Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Taylor Fritz v Rafael Jodar

2026-08-02 18:30 UTC — ATP Washington Open

Zwycięzca spotkania

62 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Taylor Fritz (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 56.23%1.78kurs godziwy
EV -2.72%
Przewaga -1.57%
Kelly -3.73%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.73

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
54.74%56.30%55.99%58.90%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.571.671.671.7363.69%59.71%59.88%57.80%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Rafael Jodar (Goście)

Prognoza 43.77%2.28kurs godziwy
EV -1.08%
Przewaga -0.478%
Kelly -0.858%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.26

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
41.10%43.70%44.01%45.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.082.182.202.2648.08%45.82%45.45%44.25%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Dla rynku Zwycięzca spotkania model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacuje prawdopodobieństwa następująco: Taylor Fritz (Gospodarze): 56.23%; Rafael Jodar (Goście): 43.77%. Dla wyniku Rafael Jodar (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiada uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.28. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferuje kursu powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy dostępny kurs wynosi 2.26, przy wartości oczekiwanej -1.08%; nie daje dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.

Kursy bukmacherskie (62 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.72%E -1.57%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 08:34
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.72%E -1.57%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 08:35
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.72%E -1.57%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 08:34
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.72%E -1.57%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 08:34
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -3.28%E -1.91%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-02 07:14
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -3.28%E -1.91%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-02 07:15
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.28%E -1.91%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.58%E -2.10%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 07:14
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.28%E -1.91%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.58%E -2.10%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 07:14
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -3.28%E -1.91%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -8.96%E -4.31%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 07:14
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -3.85%E -2.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -1.96%E -0.873%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-02 08:45
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.85%E -2.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 08:40
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.85%E -2.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 07:15
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.85%E -2.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 07:14
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 08:55
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 07:34
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -6.33%E -2.96%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 08:30
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 07:15
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 08:40
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 07:19
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 07:14
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -6.77%E -3.18%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 07:14
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -6.77%E -3.18%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 07:14
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.53%E -3.29%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -1.96%E -0.873%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 07:25
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.53%E -3.29%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 09:50
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.53%E -3.29%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 09:24
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.53%E -3.29%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 08:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.53%E -3.29%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 07:14
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.53%E -3.29%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 07:15
ReBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -5.53%E -3.29%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.33%EV -7.65%E -3.62%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 07:15
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.52%E -0.675%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 07:20
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.52%E -0.675%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 08:04
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -2.83%E -1.28%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 08:39
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 07:14
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 03:53
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -4.58%E -2.10%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 07:15
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 07:15
betano_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 07:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.39%E -1.07%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 07:20
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.39%E -1.07%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 07:20
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.39%E -1.07%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 07:19
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.39%E -1.07%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 07:19
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.39%E -1.07%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 07:19
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.39%E -1.07%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 07:19
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.39%E -1.07%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 07:20
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.39%E -1.07%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 07:20
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.39%E -1.07%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 07:19
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.39%E -1.07%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 07:19
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.39%E -1.07%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 07:20
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.39%E -1.07%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 07:20
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -1.08%E -0.478%K -0.858%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 08:39
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 07:19
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 07:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 07:15
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 07:14
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 07:20
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 08:39
PMU (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -8.34%E -5.12%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -5.02%E -2.31%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 07:19
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -8.34%E -5.12%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 08:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.91%E -5.50%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.52%E -0.675%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 08:39
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -1.52%E -0.675%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 08:40
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -11.72%E -7.46%K -20.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -1.52%E -0.675%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 08:39
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -11.72%E -7.46%K -20.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -1.52%E -0.675%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 08:39
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-08-02 10:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-08-02 09:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-08-02 09:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-08-02 09:40
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-08-02 10:00
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-08-02 09:40
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%2.4%2026-08-02 09:30