Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 3.41
avec la cote maximale 1.36
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Martin Damm Jr. (Local) : 28.83% ; Ben Shelton (Visiteur) : 71.17%. Pour Martin Damm Jr. (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.47. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.41, pour une espérance de -1.69% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.91%EV -1.69%E -0.497%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.09%EV -6.05%E -4.59%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 14:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -1.98%E -0.583%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -3.92%E -2.90%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-28 07:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.98%E -0.583%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.98%E -0.583%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-28 15:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.98%E -0.583%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 14:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.98%E -0.583%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 14:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -1.98%E -0.583%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.77%E -5.16%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.98%E -0.583%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.48%E -5.75%K -24.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 16:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.98%E -0.583%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.48%E -5.75%K -24.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 16:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.63%EV -2.27%E -0.670%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.37%EV -3.21%E -2.36%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-28 18:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.39%EV -2.56%E -0.757%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.61%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-28 15:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.42%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.05%E -4.59%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 17:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.08%EV -4.00%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.92%EV -7.48%E -5.75%K -24.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 10:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.97%EV -4.58%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.03%EV -3.92%E -2.90%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-28 17:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 18:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 18:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 18:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 18:24 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 17:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 17:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 17:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 17:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 10:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 14:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 17:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 10:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 12:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 10:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.77%E -5.16%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-28 17:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.63%E -3.46%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 14:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 16:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 16:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.05%E -4.59%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 17:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.48%E -5.75%K -24.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-28 10:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.48%E -5.75%K -24.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-28 10:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -9.19%E -2.92%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 17:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.21%E -2.36%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 05:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-28 18:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-28 18:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.51%E -4.50%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.34%E -4.02%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-28 17:55 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 0.4% | 2026-07-28 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 0.4% | 2026-07-28 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 0.4% | 2026-07-28 18:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 0.4% | 2026-07-28 18:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 1.3% | 2026-07-28 17:50 |
| Novig◎ | 3.51I 28.49%NM 28.07% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.93% | 1.5% | 2026-07-28 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15% | 2.0% | 2026-07-28 18:05 |