Idioma:Español
Taylor Fritz v Rafael Jodar
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Taylor Fritz (Local)
Predicción 60.68%1.65momio equitativo
EV -0.483%
Ventaja -0.294%
Kelly -0.754%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.27%60.68%60.68%62.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.501.561.571.6466.67%64.03%63.69%60.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Rafael Jodar (Visitante)
Predicción 39.32%2.54momio equitativo
EV -0.130%
Ventaja -0.051%
Kelly -0.085%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.54
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.50%39.32%39.32%41.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.392.382.5445.45%41.86%42.02%39.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Taylor Fritz (Local): 60.68%; Rafael Jodar (Visitante): 39.32%. Para Rafael Jodar (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.543. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.540, con un valor esperado de -0.130%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -0.483%E -0.294%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -9.96%E -4.35%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-03 17:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.70%E -1.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-03 17:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.70%E -1.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-03 17:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -1.70%E -1.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 17:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -2.91%E -1.82%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -1.70%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-03 17:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.52%E -2.21%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.67%E -1.50%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-03 15:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -3.52%E -2.21%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 15:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.12%E -2.61%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.67%E -1.50%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-03 15:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.12%E -2.61%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -4.85%E -2.00%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-03 15:44 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.12%E -2.61%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-03 17:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.12%E -2.61%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-03 17:32 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.12%E -2.61%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 15:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.12%E -2.61%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 15:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.12%E -2.61%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 17:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.70%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-03 17:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.67%E -1.50%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-03 17:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.67%E -1.50%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-03 06:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.67%E -1.50%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-03 15:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -5.24%E -2.18%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 16:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 15:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 08:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 17:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 17:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 15:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 17:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 17:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 17:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 15:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 15:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 15:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 17:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 15:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 17:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.73%E -3.01%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 17:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.34%E -3.42%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.70%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-03 17:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.34%E -3.42%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.67%E -1.50%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 17:28 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.34%E -3.42%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 17:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.34%E -3.42%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 22:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.34%E -3.42%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 17:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -5.34%E -3.42%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.57%E -4.16%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 15:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -5.34%E -3.42%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -13.50%E -6.14%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-03 17:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.94%E -3.83%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 17:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.94%E -3.83%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 17:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.94%E -3.83%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 17:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -6.55%E -4.25%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -0.130%E -0.051%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 17:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -6.55%E -4.25%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -4.06%E -1.66%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -6.55%E -4.25%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -11.53%E -5.13%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-03 17:38 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.16%E -4.68%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 22:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.16%E -4.68%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 17:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.16%E -4.68%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 17:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.16%E -4.68%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 06:17 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.16%E -4.68%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 17:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.16%E -4.68%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.16%E -4.68%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.81%E -2.88%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 17:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.16%E -4.68%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.81%E -2.88%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 17:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.16%E -4.68%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.57%E -4.16%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.25%EV -8.37%E -5.54%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.75%EV -2.10%E -0.842%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 17:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.98%E -5.99%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.70%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 00:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.98%E -5.99%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.70%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 00:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.98%E -5.99%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.70%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 17:13 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-03 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-03 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-03 17:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-03 17:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-08-03 17:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28% | 1.3% | 2026-08-03 17:34 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13% | 1.7% | 2026-08-03 17:40 |