A Escola das Odds

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Início: 2026-06-29 16:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Local)

Previsão 77.89%1.28odd justa
EV -1.86%
Vantagem -1.47%
Kelly -7.15%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.26

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
75.20%77.69%78.04%80.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.181.221.221.2684.75%81.77%81.97%79.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visitante)

Previsão 22.11%4.52odd justa
EV +10.77%
Vantagem +2.15%
Kelly +2.69%
Crescimento +0.289%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.01

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.58%22.31%21.96%24.80%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.704.184.255.0127.03%23.90%23.53%19.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet1.22I 81.97%NM 80.42%EV -4.97%E -4.08%K -22.61%G +0.000%5.01I 19.96%NM 19.58%EV +10.77%E +2.15%K +2.69%G +0.289%1.9%2026-06-29 15:39
Pinnacle1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%EV -4.97%E -4.08%K -22.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%EV +6.13%E +1.28%K +1.61%G +0.099%2.8%2026-06-29 15:40
Winamax (DE)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.20%E -3.41%K -18.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -0.506%E -0.112%K -0.145%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-29 15:30
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.97%E -4.08%K -22.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.506%E -0.112%K -0.145%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 15:30
Unibet (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.97%E -4.08%K -22.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.506%E -0.112%K -0.145%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 15:41
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.53%E -5.44%K -32.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.506%E -0.112%K -0.145%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 15:40
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.53%E -5.44%K -32.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.506%E -0.112%K -0.145%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 15:30
SportsBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -5.75%E -4.75%K -27.39%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -1.61%E -0.362%K -0.467%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 15:41
BetAnything1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -5.75%E -4.75%K -27.39%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -1.61%E -0.362%K -0.467%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 15:31
Codere (IT)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.20%E -3.41%K -18.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.72%E -0.617%K -0.799%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 15:30
ReBet1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.20%E -3.41%K -18.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.72%E -0.617%K -0.799%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 15:31
MyBookie.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.97%E -4.08%K -22.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.72%E -0.617%K -0.799%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 15:39
PointsBet (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.53%E -5.44%K -32.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.72%E -0.617%K -0.799%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 15:38
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.53%E -5.44%K -32.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.72%E -0.617%K -0.799%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 15:38
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.53%E -5.44%K -32.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.72%E -0.617%K -0.799%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 15:10
Fanatics1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.97%E -4.08%K -22.61%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -3.82%E -0.879%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 15:30
Coolbet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.97%E -4.08%K -22.61%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -3.82%E -0.879%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 15:40
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.97%E -4.08%K -22.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -4.26%E -0.985%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 15:41
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.53%E -5.44%K -32.66%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.26%E -0.985%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 15:40
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.53%E -5.44%K -32.66%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.26%E -0.985%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 15:41
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.53%E -5.44%K -32.66%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.26%E -0.985%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 15:40
betfred_uk1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.53%E -5.44%K -32.66%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.26%E -0.985%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 15:30
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.53%E -5.44%K -32.66%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.26%E -0.985%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 15:40
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.53%E -5.44%K -32.66%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.26%E -0.985%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 15:40
BetMGM1.19I 84.03%NM 78.44%EV -7.31%E -6.14%K -38.48%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.56%EV -4.26%E -0.985%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 15:40
FanDuel1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.20%E -3.41%K -18.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -4.93%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 15:40
Winamax (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.75%E -4.75%K -27.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.93%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 15:40
BetUS1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.42%E -2.75%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.03%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 15:21
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.97%E -4.08%K -22.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.03%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 15:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.97%E -4.08%K -22.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.03%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 15:31
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.97%E -4.08%K -22.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.03%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 15:30
Unibet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.75%E -4.75%K -27.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.03%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 15:30
theScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.75%E -4.75%K -27.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.03%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 15:31
Fliff1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.53%E -5.44%K -32.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.03%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 15:41
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.97%E -4.08%K -22.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.14%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 15:40
NordicBet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.75%E -4.75%K -27.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.14%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 15:40
Betsson1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.75%E -4.75%K -27.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.14%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 15:40
GTbets1.26I 79.37%NM 76.62%EV -1.86%E -1.47%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.38%EV -8.69%E -2.10%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-29 15:31
NetBet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.75%E -4.75%K -27.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.35%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 15:10
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.64%E -2.11%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.56%E -2.89%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 15:10
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.64%E -2.11%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.56%E -2.89%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 15:10
Dabble (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.97%E -4.08%K -22.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.56%E -2.89%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 15:30
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.53%E -5.44%K -32.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.56%E -2.89%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-29 15:38
Betclic (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -8.09%E -6.86%K -44.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -11.56%E -2.89%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-29 15:40
DraftKings1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -2.64%E -2.11%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -12.67%E -3.21%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:40
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -2.64%E -2.11%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -12.67%E -3.21%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -2.64%E -2.11%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -13.77%E -3.53%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 15:40
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -2.64%E -2.11%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -13.77%E -3.53%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 15:41
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -2.64%E -2.11%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -13.77%E -3.53%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 15:41
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -2.64%E -2.11%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -13.77%E -3.53%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 15:40
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -2.64%E -2.11%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -13.77%E -3.53%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 15:40
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -2.64%E -2.11%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -13.77%E -3.53%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 15:41
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -2.64%E -2.11%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -13.77%E -3.53%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 15:40
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.64%E -2.11%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -15.98%E -4.21%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 15:04
PMU (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -3.42%E -2.75%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -15.98%E -4.21%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 15:40
Grosvenor1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -3.42%E -2.75%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -15.98%E -4.21%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 15:41
TABtouch1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -3.42%E -2.75%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -15.98%E -4.21%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 15:40
Virgin Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -3.42%E -2.75%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -15.98%E -4.21%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 15:41
LiveScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -3.42%E -2.75%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -15.98%E -4.21%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 15:40
Bally Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -3.42%E -2.75%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -15.98%E -4.21%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 15:40
LeoVegas1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -4.20%E -3.41%K -18.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -17.09%E -4.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -4.97%E -4.08%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -18.19%E -4.92%K -6.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-29 15:41
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.8%2026-06-29 15:41
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.8%2026-06-29 15:40
Matchbook1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.8%2026-06-29 15:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-06-29 15:40
ProphetX1.22I 81.97%NM 80.70%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30%1.6%2026-06-29 15:40
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 79.87%4.88I 20.49%NM 20.13%1.8%2026-06-29 15:41
Smarkets1.20I 83.33%NM 81.54%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46%2.2%2026-06-29 15:41