Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Taylor Fritz v Rafael Jodar

Início: 2026-08-03 17:47 UTC

Final: Taylor Fritz 2–0 Rafael Jodar

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Taylor Fritz (Local)

Previsão 60.68%1.65odd justa
EV -0.483%
Vantagem -0.294%
Kelly -0.754%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.64

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.27%60.68%60.68%62.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.501.561.571.6466.67%64.03%63.69%60.98%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Rafael Jodar (Visitante)

Previsão 39.32%2.54odd justa
EV -0.130%
Vantagem -0.051%
Kelly -0.085%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.54

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.50%39.32%39.32%41.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.392.382.5445.45%41.86%42.02%39.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Taylor Fritz (Local): 60.68%; Rafael Jodar (Visitante): 39.32%. Para Rafael Jodar (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.543. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.540, com valor esperado de -0.130%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -0.483%E -0.294%K -0.754%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -9.96%E -4.35%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 17:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.70%E -1.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-03 17:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.70%E -1.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-03 17:34
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -1.70%E -1.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 17:15
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -2.91%E -1.82%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -1.70%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-03 17:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.52%E -2.21%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.67%E -1.50%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-03 15:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -3.52%E -2.21%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 15:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.12%E -2.61%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.67%E -1.50%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 15:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.12%E -2.61%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -4.85%E -2.00%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 15:44
Dabble (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.12%E -2.61%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 17:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.12%E -2.61%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 17:32
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.12%E -2.61%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 15:45
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.12%E -2.61%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 15:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.12%E -2.61%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 17:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.70%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-03 17:20
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.67%E -1.50%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-03 17:14
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.67%E -1.50%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-03 06:59
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.67%E -1.50%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-03 15:39
ReBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -5.24%E -2.18%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 16:04
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 15:40
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 08:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 17:04
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 17:05
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 15:44
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 17:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 17:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 17:04
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 15:44
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 15:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 15:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 17:05
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 17:30
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 17:30
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.34%E -3.42%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.70%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 17:40
BetMGM🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.34%E -3.42%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.67%E -1.50%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 17:28
Betr (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.34%E -3.42%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 17:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.34%E -3.42%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 22:40
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.34%E -3.42%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 17:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -5.34%E -3.42%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.57%E -4.16%K -7.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 15:45
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -5.34%E -3.42%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -13.50%E -6.14%K -11.25%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-03 17:39
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.94%E -3.83%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 17:35
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.94%E -3.83%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 17:35
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.94%E -3.83%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 17:35
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -6.55%E -4.25%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -0.130%E -0.051%K -0.085%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 17:20
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -6.55%E -4.25%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -4.06%E -1.66%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 17:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -6.55%E -4.25%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -11.53%E -5.13%K -9.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-03 17:38
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.16%E -4.68%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 22:05
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.16%E -4.68%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-03 17:40
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.16%E -4.68%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-03 17:39
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.16%E -4.68%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-03 06:17
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.16%E -4.68%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-03 17:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.16%E -4.68%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-03 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.16%E -4.68%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.81%E -2.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 17:30
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.16%E -4.68%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.81%E -2.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 17:30
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.16%E -4.68%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.57%E -4.16%K -7.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-03 16:59
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.25%EV -8.37%E -5.54%K -16.41%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.75%EV -2.10%E -0.842%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 17:19
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.98%E -5.99%K -17.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.70%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 00:14
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.98%E -5.99%K -17.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.70%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 00:14
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.98%E -5.99%K -17.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.70%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 17:13
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-08-03 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-08-03 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-08-03 17:40
Matchbook◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-08-03 17:35
Novig◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-08-03 17:40
ProphetX◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-08-03 17:34
Smarkets◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13%1.7%2026-08-03 17:40