Language:English
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Local)
Prediction 77.89%1.28fair odd
EV -1.86%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -7.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.20%77.69%78.04%80.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.221.221.2684.75%81.77%81.97%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visit)
Prediction 22.11%4.52fair odd
EV +10.77%
Edge +2.15%
Kelly +2.69%
Growth +0.289%
assuming max odds 5.01
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.58%22.31%21.96%24.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.184.255.0127.03%23.90%23.53%19.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Local): 77.89%; Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visit): 22.11%. For Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.52. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.01, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.77%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.42%EV -4.97%E -4.08%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 5.01I 19.96%NM 19.58%EV +10.77%E +2.15%K +2.69%G +0.289% | 1.9% | 2026-06-29 15:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%EV -4.97%E -4.08%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%EV +6.13%E +1.28%K +1.61%G +0.099% | 2.8% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.20%E -3.41%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -0.506%E -0.112%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-29 15:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.97%E -4.08%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.506%E -0.112%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 15:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.97%E -4.08%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.506%E -0.112%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 15:41 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.53%E -5.44%K -32.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.506%E -0.112%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.53%E -5.44%K -32.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.506%E -0.112%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 15:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -5.75%E -4.75%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -1.61%E -0.362%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 15:41 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -5.75%E -4.75%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -1.61%E -0.362%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 15:31 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.20%E -3.41%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.72%E -0.617%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-29 15:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.20%E -3.41%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.72%E -0.617%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-29 15:31 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.97%E -4.08%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.72%E -0.617%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 15:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.53%E -5.44%K -32.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.72%E -0.617%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 15:38 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.53%E -5.44%K -32.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.72%E -0.617%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 15:38 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.53%E -5.44%K -32.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.72%E -0.617%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.97%E -4.08%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -3.82%E -0.879%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 15:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.97%E -4.08%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -3.82%E -0.879%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.97%E -4.08%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -4.26%E -0.985%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 15:41 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.53%E -5.44%K -32.66%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.26%E -0.985%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.53%E -5.44%K -32.66%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.26%E -0.985%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 15:41 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.53%E -5.44%K -32.66%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.26%E -0.985%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.53%E -5.44%K -32.66%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.26%E -0.985%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 15:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.53%E -5.44%K -32.66%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.26%E -0.985%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.53%E -5.44%K -32.66%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.26%E -0.985%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.44%EV -7.31%E -6.14%K -38.48%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.56%EV -4.26%E -0.985%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.20%E -3.41%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -4.93%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.75%E -4.75%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.93%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.42%E -2.75%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.03%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 15:21 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.97%E -4.08%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.03%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.97%E -4.08%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.03%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 15:31 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.97%E -4.08%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.03%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 15:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.75%E -4.75%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.03%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 15:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.75%E -4.75%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.03%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 15:31 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.53%E -5.44%K -32.66%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.03%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 15:41 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.97%E -4.08%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.14%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.75%E -4.75%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.14%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.75%E -4.75%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.14%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.62%EV -1.86%E -1.47%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.38%EV -8.69%E -2.10%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-29 15:31 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.75%E -4.75%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.35%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.64%E -2.11%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.56%E -2.89%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.64%E -2.11%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.56%E -2.89%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.97%E -4.08%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.56%E -2.89%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 15:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.53%E -5.44%K -32.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.56%E -2.89%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-29 15:38 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -8.09%E -6.86%K -44.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -11.56%E -2.89%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -2.64%E -2.11%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -12.67%E -3.21%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -2.64%E -2.11%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -12.67%E -3.21%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -2.64%E -2.11%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -13.77%E -3.53%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -2.64%E -2.11%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -13.77%E -3.53%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 15:41 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -2.64%E -2.11%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -13.77%E -3.53%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 15:41 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -2.64%E -2.11%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -13.77%E -3.53%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -2.64%E -2.11%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -13.77%E -3.53%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -2.64%E -2.11%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -13.77%E -3.53%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 15:41 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -2.64%E -2.11%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -13.77%E -3.53%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.64%E -2.11%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -15.98%E -4.21%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 15:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -3.42%E -2.75%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -15.98%E -4.21%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -3.42%E -2.75%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -15.98%E -4.21%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 15:41 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -3.42%E -2.75%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -15.98%E -4.21%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -3.42%E -2.75%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -15.98%E -4.21%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 15:41 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -3.42%E -2.75%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -15.98%E -4.21%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -3.42%E -2.75%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -15.98%E -4.21%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -4.20%E -3.41%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -17.09%E -4.56%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -4.97%E -4.08%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -18.19%E -4.92%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-29 15:41 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 15:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 15:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.3% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.70% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30% | 1.6% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.87% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 20.13% | 1.8% | 2026-06-29 15:41 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.54% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46% | 2.2% | 2026-06-29 15:41 |