Language:English
Martin Damm Jr. v Ben Shelton
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Martin Damm Jr. (Local)
Prediction 28.83%3.47fair odd
EV -1.69%
Edge -0.497%
Kelly -0.703%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.66%28.95%28.73%30.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.273.253.4133.33%30.60%30.77%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ben Shelton (Visit)
Prediction 71.17%1.41fair odd
EV -3.21%
Edge -2.36%
Kelly -8.91%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.28%71.05%71.27%72.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.331.331.3676.92%75.11%75.19%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Martin Damm Jr. (Local): 28.83%; Ben Shelton (Visit): 71.17%. For Martin Damm Jr. (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.47. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.41, with an expected value of -1.69%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.91%EV -1.69%E -0.497%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.09%EV -6.05%E -4.59%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 14:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -1.98%E -0.583%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -3.92%E -2.90%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-28 07:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.98%E -0.583%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.98%E -0.583%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-28 15:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.98%E -0.583%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 14:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.98%E -0.583%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 14:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -1.98%E -0.583%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.77%E -5.16%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.98%E -0.583%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.48%E -5.75%K -24.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 16:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.98%E -0.583%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.48%E -5.75%K -24.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 16:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.63%EV -2.27%E -0.670%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.37%EV -3.21%E -2.36%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-28 18:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.39%EV -2.56%E -0.757%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.61%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-28 15:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.42%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.05%E -4.59%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 17:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.08%EV -4.00%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.92%EV -7.48%E -5.75%K -24.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 10:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.97%EV -4.58%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.03%EV -3.92%E -2.90%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-28 17:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 18:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 18:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 18:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 18:24 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 17:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 17:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 17:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 17:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 10:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 14:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 17:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 10:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 12:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 10:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.77%E -5.16%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-28 17:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 14:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 16:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 16:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.05%E -4.59%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 17:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.48%E -5.75%K -24.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-28 10:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.48%E -5.75%K -24.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-28 10:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -9.19%E -2.92%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 17:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.21%E -2.36%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 05:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-28 18:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-28 18:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.51%E -4.50%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-28 17:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 0.4% | 2026-07-28 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 0.4% | 2026-07-28 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 0.4% | 2026-07-28 18:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 0.4% | 2026-07-28 18:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 1.3% | 2026-07-28 17:50 |
| Novig◎ | 3.51I 28.49%NM 28.07% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.93% | 1.5% | 2026-07-28 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15% | 2.0% | 2026-07-28 18:05 |
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