Langue:Français
Taylor Fritz v Rafael Jodar
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Taylor Fritz (Local)
Prévision 60.68%1.65cote équitable
EV -0.483%
Avantage -0.294%
Kelly -0.754%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.64
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.27%60.68%60.68%62.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.561.571.6466.67%64.03%63.69%60.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Rafael Jodar (Visiteur)
Prévision 39.32%2.54cote équitable
EV -0.130%
Avantage -0.051%
Kelly -0.085%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.54
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.50%39.32%39.32%41.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.392.382.5445.45%41.86%42.02%39.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Taylor Fritz (Local) : 60.68% ; Rafael Jodar (Visiteur) : 39.32%. Pour Rafael Jodar (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.543. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.540, pour une espérance de -0.130% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -0.483%E -0.294%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -9.96%E -4.35%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-03 17:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.70%E -1.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-03 17:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.70%E -1.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-03 17:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -1.70%E -1.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 17:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -2.91%E -1.82%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -1.70%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-03 17:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.52%E -2.21%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.67%E -1.50%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-03 15:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -3.52%E -2.21%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 15:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.12%E -2.61%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.67%E -1.50%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-03 15:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.12%E -2.61%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -4.85%E -2.00%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-03 15:44 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.12%E -2.61%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-03 17:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.12%E -2.61%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-03 17:32 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.12%E -2.61%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 15:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.12%E -2.61%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 15:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.12%E -2.61%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 17:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.70%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-03 17:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.67%E -1.50%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-03 17:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.67%E -1.50%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-03 06:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.67%E -1.50%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-03 15:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -5.24%E -2.18%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 16:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 15:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 08:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 17:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 17:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 15:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 17:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 17:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 17:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 15:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 15:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 15:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 17:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 15:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 17:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 17:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.34%E -3.42%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.70%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-03 17:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.34%E -3.42%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.67%E -1.50%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 17:28 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.34%E -3.42%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 17:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.34%E -3.42%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 22:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.34%E -3.42%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 17:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -5.34%E -3.42%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.57%E -4.16%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 15:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -5.34%E -3.42%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -13.50%E -6.14%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-03 17:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.94%E -3.83%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 17:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.94%E -3.83%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 17:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.94%E -3.83%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 17:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -6.55%E -4.25%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -0.130%E -0.051%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 17:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -6.55%E -4.25%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -4.06%E -1.66%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -6.55%E -4.25%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -11.53%E -5.13%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-03 17:38 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.16%E -4.68%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 22:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.16%E -4.68%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 17:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.16%E -4.68%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 17:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.16%E -4.68%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 06:17 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.16%E -4.68%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 17:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.16%E -4.68%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.16%E -4.68%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.81%E -2.88%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 17:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.16%E -4.68%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.81%E -2.88%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 17:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.16%E -4.68%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.57%E -4.16%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.25%EV -8.37%E -5.54%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.75%EV -2.10%E -0.842%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 17:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.98%E -5.99%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.70%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 00:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.98%E -5.99%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.70%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 00:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.98%E -5.99%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.70%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 17:13 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-03 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-03 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-03 17:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-03 17:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-08-03 17:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28% | 1.3% | 2026-08-03 17:34 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13% | 1.7% | 2026-08-03 17:40 |