La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Local)
Predicción 77.89%1.28momio equitativo
EV -1.86%
Ventaja -1.47%
Kelly -7.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.26
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.20%77.69%78.04%80.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.181.221.221.2684.75%81.77%81.97%79.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visitante)
Predicción 22.11%4.52momio equitativo
EV +10.77%
Ventaja +2.15%
Kelly +2.69%
Crecimiento +0.289%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.01
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.58%22.31%21.96%24.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.704.184.255.0127.03%23.90%23.53%19.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.42%EV -4.97%E -4.08%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 5.01I 19.96%NM 19.58%EV +10.77%E +2.15%K +2.69%G +0.289% | 1.9% | 2026-06-29 15:39 |
| Pinnacle | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%EV -4.97%E -4.08%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%EV +6.13%E +1.28%K +1.61%G +0.099% | 2.8% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.20%E -3.41%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -0.506%E -0.112%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-29 15:30 |
| Bovada | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.97%E -4.08%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.506%E -0.112%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 15:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.97%E -4.08%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.506%E -0.112%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 15:41 |
| Betway | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.53%E -5.44%K -32.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.506%E -0.112%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| Everygame | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.53%E -5.44%K -32.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.506%E -0.112%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 15:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -5.75%E -4.75%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -1.61%E -0.362%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 15:41 |
| BetAnything | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -5.75%E -4.75%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -1.61%E -0.362%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 15:31 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.20%E -3.41%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.72%E -0.617%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-29 15:30 |
| ReBet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.20%E -3.41%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.72%E -0.617%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-29 15:31 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.97%E -4.08%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.72%E -0.617%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 15:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.53%E -5.44%K -32.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.72%E -0.617%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 15:38 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.53%E -5.44%K -32.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.72%E -0.617%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 15:38 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.53%E -5.44%K -32.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.72%E -0.617%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.97%E -4.08%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -3.82%E -0.879%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 15:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.97%E -4.08%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -3.82%E -0.879%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.97%E -4.08%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -4.26%E -0.985%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 15:41 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.53%E -5.44%K -32.66%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.26%E -0.985%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| 888sport | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.53%E -5.44%K -32.66%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.26%E -0.985%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 15:41 |
| Coral | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.53%E -5.44%K -32.66%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.26%E -0.985%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| betfred_uk | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.53%E -5.44%K -32.66%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.26%E -0.985%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 15:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.53%E -5.44%K -32.66%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.26%E -0.985%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.53%E -5.44%K -32.66%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.26%E -0.985%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.44%EV -7.31%E -6.14%K -38.48%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.56%EV -4.26%E -0.985%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.20%E -3.41%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -4.93%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.75%E -4.75%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.93%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| BetUS | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.42%E -2.75%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.03%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 15:21 |
| Neds | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.97%E -4.08%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.03%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.97%E -4.08%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.03%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 15:31 |
| PlayUp | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.97%E -4.08%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.03%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 15:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.75%E -4.75%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.03%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 15:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.75%E -4.75%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.03%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 15:31 |
| Fliff | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.53%E -5.44%K -32.66%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.03%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 15:41 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.97%E -4.08%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.14%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.75%E -4.75%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.14%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| Betsson | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.75%E -4.75%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.14%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| GTbets | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.62%EV -1.86%E -1.47%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.38%EV -8.69%E -2.10%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-29 15:31 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.75%E -4.75%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.35%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| William Hill | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.64%E -2.11%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.56%E -2.89%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.64%E -2.11%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.56%E -2.89%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.97%E -4.08%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.56%E -2.89%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 15:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.53%E -5.44%K -32.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.56%E -2.89%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-29 15:38 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -8.09%E -6.86%K -44.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -11.56%E -2.89%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -2.64%E -2.11%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -12.67%E -3.21%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -2.64%E -2.11%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -12.67%E -3.21%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -2.64%E -2.11%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -13.77%E -3.53%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| Unibet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -2.64%E -2.11%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -13.77%E -3.53%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 15:41 |
| Casumo | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -2.64%E -2.11%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -13.77%E -3.53%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 15:41 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -2.64%E -2.11%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -13.77%E -3.53%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -2.64%E -2.11%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -13.77%E -3.53%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| betPARX | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -2.64%E -2.11%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -13.77%E -3.53%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 15:41 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -2.64%E -2.11%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -13.77%E -3.53%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| Caesars | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.64%E -2.11%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -15.98%E -4.21%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 15:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -3.42%E -2.75%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -15.98%E -4.21%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -3.42%E -2.75%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -15.98%E -4.21%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 15:41 |
| TABtouch | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -3.42%E -2.75%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -15.98%E -4.21%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -3.42%E -2.75%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -15.98%E -4.21%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 15:41 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -3.42%E -2.75%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -15.98%E -4.21%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| Bally Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -3.42%E -2.75%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -15.98%E -4.21%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -4.20%E -3.41%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -17.09%E -4.56%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -4.97%E -4.08%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -18.19%E -4.92%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-29 15:41 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 15:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 15:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.3% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| ProphetX | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.70% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30% | 1.6% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| Novig | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.87% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 20.13% | 1.8% | 2026-06-29 15:41 |
| Smarkets | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.54% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46% | 2.2% | 2026-06-29 15:41 |