59%K -12.08%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -4.63%E -2.97%K -8.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-29 10:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -18.39%E -8.75%K -16.71%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%EV -5.85%E -3.80%K -10.83%G +0.000%12.6%2026-06-29 10:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-06-29 10:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-06-29 10:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-06-29 10:09
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%0.9%2026-06-29 10:10
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%1.0%2026-06-29 10:10
ProphetX2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%2.8%2026-06-29 10:10
Novig2.41I 41.49%NM 40.35%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65%2.8%2026-06-29 10:09