Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Taylor Fritz v Rafael Jodar

2026-08-02 18:30 UTC — ATP Washington Open

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Taylor Fritz (Local)

Predicción 56.23%1.78momio equitativo
EV -2.72%
Ventaja -1.57%
Kelly -3.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.74%56.30%55.99%58.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.571.671.671.7363.69%59.71%59.88%57.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Rafael Jodar (Visitante)

Predicción 43.77%2.28momio equitativo
EV -1.08%
Ventaja -0.478%
Kelly -0.858%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.26

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.10%43.70%44.01%45.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.082.182.202.2648.08%45.82%45.45%44.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Taylor Fritz (Local): 56.23%; Rafael Jodar (Visitante): 43.77%. Para Rafael Jodar (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.28. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.26, con un valor esperado de -1.08%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.72%E -1.57%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 08:34
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.72%E -1.57%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 08:35
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.72%E -1.57%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 08:34
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.72%E -1.57%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 08:34
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -3.28%E -1.91%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-02 07:14
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -3.28%E -1.91%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-02 07:15
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.28%E -1.91%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.58%E -2.10%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 07:14
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.28%E -1.91%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.58%E -2.10%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 07:14
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -3.28%E -1.91%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -8.96%E -4.31%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 07:14
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -3.85%E -2.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -1.96%E -0.873%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-02 08:45
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.85%E -2.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 08:40
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.85%E -2.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 07:15
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.85%E -2.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 07:14
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 08:55
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 07:34
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -6.33%E -2.96%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 08:30
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 07:15
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 08:40
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 07:19
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 07:14
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -6.77%E -3.18%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 07:14
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -6.77%E -3.18%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 07:14
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.53%E -3.29%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -1.96%E -0.873%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 07:25
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.53%E -3.29%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 09:50
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.53%E -3.29%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 09:24
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.53%E -3.29%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 08:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.53%E -3.29%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 07:14
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.53%E -3.29%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 07:15
ReBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -5.53%E -3.29%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.33%EV -7.65%E -3.62%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 07:15
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.52%E -0.675%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 07:20
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.52%E -0.675%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 08:04
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -2.83%E -1.28%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 08:39
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 07:14
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 03:53
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -4.58%E -2.10%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 07:15
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 07:15
betano_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 07:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.39%E -1.07%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 07:20
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.39%E -1.07%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 07:20
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.39%E -1.07%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 07:19
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.39%E -1.07%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 07:19
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.39%E -1.07%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 07:19
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.39%E -1.07%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 07:19
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.39%E -1.07%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 07:20
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.39%E -1.07%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 07:20
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.39%E -1.07%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 07:19
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.39%E -1.07%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 07:19
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.39%E -1.07%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 07:20
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.39%E -1.07%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 07:20
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -1.08%E -0.478%K -0.858%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 08:39
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 07:19
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 07:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 07:15
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 07:14
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 07:20
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 08:39
PMU (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -8.34%E -5.12%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -5.02%E -2.31%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 07:19
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -8.34%E -5.12%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 08:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.91%E -5.50%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.52%E -0.675%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 08:39
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -1.52%E -0.675%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 08:40
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -11.72%E -7.46%K -20.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -1.52%E -0.675%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 08:39
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -11.72%E -7.46%K -20.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -1.52%E -0.675%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 08:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-08-02 10:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-08-02 09:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-08-02 09:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-08-02 09:40
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75%1.6%2026-08-02 09:05
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-08-02 09:40
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%2.4%2026-08-02 09:30